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Originally Posted by summersm343
These two recent articles seem to really contradict each other. One claims Office Demand is hitting a sweet spot in Philadelphia to where new construction will be profitable (PhillyMag). The second, Philly.com, basically states new construction office space will not be profitable outside of CITC and FMC and there is a lack of demand.
Pretty funny. I'm more inclined to believe a PhillyMag article over Philly.com due to their proven track record of Philadelphia City bashing, however, I would like to see the office space that is being vacated or currently vacant leased up as well.
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I tend to think the Phillymag article is exaggerating the positives of the office market.
It seems that the future of urban office space will be split into two camps:
- corporate space for large corporations like Comcast and FMC
- "unconventional" open-plan industrial chic space for "creative" and entrepreneurial tech firms
The demand for corporate space in Philly seems like its improving, but there's still a long way to go. The corporate base in this region is largely conventionally oriented and the top firms are centered along the main line. As people her have pointed out, it's hard to imagine many of the firms like Vanguard rushing to Center City.
I'd imagine there will be alot of growth in office lofts to cater to smaller creative and tech firms. But my sense is most of those would be mid-rise properties, not soul-killing corporate high rise cubicle stockyards.
I think the sweet spot being discussed is that because cap rates are so low in blue chip CBDs of NY, DC, and Boston, the relatively high cap rates for Center City make office skyscraper buys seem cheaper and less risky. But rents are still no where close to what they need to be to develop new conventional spec office towers without tons of KOZ-type tax subsidies, etc.
I think the Phillymag article was confusing the attractiveness of purchasing existing office towers in Center City with the attractiveness of building new office towers. They're kind of two different animals.
The fact that Brandywine is not adding any office space at 1919 Market speaks volumes to this state of affairs.