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Originally Posted by jigglysquishy
If BRT is designed so that it can be upgraded to an LRT it is a fantastic idea.
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Well... Ottawa's BRT advocates swore up and down that the conversion to LRT would be a simple matter of laying down track, but so far, it doesn't seem like it will be any cheaper, easier or faster than if we had to go with LRT on day one. If anything, the much higher operating costs of decades of buses and the inconvenience of having to displace all of the BRT riders off the BRT route for years while the conversion is disadvantageous.
Perhaps the only advantage is the political expedience.
Look, LRT is modular and can serve 1 000 pphpd just as well as it can serve 18 000 pphpd. If you think that you might need to convert sometime in the next 20-30 years, just build LRT now and upgrade as you go along with very little fuss all while benefiting from lower operating costs, higher ridership and more development concentrated along the line. I'd wager that you'd end up
saving money.
That's not to say that all BRT should be LRT - it shouldn't - but I think Ottawa is the first real-world example of a full BRT-to-LRT conversion and I think it's becoming pretty clear that the 'we-can-convert-it-eventually' argument doesn't hold much water when we're talking about essential transit links.
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People need to start looking at subways/LRT/BRT/normal bus as four ways of serving different densities.
While Old Toronto may need a subway, the amalgamated city may need LRT (Scarborough, Etobicoke, York). Further out (Oshawa) may need a BRT while a bus can help connect all these routes.
A city the size of Toronto needs a subway, LRT, BRT, and regular buses to be effective and to realistically serve the whole population.
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Very much agreed. Costs should always be calculated on a per-passenger basis over the long run to give us an accurate picture of the costs; for example, a reserved bus lane on Yonge might seem a lot cheaper than a subway line, but when we actually calculate the cost of transporting 750 000 people every day on buses over 40 years, a very different picture emerges.