Quote:
Originally Posted by Jdawgboy
While Biznow is a hype and fluff piece publication that rarely gets to the meat of the subject matter that they frequently intimate in their article headers, I think this sums up a legitimate reason why we have yet to see larger/taller office towers built in Downtown.
https://www.bisnow.com/austin-san-antoni...alk-new-projects-austins-longevity-53413
Hopefully that is starting to change but I never really thought about it until now.
As with their other articles, very little was actually written about Downtown's longevity other than a few bits here and there but nothing in depth.
Since we are coming up on the end of the year, I'm curious on what everyone thinks about what's in store for DT Austin in 2016?
What sorts of announcements for new highrises and if any will aim to break the 700 foot mark?
Will we finally see Park Place break ground?
Opinions on if 99 Trinity should be placed in the not happening catagory?
What's the deal with ZaZa?
Plus any other projects that have been proposed for awhile but have yet to move toward like Magellan..
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I don't expect many, if any, new large-scale (25+ stories) tower developments to be announced in 2016. We are approaching the end of the current growth cycle. If anything, I would bet on a new office development. However, that would come no were near sniffing the 700' mark in height.
As for the developments in which you inquired
-Waller Park Place - Don't hold your breath (at best this is on hold). Construction financing not fully secured, no hotel operator, no pre-leasing activity for office component, no pre-sales activity for condominium component, etc... Doesn't look good.
-99 Trinity - Consider this one mothballed. At best, on hold until the next building cycle (a few years away). World Class Capital has not shown the wherewithal to develop something of this size.
-Hotel ZaZa & Post Republic Square - Not sure what is going on. It's quickly approaching the mothballed category. However, there were hints that this project may wait until the next housing construction cycle.
-5th & Brazos (Magellan's deal) - at this point, I believe it would be safe to consider this one mothballed. Construction financing not fully secured, no hotel operator, etc... (see Waller Park Place). Furthermore, Magellan is a small shop and they are heavily focused on their new Vista Residences project in Chicago.
So, let's sit back, prop our feet up and watch and see what happens in the coming 1Q and 2Q 2016 - this will be telling. From an overall commercial real estate standpoint, most analysts and experts are predicting another good year - with a caveat - that it will not be as robust as what was witnessed in 2014 and 2015.