The value of any spur or hub is in the passenger volume experienced at those connections. If a “transit hub” is stuck in a feedback loop of meager service and little traffic, connecting to that hub requires compromising the efficiency of the rest of the system. With Hamilton looking at 10 trains per day split between two stations in the morning and evening rush, the main driver of intercity/regional passenger volume would seem to be the GO bus routes that are already overlaid with the proposed B-Line route (and if the city/province can resolve McMaster’s
concerns about LRT’s impact on its electron microscope, it might be relatively simple to loop in the McMaster GO Bus Terminal).
The
2010 HSR Operational Review recorded just 12 stops with 1,000+ weekday boardings. Nine of those are either directly on the proposed B-Line route or within a block of it. If there isn't an identifiable location with a comparable level of passenger demand (or latent demand), any detour from the trunk becomes just that.
Now consider Mississauga’s numbers: The one detour that the proposed Hurontario LRT
route makes is to circle Square One (the fourth largest mall in the country, pulling in around 65,000 visitors per day), with stops by Mississauga City Hall/Living Arts Centre/Sheridan College Campus, the City Centre Transit Terminal (with BRT connection) and Kariya Gate (the front doorstep of a neighbourhood with probably twice the population density as Durand). Any or all of those seem to be high-demand stops.
Ridership numbers on MiWay and Brampton Transit have been on a steady upward trend for the last decade, so enhanced service connecting to hub locations seems like a natural.
Hamilton's numbers have essentially plateaued in that time and are expected to fall in response to pending fare hikes — needed because council refuses to invest in the systemic upgrades they identified as necessary to supporting higher-order transit. (The city's transit director, for his part, unwittingly enabled council's intransigence when he
suggested that the HSR currently lacks the passenger volume to even merit a transit-only lane, before going on to recommend the need for
more such lanes.)