Quote:
Originally Posted by finalcoolman
Logistically, the bigger the network gets, the more difficult this becomes. In addition, if we made the switch back then, we 'only' would have had to throw away 114 MK I cars.
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150 cars. And replacing them would've cost about 500 millions back then (the MkIIs were more expensive back then), about half of the Millennium Line budget. If they had those money to waste back then, they would've completed Evergreen Line, which was
only 700 millions.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bdawe
Expo has the most demand and needs the biggest, newest trains, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. At some point, after we hit the hard capacity barrier at 26-30,000 people per hour per direction on the Expo Line, you could junk the Mark Is, move the Mark II and III trains over to Millenium, and order wide bodied Mark IV trains after knocking out the platform extenders, if such a thing really is possible.
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We don't need to worry about Expo Line going past the 30,000 pphpd barrier for a long time.
Base on the trip diary and Expo Line upgrade document:
Current demand for all modes: 21,500 pphpd
Current trips on filled by Expo Line: 16,000 pphpd
Estimated year when:
Total demand past 25,000 pphpd: 2036
Total demand past 30,000 pphpd: ~2066 (extrapolated from graph)
Estimated year when:
Ridership on Expo past 20,000 pphpd: 2027
Ridership on Expo past 22,500 pphpd: 2038
Ridership on Expo past 25,000 pphpd: ~2049 (extrapolated from graph)
Ridership on Expo past 30,000 pphpd: ~2071 (extrapolated from graph)
If that's the case, the current train width will be fine for the next 50 years or so.
Quote:
Originally Posted by logan5
Would it be worth it though? How much capacity would you gain?
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Well, the cars are 13% wider, so I assume it holds 13% more people?
Extending the Millennium Line to connect Expo and Canada Line is projected to
reduce the demand for Expo downtown segment by 22% (down from 23,000 to 19,000 pphpd in 2041), so perhaps its a better place to spend the money?