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Originally Posted by osmo
The reality is that half baked political peddling will end up biting Toronto in the end. Both SmartTrack and the Scarb-Subway are not real or viable ideas and both will end up eating each others ridership. The data already suggests that the Scarb-Subway will serve less people per KM then the white elephant Sheppard Subway and will essentially be a glorified and costly shuttle from a shopping mall to Kennedy. Both Smart-Track and the Scab-Way depend on trip generations from Markahm to have any validity and both won't be able to exist as one will be favored over the other.
So what will Tory have to do? He will have to save face on Smart-Track and adjust the Scarb-Way, or take a egg on the face for his term mandate project.
The replacement to LRT for the RT would of been close to finished now with the northern LRT stretch already running to provide relief. As many oddities Transit City (TC) has, it was the most realistic plan Toronto had in a gone era before the public books exploded. None of the issues TC have been figured out by any new plans either so it shows it wasn't all just TC specific.
All the while downtown chokes on itself with proposal after proposal on King West, that gets ridership far above Sheppard and half of the Bloor-Danforth line. The TTC critically needs the DRL or the downtown rapid network will choke on itself during rush hour. Also of critical importance a extension westward of Sheppard to Wilson so the TTC can have full network access to Wilson yard, this gives the ability for the TTC to run near 24-hr service on the classic section of the line (and its most used) from Elglinton to Union.
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I don't pretend to be an expert on Toronto transit needs, however, I am familiar with the city and I have followed the debates.
It seems to me that in order to get plans implemented, you need substantial political support. The DRL has failed to achieve that.
Transit City has always had very mixed support amongst the public and at the political level because of its limits in providing real improved service on long haul routes.
Rather than fumbling back and forth, if something is to be actually completed, there needs to be a plan that actually improves service and then go with it.
The Scarborough RT was always an orphan line creating extra transfers. It seems to me that people will receive real improvement in service by connecting this line to the rest of the rapid transit network and the best connection would be to the Bloor-Danforth subway. I know there is a considerable cost, however, it has achieved the political support needed.
The Smart Tracks plan as an improvement of Go RER also will deliver better service to many people with fast and frequent service to Union Station from many parts of the city and greater Toronto. This should be a new ridership generator and those people will not be using Yonge-Spadina subway. Whether Smart Tracks will redirect any significant ridership away from the Yonge-Spadina subway, you will have a better idea of that.
The issue with DRL is its extreme cost. A project of this nature will require enormous political support to get off the ground and that means overwhelming support from the public. Until that happens, it won't be built and every other band aid solution will take place first.
Here in Ottawa, we faced exactly the same situation and our downtown subway is now being built after decades of delay. Strangely, it took a very green politician to finally convince City Council of its need. He was otherwise a pretty incompetent mayor. One day, the right politician will come along in Toronto and the DRL will finally be built. In meantime, you need to allow other transit improvements to take place. In the long-run, this will end up supporting the construction of the DRL as ridership growth will increasingly demonstrate its need.