Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTH
That doesn't sound right--as I recall there was a spike in average hourly earnings from like late-2013 to early-2014, but it was already over as of this time in 2014.
That spike actually coincided with the latter part of the period in which overall year-over-year jobs growth was very low or sometimes negative. Once jobs growth picked back up, the spike ended. Part of what that demonstrates is that in the short term, at least, the average hourly earnings is very sensitive to which jobs sectors are growing most rapidly. So, for example, the current relatively rapid growth in Leisure and Hospitality is going to tend to shift the average hourly earnings down. But of course that doesn't mean pay is actually going down for existing jobs.
Overall I'd say this is a measure we should keep an eye on over the long term, but we should expect significant short term variation in trends.
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I just checked out the FRED website... and most peer metros experienced similar trends to Pittsburgh over the past couple years. The flattening of earnings is a macro issue, not a Pittsburgh-specific issue as JVC would like to pretend.
As for JVC's example of Verde's closure as some sort of indicator of Pittsburgh's decline... the owners will be announcing a new restaurant concept in that very space soon. There's many reasons why a restaurant may close that are not related to "this city's going to hell".
http://www.nextpittsburgh.com/eatdrink/caffe-damore-coffee-community-go-hand-hand/
And the articles on restaurant openings I posted a couple days ago indicate if anything, Pittsburgh's dining scene continues to expand and diversify.