Yeah, I'm pretty sure UTA is up to some improvements to TRAX. Hopefully we'll hear about an announcement soon. Probably another way UTA will tease tax payers into wanting to support the sales tax measure: "vote yes, and get extra rush hour trains! Vote no, and be crowded and late FOREVER!"
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On a separate note, one of my favorite rail-related blogs did a
cost-estimate analysis on electrification. Electrifying a line can save an agency a lot of money in terms of operating costs, equipment maintenance costs, and environmental costs (especially in cap-and-trade areas, where one must pay to pollute). According to him, it takes between 21-29 bi-directional frequencies in order for the initial capital investment of electrification to pay off financially. This means 42-58 trains a day pass a single point on a line.
FrontRunner runs 56 trains a day (counted between North Temple and Woods Cross on the published schedule). That makes FrontRunner a prime target for electrification, even before hypothetical frequencies are added. FrontRunner would run so much cheaper under electrified power than under diesel power that
the savings should be able to pay for the capital investment itself.
This is similar to how Amtrak is paying for the brand-new electric locomotives it has on order from Siemens:
An ACS-64 on the Northeast Corridor
These new locomotives are so much more energy efficient than the older electrics they are replacing (the older ones didn't even have regenerative breaking!) that the energy savings alone are enough to pay for the new locomotives, with the help of a low-interest loan from the Federal Government (through the railroad rehabilitation and investment financing program, a program available all railroads, including UTA).
So, my thoughts are: has UTA looked into this option? If UTA is committed to spending money on FrontRunner diesel fuel for the next forever (because I assume they don't plan on ceasing FrontRunner operation), why not apply for the same type of federal loan? For the duration of the loan, it will cost just as much as running diesel trains, but once the loan is up UTA will have a much cheaper system to run.
UTA's estimate of
$12 million per track mile cost for electrification seems very high to me. Other projects in Connecticut were able to complete their electrification for
$4 million per route mile. That number would place the total cost of electrifying FrontRunner from Provo to Ogden at $356 million, which is less than Amtrak's loan amount. How long it would take for this to become cost effective would depend on the price of diesel fuel, of which UTA burns between 1-2 gallons for every train mile traveled (UTA is paying for
thousands of gallons per day, which can't be cheap!)
Then there is the cost of electric locomotives. UTA has sold 3 of it's locomotives (#12, and #13 & #14) to Minnesota and Boston respectively, and could probably get a good price on the locos it has left. That would partially offset the cost of new electric locomotives, or even EMU's (which would require the sale of all UTA's passenger cars as well, but that's a different discussion entirely!). An ACS-64, the type Amtrak is buying, costs just over $6 million per unit, as compared to the diesels UTA currently runs which were $3.5 million each when brand new. One of the reasons these locomotives are so much more expensive is because they are much more powerful. The ACS-64 can produce 8,600 hp, whereas the MP36PH units UTA uses can produce only 3,600. What this means is that an electric train, even one with locomotives and cars (as opposed to an EMU, which would be even faster), would be able to accelerate much faster than the diesel train. With all of FrontRunner's station stops (there are 15 in 89 miles, so lots of starting and stopping) this will make a significant difference in the schedule. Based on another analyisis, I'd guess that 10-15% improvement in travel time could be expected, which is enough to shorten the SLC-Provo times by 6-9 minutes. It's a small improvement, but would certainly be a welcome one.
Electric locomotives also cost less to maintain. See the blog post I referenced for the specifics.
I think UTA should at least investigate this option, of getting a loan from the Federal railroad investment program, building cost-effective improvements, then using the savings to pay off the loan. These back-of-the-envelope calculations show that it could be possible for UTA to electrify FrontRunner without needing to raise any outside money. That makes me very excited - that without any additional funding we could get a faster, cleaner, and quieter commuter rail system!
The next question is 'who can I contact at UTA to pitch this idea to?'