Well, I guess we know the origin of
stephan's rumour now.
Presumably somebody at Cabela's heard about the potential BPS hostile takeover bid, said something to somebody else and off everyone went to the races......
What does this all mean?
1) - It's only a
potential hostile takeover bid. Reuters says that BPS is working with an investment bank on financing a takeover bid. The financing is not yet in place and this might all fall through.
2) - Cabela's isn't going to roll over and play dead. The article also states that Cabela's are working with private equity firms to mount a potential defence to this possible bid, likely with a counter offer from a friendly "white knight"
3) - Cabela's shareholders are not guaranteed to sell their shares to BPS, although if the offer is good enough, they likely would.
4) - if BPS is successful, that doesn't necessarily mean that the Cabela's banner would disappear. There's considerable value in the Cabela's name and the brand loyalty that it inspires.
5) - I personally don't think the Cabela's chain will disappear, but what would happen here in Moncton? It's pretty rare for any community to have both stores, especially a city as small as Moncton. Does this mean that the Moncton Cabela's would close if the chain is bought out by BPS?
6) - BPS could choose to keep Cabela's open here too, especially if Cabela's branded goods remain separate and are not sold in BPS stores. What I said before might still hold true - under this scenario, having both stores in the same market might lead to synergy and enhanced retail tourism.
7) - Alternatively, BPS could keep the local Cabela's store open, but operating under the BPS banner and simply move some of their operations out to the new location. For example, they could move their boating section and ATV business to the Cabela's store to free up space in their main store for something else, like one of their signature restaurants.
There are lot's of possibilities here. Cabela's isn't dead yet, and may yet survive. Even if the merger goes through, that doesn't necessarily mean that the Cabela's store in Moncton will close. Only time will tell.
This will be a very interesting story to keep an eye on over the next year or so.