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  #31281  
Old Posted Nov 11, 2015, 8:54 PM
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maru2501 maru2501 is offline
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chicago won't ever be great again until it brings back more diners that will serve a grilled cheese and tomato soup in five minutes for $6 or less
     
     
  #31282  
Old Posted Nov 11, 2015, 8:59 PM
marothisu marothisu is offline
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Originally Posted by maru2501 View Post
chicago won't ever be great again until it brings back more diners that will serve a grilled cheese and tomato soup in five minutes for $6 or less

LOL...... right.


Okay, so in other news, I made a new map that has to do with business license new issuances for types of retail food place, taverns, consumption (liquor), etc. I'll be filtering it even more because I want to show the stuff that was not there before (i.e. some new company buying up a Wendy's franchise with 20 locations in Chicago will not be shown on here in the end). This is for 1/1/2015 until present. I'm semi new to carto db so there are some addresses with multiple licenses for different businesses (i.e. the new ones at Navy Pier). Work in progress:

https://marothisu.cartodb.com/tables/business_licenses/map
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  #31283  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 2:35 AM
LouisVanDerWright LouisVanDerWright is offline
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Lol, what a silly little conversation... I'm in!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baronvonellis View Post
Yea, but Chicago isn't yet Paris, London or New York to command those international Alpha city rents. I'm a well paid professional and I would never pay $2300 a month rent, that is crazy!That's just throwing money down the drain. I have a roomate, and I like having extra spending money left over at the end of the month after all my expenses. Large swaths of the city are still undervalued and dilapidated because of crime and conversion from a industrial to a service economy.
A. You might feel differently about paying $2300 a month if you had a fancy tech job tossing you ten stacks or more a month.

B. Of course large parts of Chicago are industrial wastelands, that's the point. See below:

Quote:
Originally Posted by the urban politician View Post
^ It has nothing to do with "alpha city" status. SF and Boston have higher rents than Chicago. Washington DC does too.

If the conditions in Chicago were such that much higher rents were justified, it would unlock a ton more investment and drastically turn this city's fortunes around.
And so does Denver and Miami, and Seattle, and just about every other city in the US. Which cities have lower rents than Chicago? Sunbelt sprawltropolises and other rustbelt cities decimated by deindustrialization. The pattern here isn't that there is a special reason (as Via appears to believe) that each city with significantly higher rents than Chicago has those rents. It's that there is an entire class of cities in the Midwest that were built around industry and built on terrain that is non-restrictive which means they all have lower rents.

Chicago is undoubtedly an "alpha city" and a "World city" and every other lame moniker city nerds bandy about as if it means something. It has one of the ten largest metro economies on earth and, by some measures, is one of the five largest. As such it theoretically should have astronomical rents like London, NYC, Washington DC, Singapore, etc etc etc., but, unlike those cities, Chicago has HUUUUUGGGGGGGGEEEEE tracts of land. I mean they are some of the biggest, nicest, tracts of land I've ever seen. The problem is having hugggggeeeee tracts of land means the maximum long run rents for an Alpha +++ Global Top Notch Big Dog Brand City(TM) like Chicago are limited to (Cost of Construction + Land Value) / Cap Rate. There's this little thing called supply and demand and, considering we have HUUUGGGGEEEE tracts of land, that means the Land Value component of that equation is very very limited until that supply dries up. That's not speculation, that's basic financial math that you would find in any RE textbook.


Quote:
Originally Posted by the urban politician View Post
Rampant profit making built Chicago. Did you just notice this now?
Lol, that's what I've been thinking the whole time I've been reading this. I for one am shocked that someone would dare profit. If you let people make profits, they might even, gasp, renovate or build more units. Oh the horror!

PS: I just renovated a two flat in Avondale and rented a 2 BD / 1 BA with additional living space in the basement for $1,700/MO to a couple of recent college grads with jobs at downtown tech startups. I then sold it for double what I paid for it to a young couple starting out. The husband moved here from NYC to work for Salesforce and is "never going back there, you could never buy a property like this there". He now took a job with a tech startup as well and is fucking killing it. As a result I made a dirty, evil, filthy profit and, instead of blowing it on a Ferrari like some asshat, am planning on using it to buy more properties like this so I can get more filthy, immoral, profits and provide more hipster housing and starter homes for young families. What a baddie I am...
     
     
  #31284  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 3:32 AM
the urban politician the urban politician is offline
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^ Yeah, you're totally evil
     
     
  #31285  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 10:18 AM
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ChickeNES ChickeNES is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LouisVanDerWright View Post
PS: I just renovated a two flat in Avondale and rented a 2 BD / 1 BA with additional living space in the basement for $1,700/MO to a couple of recent college grads with jobs at downtown tech startups. I then sold it for double what I paid for it to a young couple starting out. The husband moved here from NYC to work for Salesforce and is "never going back there, you could never buy a property like this there". He now took a job with a tech startup as well and is fucking killing it. As a result I made a dirty, evil, filthy profit and, instead of blowing it on a Ferrari like some asshat, am planning on using it to buy more properties like this so I can get more filthy, immoral, profits and provide more hipster housing and starter homes for young families. What a baddie I am...
Reading this makes me wish I could go into real estate.
     
     
  #31286  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 3:08 PM
SamInTheLoop SamInTheLoop is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the urban politician View Post
They need to be about 50-75% higher.
(with respect to rents): , said every property owner, at every point in time, everywhere - just for the record!

One thing we shouldn't forget is that Chicago being clearly more affordable than other true peer cities with large, dense, mixed-use, 24/7, diverse, 'world class', etc etc etc urban cores is in fact a competitive advantage. So, while some steady rent growth can be a good thing of course and spark some virtuous circleosity and a lot of development (which we tend to be fans of), too much rapid growth - year after year, on end - may erode much of Chicago's advantage in terms of real estate costs (I'm not saying we're in imminent danger of this!). As others have pointed out, however, not only is there a very significant supply response under way, which eventually (not sure if it's next year, '17, or not until '18) will temper rent growth, and probably have them plateau and even fall a bit on an effective basis, what will really make rents fall (and to all property owners here: they will fall outright) on a face asking basis is when we have our next recession (I'm not of a mind that this will happen in the next three years, but perhaps as soon as 4-5 years from now).....it's the demand shortfall that will really cause a drop. And it will be significant (considering how far we've risen this cycle) - likely in the double-digits, %-wise. However, this next trough will be at a level comfortably above the preceding trough (just as our peak this cycle is well above the prior peak.....and the peak in the 2020s will be higher than the peak this cycle)......this is just the way the re cycle generally works....there is an underlying trend intact distinguishable from short-term/cyclical movement......

Of course, what (potentially) may 'save' a lot of apartment owners from experiencing the downcycle in 3-6 years, is if they time a conversion to condos (or of course sell to another apartment investor or condo converter) right......in other words, in the next 2-4 years approx.......(or of course, they could have a long term perspective and be well capitalized/not overleveraged to withstand the downturn).....
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Last edited by SamInTheLoop; Nov 13, 2015 at 1:51 PM.
     
     
  #31287  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 3:42 PM
Ryanrule Ryanrule is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChickeNES View Post
Reading this makes me wish I could go into real estate.
all you need is a couple hundred k to get started.
just ask your rich aunt right?
     
     
  #31288  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 3:49 PM
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harryc harryc is offline
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Working on the River (walk)

Love this old retaining wall


It will be entombed for another 100yrs or so


Cutting off the old pilings with an underwater chain-saw.


The walk really brightens up the night, changes the whole feel of the area.




(and it looks cool)
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  #31289  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 4:07 PM
LouisVanDerWright LouisVanDerWright is offline
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Originally Posted by Ryanrule View Post
all you need is a couple hundred k to get started.
just ask your rich aunt right?
I started with $5,000 in savings and a $38k/yr job. There is this crazy thing available to literally all American citizens called an FHA loan which let's you buy a property for 3.5% down. You can get up to 4 units with it. I worked 14-16 hour days for two years straight, 8 hours at my job, 6 or 8 hours renovating. The people who start with a lot of money are the people who end up losing a lot of money.

My only unfair advantage was ridiculous timing allowing me to get in on the very bottom with extremely high leverage on my first property (have only used two other mortgages since) which means a $5,000 investment can turn into hundreds of thousands of dollars quickly when you are picking up RE for less than half what was worth two years earlier and two years later. That and sweat equity. I still end up working a few weeks of hard labor on each of my projects because there are some things that are so much cheaper to do yourself that it makes no sense to hire someone.

Point is, the above statement is horrendously ignorant and is probably why Ryanrule apparently is not in RE.
     
     
  #31290  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 5:26 PM
VKChaz VKChaz is offline
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fyi:
This may not have been on anyone's radar, but fwiw Crains reporting small condo project on the 800 block of N Larrabee halted sales:
http://www.chicagobusiness.com/realestat...54/river-north-condo-project-halts-sales
     
     
  #31291  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 6:00 PM
emathias emathias is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Via Chicago View Post
In addition to offshoring I also think the accelerated automation of the white collar workforce (something that has already severely negatively affected the blue collar professions) is going to be one of the greatest challenges first world cities face in the coming decades.
And that's why I've made my career in automating parts of the software process.
     
     
  #31292  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 6:32 PM
Ryanrule Ryanrule is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LouisVanDerWright View Post
I started with $5,000 in savings and a $38k/yr job. There is this crazy thing available to literally all American citizens called an FHA loan which let's you buy a property for 3.5% down. You can get up to 4 units with it. I worked 14-16 hour days for two years straight, 8 hours at my job, 6 or 8 hours renovating. The people who start with a lot of money are the people who end up losing a lot of money.

My only unfair advantage was ridiculous timing allowing me to get in on the very bottom with extremely high leverage on my first property (have only used two other mortgages since) which means a $5,000 investment can turn into hundreds of thousands of dollars quickly when you are picking up RE for less than half what was worth two years earlier and two years later. That and sweat equity. I still end up working a few weeks of hard labor on each of my projects because there are some things that are so much cheaper to do yourself that it makes no sense to hire someone.

Point is, the above statement is horrendously ignorant and is probably why Ryanrule apparently is not in RE.
You lived in your unit?
     
     
  #31293  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 6:35 PM
marothisu marothisu is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LouisVanDerWright View Post
I started with $5,000 in savings and a $38k/yr job. There is this crazy thing available to literally all American citizens called an FHA loan which let's you buy a property for 3.5% down. You can get up to 4 units with it. I worked 14-16 hour days for two years straight, 8 hours at my job, 6 or 8 hours renovating. The people who start with a lot of money are the people who end up losing a lot of money.

My only unfair advantage was ridiculous timing allowing me to get in on the very bottom with extremely high leverage on my first property (have only used two other mortgages since) which means a $5,000 investment can turn into hundreds of thousands of dollars quickly when you are picking up RE for less than half what was worth two years earlier and two years later. That and sweat equity. I still end up working a few weeks of hard labor on each of my projects because there are some things that are so much cheaper to do yourself that it makes no sense to hire someone.

Point is, the above statement is horrendously ignorant and is probably why Ryanrule apparently is not in RE.
What are the terms of the FHA loan? Do you have to make under a certain amount? Do you have to live in your unit?

Could I just get an FHA loan and rent it out right away to other people (or a little bit after some repairs)?
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  #31294  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 7:23 PM
the urban politician the urban politician is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
What are the terms of the FHA loan? Do you have to make under a certain amount? Do you have to live in your unit?

Could I just get an FHA loan and rent it out right away to other people (or a little bit after some repairs)?
You have to live in it. I believe you also have to make under certain amount.

The key here is up to 4 units. A unit qualifies as residential if it is under 5 units. So if you own a 4 flat, you can live in one unit and lease out the other 3, and it still qualifies under residential guidelines.
     
     
  #31295  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 10:32 PM
Ryanrule Ryanrule is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
What are the terms of the FHA loan? Do you have to make under a certain amount? Do you have to live in your unit?

Could I just get an FHA loan and rent it out right away to other people (or a little bit after some repairs)?
COOK County
CHICAGO-NAPERVILLE-ELGIN, IL-IN-WI
Single
$365,700
Duplex
$468,150
Tri-plex
$565,900
Four-plex
$703,250
     
     
  #31296  
Old Posted Nov 12, 2015, 11:54 PM
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ChickeNES ChickeNES is offline
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I've been looking at condos in Hyde Park, but reading the past few posts makes me wish I had the time to renovate a three-flat. My real wish would be to fill in some of the gaps in the neighborhood; in particluar the empty lot that I walk past on the way to/from the bus that is just begging to be filled in, but instead sits empty.
     
     
  #31297  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2015, 1:43 AM
LouisVanDerWright LouisVanDerWright is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ryanrule View Post
You lived in your unit?
Still do, I have since the day I closed on it. Bought a 3 flat in Logan square for less than $150k in 2010 and lived in it while renovating it. Now I live in the illegal attic unit that I totally tricked out and rent out the rest.
     
     
  #31298  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2015, 3:12 AM
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george george is offline
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The appeal of West Town grows. $4,000/month for duplex penthouse & $1900/month for a small square-footage apt, but it's luxury.
North & Ashland next to the gas station.



http://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20151112/...ehind-wicker-gas-station-as-high-as-4000
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Last edited by george; Nov 13, 2015 at 1:48 PM.
     
     
  #31299  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2015, 1:48 PM
SamInTheLoop SamInTheLoop is offline
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^^ Definitely the least offensive thing that's ever come out of Sedgwick Properties - that's for sure.......
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  #31300  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2015, 3:07 PM
SamInTheLoop SamInTheLoop is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VKChaz View Post
fyi:
This may not have been on anyone's radar, but fwiw Crains reporting small condo project on the 800 block of N Larrabee halted sales:
http://www.chicagobusiness.com/realestat...54/river-north-condo-project-halts-sales

Interesting.....I wonder why this sales effort didn't go well......Crain's also reminds us of that Akara condo proposal in River North where they seemingly pulled the plug as well.....any common theme here in what went wrong? Something(s) very particular to these two projects/product/developer/marketing teams? Something broader? One would think it's not broad market-related, given the dearth of new condo product out there for so long and the pent-up demand and so forth - and the fact that most other of the examples we have to-date this cycle of small-to-medium-sized projects have apparently been selling very well thus far.....
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