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Originally Posted by dtnphx
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Thanks, man! Looking good. I'm moving back to Northern Virginia next month but, since I was born and lived half my life in Arizona, I will be reading these forums from afar and staying up to date. I came back here in 2012 so this has been a short stay but some good things have happened. Especially in Tempe. Tempe is doing it right.
As I leave, here's my wish list for Arizona for the next ten years as far as development goes:
1. Downtown Phoenix and Tucson both finally get new tallest(s). Phoenix could really, really use a signature tower. It makes me cringe a bit when I read that Tyson's Corner, VA (hotspot of activity in NoVa) is getting a new 470' tower and it will be one of 12 new hi-rises in that area which already has like 30,000,000 sq ft of space. Not comparing the nation's capital's affluent 'burbs with anything, let alone Arizona, but, come on, Phoenix needs something to reflect its stature. How about a nice 600' a bit north of the FAA restricted area (i.e., north of Chase Tower). Please????
Prediction: 4-8 new towers ranging from 250' to 450'. No tallest. Please prove me wrong.
Likewise, Tucson needs another 20+ story tower. Don't need to go the many, many reasons why it would be nice...but I'll give you one anyway, hehe: to hide the *hideous* "green tile" building. Yeah, you know the one. Very well might be the ugliest building in America. Ugh.
Prediction: A new tallest at 25 stories and 350'. Mixed use. As small as DT Tucson is, it has quite a bit more charm that Phoenix. They are playing on it nicely. I see a lot of in-fill and low- and mid-rise. One more hi-rise though: a 20-22 story "signature" DT hotel.
2. Widening of I-10 to four lanes each direction between Phoenix and Tucson. Seriously dangerous interstate. Maybe some better advance warning technology for the (now) routine haboobs?
Prediction: 3 lanes each direction. Helps but preventable accidents due to congestion continues to increase. 6.8 million people (by then) between the two cities and only six lanes to service them. Not getting it done.
3. Tempe continues its ascension to "destination" core for business and pleasure. Tempe's decision to build the Town Lake back in '93 or '94 (I think...anyway, I was here for that) has and is paying huge divvies. Vision. It matters.
Prediction: too hard to tell. Probably another 10-15 mid- and hi-rise buildings go up. 3.5 millions square feet of office space added. ASU finally wins a national championship in football with the killer new stadium.
4. More concerted effort to diversify the economy from growth-reliant to sustainable knowledge- and high-tech-based growth. Tax incentives for in-fill development to eliminate dormant space.
Prediction: Phoenix makes progress but still relies far too much on growth to drive the economy. It gets better but not fast enough. Home prices crash again then rebound again. Again, 2x to 3x the magnitude of the rest of the country through the next boom/bust cycle.
5. Renovation of Chase Field. It's a behemoth and outdated way ahead of schedule. That giant carcass would look out of place in DT Houston or Dallas let alone Phoenix. It's so incredibly disproportionate.
Prediction: Major renovations/retro-fitting to better integrate into overall DT look/feel and successful in diminishing its true scale. Make it look like a ballpark and not a beached spaceship. Done for $50 million. D-backs win another championship. Just because.
6. Aggressive move toward solar energy and newer materials technologies decreases heat island impact to Phoenix summers.
Prediction: Not fast enough. Average temps continue to climb. Summer is now officially (okay, not *officially*) April to October with mean high temps in that period right around 100 degrees. Wear your sunscreen.
7. Population growth is significantly less than the average growth over the last six or seven decades. Increasing at much greater decreasing rate. Shockingly so.
Prediction: Maricopa county grows from 4.3 million in 2015 to 4.7 million in 2025. Phoenix grows from 1.5 million in 2015 to 1.8 million in 2025.
8. A destination water park is finally built somewhere around Phoenix. Seriously, the Valley of the Sun should have the absolute best water park in the world. All solar-powered of course.
Prediction: No signature water theme park. At least not one to write home about. Just doesn't seem to happen.
9. Climate change continues to get more severe and rain becomes increasingly rare but when it does rain it's more severe.
Prediction: 2-3 storms per year, max, produce 85% of the annual rainfall in Phoenix.
10. Cardinals win 2 NFL championships! Suns do not.