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  #7281  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 1:26 AM
UrbanRevival UrbanRevival is offline
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Originally Posted by PhillyRising View Post
Houses fly off the market in Chester County depending on where they are located...the closer to amenities...the faster they seem to go. Old row homes in West Chester Borough are going for 350K if they are bordering the downtown.

The Philadelphia western suburbs are generally much better than suburbs in other parts of the country.

I also agree with you in the slower growth. It keeps our quality of life more manageable. I would rather see most of the growth in the city....because the suburbs can't really thrive if the core city is dead.
Absolutely. Even outside of the western suburbs, the region is chock-full of stable and pleasant communities--and it's easy to recognize this when traveling to most major metro areas. In my view, outside of some pockets that need some modernization/investment and implementing some more mixed-use development, suburbs are something that Philly does very well.

And I completely agree about the symbiotic suburb-city relationship. That's why it's so important to take a regional perspective that recognizes and markets the strengths of both--because there are many.
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  #7282  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 7:13 PM
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Cro Burnham Cro Burnham is offline
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Certain Philly suburbs, like West Chester and large parts of Chester County, are very pleasant and in high demand for sure. Many - most - are no great shakes; and many are downright unappealing sprawlfests with few economic advantages. This is where property prices are probably stagnating most: remote, aesthetically unappealing places where many high level businesses are no longer really interested in locating.

This has become a big problem for large, heavily populated parts of the remote northeastern and eastern suburbs, and has been a big problem for many older, rundown inner suburbs for at least 25 years (think eastern Delco, Lower Bucks, western Burlington and Camden counties, northern Gloucester.

Some cities have generally more attractive suburbs than Philadelphia (or PA in general), which has some of the sprawliest, most poorly planned, most Balkanized suburbs in the northeast. Boston, Seattle, Portland, SF, Westchester Co NY come to mind as places with generally more attractive suburbs and healthier suburb/city ties.

I say this not out of an anti-suburban bias (though I do not like many Philly suburbs at all), and I agree completely that there ought to be a symbiotic relationship between the core city and the greater region in any healthy metro economy.

But I think stagnating real estate prices in Greater Philadelphia is generally reflective of the weak economic outlook for large swaths of the burbs as well as many of the less central, less visually appealing parts of the city.

Despite my antipathy toward sprawling suburbs, I feel no glee in the decline of many of the region's outlying areas, as I recognize the obvious fact that has been pointed out above: we need healthy suburbs and healthy cities to have a healthy growing region.

It's just that many of our suburbs structurally figuratively kind of sick: increasingly lower income populations with weakening economic prospects, declining tax bases, weakening school districts, nondescript/obsolete building stock, poor/non-existent urban planning, weak public transit . . . in short, little that will draw in needed newcomers that will uplift these places.

No reason to get mad at me for saying this. But that, in part at least, explains a lot of the stagnating home prices that some of you are puzzling over.
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  #7283  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 7:23 PM
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Huge crane erected and visible on Columbus Blvd. Is this for the Sugarhouse expansion or another project?
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  #7284  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 7:52 PM
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Originally Posted by iheartphilly View Post
Huge crane erected and visible on Columbus Blvd. Is this for the Sugarhouse expansion or another project?
That crane is for the one water street project. thread here: http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?t=211345
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  #7285  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 7:54 PM
MikeNigh MikeNigh is offline
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Is it possible we can get that thread under "Philadelphia Projects & Construction". Definitely an awesome project for the area.
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  #7286  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 8:03 PM
UrbanRevival UrbanRevival is offline
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Originally Posted by Cro Burnham View Post
Certain Philly suburbs, like West Chester and large parts of Chester County, are very pleasant and in high demand for sure. Many - most - are no great shakes; and many are downright unappealing sprawlfests with few economic advantages. This is where property prices are probably stagnating most: remote, aesthetically unappealing places where many high level businesses are no longer really interested in locating.
I'm not denying that Philly's suburbs have some economic challenges; I'm just not seeing how any other major metro areas have much more of an advantage/less challenges, here. Again, as a slow growth region, at least the Philly area can dedicate more time/resources to ensure that it is growing more efficiently and effectively.

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Originally Posted by Cro Burnham View Post
Some cities have generally more attractive suburbs than Philadelphia (or PA in general), which has some of the sprawliest, most poorly planned, most Balkanized suburbs in the northeast. Boston, Seattle, Portland, SF, Westchester Co NY come to mind as places with generally more attractive suburbs and healthier suburb/city ties.
Seattle/Portland/SF definitely have a propensity to accept more ambitious urban and transit-oriented development in their suburbs--I will give you that. But again, they're mostly tract-housing based areas with very small lots (and thus surprisingly little interspersed green space), larger highways, little history, very little architectural significance and variety (e.g., "over planned" cities), and a lack of human-scaled urban centers. They all have boomed much more in the post-war age, and thus have a much more auto-oriented focus than many realize.

Boston and metro NYC have extremely similar suburbs to Philly in terms of aesthetics and balkanization. I'm not at all seeing the inherent advantage in terms of attractiveness or other planning aspects there, although I suppose this is completely subjective.

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Originally Posted by Cro Burnham View Post
It's just that many of our suburbs structurally figuratively kind of sick: increasingly lower income populations with weakening economic prospects, declining tax bases, weakening school districts, nondescript/obsolete building stock, poor/non-existent urban planning, weak public transit . . . in short, little that will draw in needed newcomers that will uplift these places.
Some suburbs have challenges. That much is true, but you're still seeming to neglect the fact that--even as Philadelphia has become a much more attractive living destination in recent years--healthy business, economic, and population growth is still occurring all over the metro area. Healthy suburbs far outweigh those that are declining, whereas you seem to suggest it is the opposite. In fact, you seem to be unaware of the fact that Philadelphia's suburbs are among the most affluent (especially accounting for cost-of-living) and educated in the US:

http://www.brookings.edu/research/intera...mber&year=2010&geo=suburb&zoom=0&x=0&y=0

That would be far from the case if they had a difficult time attracting prosperous people.

Last edited by UrbanRevival; Apr 27, 2015 at 9:28 PM.
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  #7287  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 8:33 PM
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Originally Posted by UrbanRevival View Post
Philadelphia's suburbs are among the most affluent (especially accounting for cost-of-living) and educated in the US:

http://www.brookings.edu/research/intera...mber&year=2010&geo=suburb&zoom=0&x=0&y=0

That would be far from the case if they had a difficult time attracting prosperous people.
I wonder what accounts for the price stagnation then.
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  #7288  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 9:22 PM
UrbanRevival UrbanRevival is offline
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Originally Posted by Cro Burnham View Post
I wonder what accounts for the price stagnation then.
The numbers indicating a "buyers market" doesn't necessarily mean there is a lack of demand or price stagnation (sales prices are up 8% year-over-year as of March 2015 region wide; supply is also down by 17%: http://www.longandfoster.com/Market-Minute/PA/Philadelphia-Metro.htm). It simply means that buyers are getting a better deal compared to the original asking price--so perhaps Philly area sellers are just a little too idealistic/stubborn about the value of their homes.

Still, the housing market could be a bit stronger, but think the root of it is just the regional job market. It's still in a recovery phase (which has been prolonged by continued economic restructuring in certain industries, like pharmaceuticals). 2015 is poised to be the turning point for the Philly area (i.e., the region will likely regain all of the jobs lost during the "Great Recession").
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  #7289  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 9:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cro Burnham View Post
It's just that many of our suburbs structurally figuratively kind of sick: increasingly lower income populations with weakening economic prospects, declining tax bases, weakening school districts, nondescript/obsolete building stock, poor/non-existent urban planning, weak public transit . . . in short, little that will draw in needed newcomers that will uplift these places.

No reason to get mad at me for saying this. But that, in part at least, explains a lot of the stagnating home prices that some of you are puzzling over.
As someone who is actively looking to buy in some of these places that you very clearly don't care for, I don't think you have any idea what you're talking about. You're painting hundreds of square miles with a very broad brush. There was a market correction in 2008. Many areas are back to where they were pre-crash. This isn't atypical of most of America. You don't want rapid price explosions in housing. That's exactly what happened in the last bubble.

Many new listings are resulting in multiple bid situations. Those that are priced right are being grabbed off the MLS on the same day they're being listed. It's anecdotal, but none of the realtors I'm talking to believe it is a buyer's market here in the deary old awful sprawling hell that is suburban Philadelphia.
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  #7290  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 9:46 PM
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A bid invitation came across my desk for the demolition of the Penn Tower Hotel. The pre-construction schedule shows actual demolition by November and total removal by June 2016.
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  #7291  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 10:02 PM
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As someone who is actively looking to buy in some of these places that you very clearly don't care for, I don't think you have any idea what you're talking about. You're painting hundreds of square miles with a very broad brush.
Again, I completely agree a) that I don't have any idea what I'm talking about and b) that you can't paint hundreds of square miles with one broad brush.

Interspersed through dismal expanses of sprawl (or urban) wasteland are little gems of towns and neighborhoods, and that is truer in Philadelphia than most places, as the sprawl enveloped some very pretty pre-suburban towns. I hope you are successful in finding a house in such a place.
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  #7292  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 11:23 PM
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A bid invitation came across my desk for the demolition of the Penn Tower Hotel. The pre-construction schedule shows actual demolition by November and total removal by June 2016.
They were promising Labor Day, but sounds like it is getting delayed (again). I suppose it's a moot point until they have a design for the new hospital anyway. Tearing down PT and the garage will not hold up anything else for quite awhile.

Cheers,
G.
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  #7293  
Old Posted Apr 27, 2015, 11:42 PM
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I suppose it's a moot point until they have a design for the new hospital anyway.
Bring it on, Lord Foster!
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  #7294  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 12:09 PM
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A bid invitation came across my desk for the demolition of the Penn Tower Hotel. The pre-construction schedule shows actual demolition by November and total removal by June 2016.
Nice.
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  #7295  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 7:13 PM
PhillySteaks PhillySteaks is offline
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false

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cro Burnham View Post
It's just that many of our suburbs structurally figuratively kind of sick: increasingly lower income populations with weakening economic prospects, declining tax bases, weakening school districts, nondescript/obsolete building stock, poor/non-existent urban planning, weak public transit . . . in short, little that will draw in needed newcomers that will uplift these places.
I don't understand this stupid war of the city vs. suburbs lol. It's so ridiculous. Why does everyone care so much? So many people in this area spend parts of their lives living in both the suburbs and the city. Both have ups, and both have downs just like anything else. So coming from someone who spends a lot of time in both resi and commercial RE markets of both greater and central philadelphia. Just a few things listed below.

1.) What does "structurally figuratively" mean?
2.) Increasingly lower income populations - false
3.) Weakening economic prospects - false
4.) Declining tax bases - lol BIG false
5.) Weakening school districts - another big FALSE
6.) Obsolete building stock - Maybe in some parts, but there is massive construction of MF, Office, and even some light industrial throughout Conshohockon, exton, Valley Forge, King of Prussia, etc. Also resi has been slow going but there is still considerable construction throughout particular enclaves i/e flourtown, etc. (so, false)
7.)Non-existent urban planning - umm, it's the suburbs?
8.) Weak public transit - umm, it's the suburbs. People want the freedom that comes with driving. Most can afford it as well.
9.) While there has been an population shift of millenials to urban areas, it is still waaaay too early in the trend to announce a victory. Where are these millienials coming from? Well they are the suburban children of greater philadelphias baby boomers (link below for your reference). Additionally, there are many large fundamental issues in (especially philadelphia's) foundation, and bike share isn't one of them. The 42% funded pension which takes 15-20% out of annual operating revenues that's around $800,000,000 from potential city services evaporating annually, the ongoing disrepair of non-private/charter public schools throughout the city, and the anemic white collar office job growth that's taking place in center city when compared to urban centers of likeness. Yes these things can, and should, be corrected. Unfortunately I have yet to see a response out of a single mayoral candidate addressing one of these issues. Just Levy out of the Center City District with a tax proposal that would do wonders if passed...unfortunately that's big IF.

http://billypenn.com/2015/03/05/the-grea...-from-and-where-they-go-when-they-leave/

-Per US Census Data (All of Philadelphia - not just Center City)
As you’ll notice by the map, most Philly movers are clustered around Philadelphia. The great majority of our new residents are former suburbanites from Montgomery (5,265), Delaware (5,332), Chester (1,496), Bucks (3,749), Camden (1,850) and Burlington Counties (1,148). Not surprisingly, Philadelphia is still comprised largely of Pennsylvanians and people hailing from nearby.

-Schools, jobs and crime are all reasons why Philadelphia leaders are worrying whether the boom will last. And sure enough, more people are still moving from Philadelphia to the suburbs than from the suburbs into Philadelphia, with an annual average net loss of -8,077 from 2008-2012.

Last edited by PhillySteaks; Apr 28, 2015 at 7:38 PM.
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  #7296  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 7:40 PM
ILovePhilly ILovePhilly is offline
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Will all of you kindly shut up, seriously.

And here is me NOT FOLLOWING THAT REQUEST WITH A GIANT "YOU'RE WRONG" ENTRY INTO THE FORRAY. Seriouly, shut up. If I wanted to listen to this crap I'd be reading the comment section at Philly.com.
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  #7297  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 8:29 PM
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  #7298  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 8:32 PM
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That photo is " National Geographic " material . Great shot , thanks for posting it .
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  #7299  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 8:34 PM
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Will all of you kindly shut up, seriously.

And here is me NOT FOLLOWING THAT REQUEST WITH A GIANT "YOU'RE WRONG" ENTRY INTO THE FORRAY. Seriouly, shut up. If I wanted to listen to this crap I'd be reading the comment section at Philly.com.

OMG . You forced me to look up the meaning of " Determinism ".
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  #7300  
Old Posted Apr 28, 2015, 8:49 PM
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Originally Posted by ILovePhilly View Post
Will all of you kindly shut up, seriously.

And here is me NOT FOLLOWING THAT REQUEST WITH A GIANT "YOU'RE WRONG" ENTRY INTO THE FORRAY. Seriouly, shut up. If I wanted to listen to this crap I'd be reading the comment section at Philly.com.
I agree. Thank you. Any posts after this will be deleted immediately.
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