Quote:
Originally Posted by outoftheice
Part of it very well could be. Here's a bit more of a comprehensive article that was published in the Herald:
http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news...lrt-but-also-whether-its-worth-the-costs
What both articles seem to gloss over is the fact that this study will examine how to phase construction of the Green Line LRT (if funding becomes available) and not just the SE portion. My guess is the first phase will include LRT from Quarry Park to somewhere north of Downtown to demonstrate that the project is more than just a SE LRT and to keep a large number of the northern Councillors onboard. Further phases will most likely involve incremental expansion of the line first to the north and then to the southeast.
Essentially this is the City's reaction to the fact they think the Federal Government and Provincial Government are more likely to dig deep for funding a prestige LRT project than they are a transitway project. Once the plan is presented in December, the City can go to the other orders of government and say "We want to build this.... you need to help by giving us X number of dollars" vs "We would like funding for our LRT and depending on how many dollars you give us will determine just what we do with it" as is the case now.
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Politically, I get why there are a lot of reasons to consider the Green Line as one project, but the reality is that unless the city is promised $5-6B, there is no way the north leg will be built in the same decade as the southeast leg.
This is because of a few problems:
-There is only room for necessary facilities on the SE leg, and thus it must be built first
-The SELRT is almost useless until it at least reaches Quarry Park
-After it does reach QP, it will be a lot more attractive to extend it to Mackenzie Towne for $100M than to extend it at the north end for 10 times as much; [repeat logic every step until we reach Seton]
-Any above-ground route between 16th ave N and Downtown will be a dealbreaker on council; any below-ground route will cost as much as a city-wide BRT network
-Even with dramatically higher provincial and federal commitments, Calgary is unlikely to find the capital to create the complete Green Line for years
-Many things could change in the 10-15 years it will take between stages of construction. That's a whole new political generation. Whatever part we manage to build could end up being the only thing we build for years.
Depressing, I know, but without a major institutional revolution in how these projects are funded (i.e. Plebiscite, city charter, double or triple gas tax, carbon levy, etc), I doubt we'll ever see the Green Line. Meanwhile, do the easy wins and hope for a miracle.