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  #161  
Old Posted Dec 5, 2014, 11:39 PM
Spring2008 Spring2008 is offline
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Power shifting to Calgary. Though they under counted how many head offices we have.

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‘Toronto has less influence now': How Canadian corporate power is making a big shift westward

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Theresa Tedesco | December 3, 2014 7:08 PM ET
More from Theresa Tedesco | @tedescott
The Bow, Calgary's tallest building. The University of Moncton found that as many corporations either set up shop in or relocate to Alberta, many of the people who decide corporate strategy, such as layoffs, mergers and acquisitions, and how companies invest money, are now increasingly in Calgary.
Keith Morison for National PostThe Bow, Calgary's tallest building. The University of Moncton found that as many corporations either set up shop in or relocate to Alberta, many of the people who decide corporate strategy, such as layoffs, mergers and acquisitions, and how companies invest money, are now increasingly in Calgary.
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As economic power in Canada continues to shift westward, so too, apparently, are the seats of corporate influence.

Alberta — when compared against much larger Ontario — now has three times as many company headquarters per capita, according to research from the University of Moncton. But the western province now boasts significantly more than its fair share of board directors — the ultimate corporate decision-makers — than anywhere else in the country.

We see power shifting to the west, especially to Calgary. Toronto has less influence now
A study by a group of academics at the New Brunswick-based university shows that of the 234 corporate headquarters of companies listed on the S&P/TSX Composite Index that are based in Canada, 82 or 35% are located in Ontario, 79 or 33.9% are in Alberta, followed by Quebec and British Columbia which have 32 (13.7%) and 28 (12%) respectively.

At the same time, the western provincial powerhouse boasts the strongest representation of corporate directors from those same S&P/TSX companies, the research found. “No other Canadian province is over-represented when considering its demographic weight,” it concluded. Only Alberta is.

The other nine provinces are inadequately represented in terms of the number of head offices and their respective share of the total population.

For example, according to the findings, more companies are headquartered in Ontario than in Alberta, but because its population is nearly four times larger than its western counterpart, the long-time engine of Canada’s economy is considered underrepresented. Conversely, Alberta has three times more headquarters than its share of the population.

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“We see power shifting to the west, especially to Calgary. Toronto has less influence now,” said Sebastien Deschenes, a director and professor of accounting at the University of Moncton and one of three academics who conducted the research.

Without question, a tectonic shift in economic clout and influence from central Canada to western urban centres has been under way for almost two decades, fueled largely by a boom in commodities and surge in the oil and gas industries. At the same time, this transference has been abetted by a major restructuring in the traditional manufacturing sectors in Ontario and Quebec that has crippled their economies.

The vast majority of the 79 corporate headquarters in Alberta are located in Calgary – only five in other cities. Of those, 60 are associated with the oil and gas sector, although there are a handful of major publicly traded companies, including telecommunications giant Shaw Communications Inc., WestJet Airlines Ltd., agricultural giant Agrium Inc., international engineer and design firm Stantec Inc. and Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. Meanwhile, Toronto remains home to the financial services sector and shares mining with Vancouver.

Ted Rhodes/Postmedia News
Ted Rhodes/Postmedia NewsPanoramic view from the upper floors of The Bow tower in Calgary.
More significantly, the University of Moncton findings suggest that as many corporations either set up shop in or relocate to Alberta, many of the people who decide corporate strategy, such as layoffs, mergers and acquisitions, and how companies invest money, are now increasingly sitting in executive suites and boardrooms in Calgary.

Of the 1,771 directors in the 234 S&P/TSX listed companies with Canadian headquarters, 37.2% (659 directors) are based in Ontario, 28.8% (510) in Alberta, 15.4% (273) in Quebec, 12.6% or 224 in British Columbia and only 5.8% for the other six provinces combined.

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Meanwhile, Ontario and British Columbia are almost equally weighted in terms of the number of head offices and directors based on their respective demographics.

While it appears that companies are steadily looking westward, they appear to be bypassing Manitoba and Saskatchewan. Those two provinces accounted for only seven of the total corporate head offices (or 3%) and only a paltry 2.9% of the total number of directors. According to the findings, only 24 firms of the 234 listed on S&P/TSX composite index with Canadian headquarters listed directors from one of these two provinces.

Conversely, the four Atlantic provinces, which have a long history of producing many of the country’s blue-chip directors, accounted for 42.2% of all board members (52 in total), despite having a fractionally higher total population than Manitoba and Saskatchewan. More significantly, directors from the Atlantic region are members of the boards of four of Canada’s six major banks — Royal Bank, Toronto Dominion, Bank of Nova Scotia and National Bank – as well as other major corporations. None come from Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

Prof. Deschenes cautioned that those provinces “should be very concerned by their limited representation in boardrooms” because the “absence of a voice could lead the enterprises to miss opportunities, including philanthropic contributions.” More importantly, he said, they risk losing out on having an important forum to “present their competitive advantages to corporate decision-makers.”

He noted TD Insurance’s decision to create a client service centre in Saint John, NB with 275 jobs as an example of how the city benefitted from having former New Brunswick premier Frank McKenna on TD’s board as deputy chairman to promote the city’s low cost, bilingual workforce. “In the absence of such links, companies might lose knowledge and the regional markets as well,” Prof. Deschenes explained.

While the study offers no assessment of the economic impact the western tilt is having, it does suggest that regional diversity in the boardroom can provide an important “counterbalance” to the tendency of head offices to narrowly focus on the regions in which they are located
http://business.financialpost.com/2014/1...te-power-is-making-a-big-shift-westward/
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  #162  
Old Posted Dec 6, 2014, 12:26 AM
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Very cool. This may reverse if the oil glut is longer than expected.
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  #163  
Old Posted Dec 6, 2014, 12:51 AM
geotag277 geotag277 is offline
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I think a lot of eyes will be on Calgary over the next few months. It seems since the 80s every bust cycle we hit gets less and less severe and we bounce back harder and harder. If Calgary can flourish - and large developments can get built - even when oil prices take a hit, I think we may be able to expect a lot of development dollars to go our way.

The vibe I get from many of the recent proposals is still full speed ahead.
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  #164  
Old Posted Dec 6, 2014, 1:04 AM
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I agree Geotag. I never thought of it that way, but It seems pretty accurate. Take the 2009 crash for example, while growth slowed for about a year, we came back stronger than ever, with bigger proposals than ever before, a stronger and more diverse economy than ever before, and tons of international firms vying to design projects here. The fact that we already have so many leased-out projects underway helps a lot too, as well as our still-growing population creating massive demand for condo towers.
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  #165  
Old Posted Dec 6, 2014, 5:45 PM
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I like how many international firms are setting up here. Any global firm that comes to Canada now is either setting up in Tor, Cgy, and/or Van now. The cgy ratio has def gone up.
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  #166  
Old Posted Dec 10, 2014, 7:17 PM
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Things are not looking good at all for the oil market. Suburbia, can you reduce my rent lol.

Quote:
Brent Crude Drops Below $65 as OPEC Sees Less Demand
By Jake Rudnitsky, Moming Zhou and Mark Shenk Dec 10, 2014 10:20 AM

Photographer: Ty Wright/Bloomberg
A rig hand is repairs the boom arm on a single stack drilling rig in Knox County, Ohio, on Dec. 8, 2014.
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Oil Price Hasn't Reached the Bottom: Sass
Brent fell below $65 for the first time in more than five years as OPEC cut the demand forecast for its crude oil to a 12-year low. West Texas Intermediate dropped as U.S. inventories grew.

Futures in London declined as much as 4.9 percent to $63.56, the lowest level since July 2009 and 45 percent below the 2014 peak. OPEC lowered its projection for 2015 by about 300,000 barrels a day to 28.9 million in its monthly report today. U.S. crude inventories increased to the highest seasonal level in weekly data that started in 1982, the Energy Information Administration said.

Brent has collapsed 18 percent in London since Nov. 26, the day before OPEC agreed to leave its production limit unchanged at 30 million barrels a day, resisting calls from members including Venezuela to cut output to stabilize prices. The decision prompted the biggest one-day decline in more than three years.

“The sentiment is horrible right now,” said Paul Crovo, a Philadelphia-based oil analyst at PNC Capital Advisors. “People are just throwing in the towel. I don’t think anybody knows what OPEC wants to do.”

Oil Prices

Brent for January settlement decreased $2.98, or 4.5 percent, to $63.86 a barrel at 11:42 a.m. New York time on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices are down 9 percent this month after a drop of 18 percent in November.

WTI for January delivery fell $3.12, or 4.9 percent, to $60.70 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after touching $60.55, the lowest level since July 2009. The price is down 44 percent from the 2014 peak in June.

Crude Demand

“Another target bites the dust,” Eugen Weinberg, head of commodities research at Frankfurt-based Commerzbank AG, said by phone before the OPEC report was published. “We are still searching for the bottom, and may not find it until OPEC changes policy or low prices begin to eat into production.”

Demand for OPEC’s crude next year will be below the 28.93 million required in 2009 and the lowest since 27.05 million in 2003, the group’s data show.

OPEC pumped 30.56 million barrels a day in November, exceeding its collective target of 30 million for a sixth straight month, a Bloomberg survey of companies, producers and analysts showed.

The markets will correct themselves, Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi told reporters as he attended UN global warming talks in Lima, Peru. “Why should I cut production?” he said when asked if the country will cut output.

Incredibly Bearish

“The Naimi comments are incredibly bearish,” John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York-based hedge fund that focuses on energy, said by phone. “He is sticking to his guns, which is going to foster more panic in the market.”

Crude might fall to $40 a barrel amid a price war or if divisions emerge in OPEC, Mohammad Sadegh Memarian, head of petroleum market analysis at the Oil Ministry in Tehran, said yesterday. Iran, hobbled by economic sanctions over its nuclear program, wants to raise production to 4.8 million barrels a day once the curbs are removed, he said at a conference in Dubai.

The risk of Brent dropping to $60 is clear, Francisco Blanch, head of commodities and derivatives research at Bank of America Corp., said yesterday at a press event in New York. WTI may decline to $50, he said.

“In the past Saudi Arabia was willing to cut production to maintain price but that’s no longer the case because they are willing to let this thing crash and see what it does to U.S. shale producers,” Stewart Glickman, an equity analyst at S&P Capital IQ in New York, said by phone.

EIA Projection

WTI will average $62.75 a barrel in 2015, compared with a November projection of $77.75, the EIA said yesterday. Brent may trade at $68.08, down from an earlier estimate of $83.42, according to the Energy Department’s statistical arm.

While the price drop will start to affect production next year, output is still forecast at the highest level since 1972, EIA Administrator Adam Sieminski said in a statement.

“As we move out in time, the markets will start to rebalance and we’ll see prices firm up a little bit,” Sieminski said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Surveillance” with Brendan Greeley, Tom Keene, and Scarlet Fu. “I don’t think we’re going to get back to the over $100-plus oil that we had for the last three years.”

Crude stockpiles increased 1.45 million barrels to 380.8 million last week, the EIA said. Inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI futures, rose 1.02 million to 24.9 million. Refineries operated at 95.4 percent of their capacity, the highest level since August 2005, and processed 17 million barrels a day of crude and other oils, the most in a data series begun in 1989.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-10/brent-crude-drops-below-65-as-opec-sees-less-demand.html
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  #167  
Old Posted Dec 10, 2014, 7:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Spring2008 View Post
Things are not looking good at all for the oil market. Suburbia, can you reduce my rent lol.
Sorry - I sold. Now I'm going to wait for the defaults and buy back at half price. Boxing Day Blowout maybe?
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  #168  
Old Posted Dec 10, 2014, 7:53 PM
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OPEC is finished and the oil crash will continue, warns Bank of America

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/1...e-warns-bank-of-america/?__lsa=7d74-3b2e
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Originally Posted by Article excerpts
The OPEC oil cartel no longer exists in any meaningful sense and crude prices will slump to $50 a barrel over coming months as market forces shake out the weakest producers, Bank of America has warned.

Revolutionary changes sweeping the world’s energy industry will drive down the price of liquefied natural gas (LNG), creating a “multi-year” glut and a much cheaper source for Europe’s gas needs.

Francisco Blanch, the bank’s commodity chief, said OPEC is “effectively dissolved” after it failed to stabilize prices at its last meeting. “The consequences are profound and long-lasting,” he added.
That last part is interesting ... "profound and long-lasting".

Quote:
BoA said the oil price crash is worth $1-trillion of stimulus for the global economy, equal to a $730-billion “tax cut” in 2015. Yet the effects are complex, with winners and losers and diminishing benefits the further it falls. Academic studies suggest that oil crashes can turn negative if they trigger systemic financial crises in commodity states.
Don't get me wrong - a Calgary/Alberta downturn doesn't float my boat, but that doesn't mean we should all wear rose-coloured classes.

Rest of the article is interesting also.
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  #169  
Old Posted Dec 10, 2014, 8:06 PM
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Sorry - I sold. Now I'm going to wait for the defaults and buy back at half price. Boxing Day Blowout maybe?
With the right timing, there may be some great opportunities for purchasing many financial assets including stocks and real estate.
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  #170  
Old Posted Dec 10, 2014, 8:34 PM
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Sorry - I sold. Now I'm going to wait for the defaults and buy back at half price. Boxing Day Blowout maybe?
Perfect time to buy some Beltline condos!
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  #171  
Old Posted Dec 19, 2014, 3:11 PM
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http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on...es-despite-plunging-oil/article22130664/

Interesting predictions. Would be nice if this was actually part of the plan.
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  #172  
Old Posted Dec 19, 2014, 3:56 PM
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Just wait for the budget. It won't be a sales tax, but the gap is just too big for the government to cut our way to balance.
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  #173  
Old Posted Dec 19, 2014, 4:37 PM
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With the right timing, there may be some great opportunities for purchasing many financial assets including stocks and real estate.
Not to mention high end cars and expensive watches. If I don't get laid off, I might be able to finally afford that Audi R8.
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  #174  
Old Posted Dec 19, 2014, 7:16 PM
geotag277 geotag277 is offline
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With the right timing, there may be some great opportunities for purchasing many financial assets including stocks and real estate.
Exactly. Once the pessimism is all baked into the stock prices, buy it, because at that point they assume oil prices can't ever go up. Wall Street is so short sighted.
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  #175  
Old Posted Dec 19, 2014, 11:30 PM
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Not to mention high end cars and expensive watches. If I don't get laid off, I might be able to finally afford that Audi R8.
A preowned R8 - perfect for the balla' on a budget.
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  #176  
Old Posted Dec 20, 2014, 5:00 AM
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If only all wheel drive volvos were bought by over extended people like 3 and 4 series.
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  #177  
Old Posted Dec 20, 2014, 7:52 PM
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A preowned R8 - perfect for the balla' on a budget.
Bottle service ain't cheap.

Just checked Kijiji. There's a 2014 for sale only $137K.
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  #178  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2014, 3:22 AM
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Seriously?

There are clubs in Calgary offering that?
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  #179  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2014, 6:33 AM
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Seriously?

There are clubs in Calgary offering that?
http://blackbettybwb.com/?page_id=56
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  #180  
Old Posted Dec 21, 2014, 6:52 AM
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Canadian Oil industry would take a hit for sure, but to what degree is still anyone's guess. They would be more susceptible than say, the middle east producers, but there the industry is still viable even at the low prices. Some spending cuts is what I would expect to see. Maybe a some layoffs too.

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