Quote:
Originally Posted by YOWetal
A train would increase ridership dramatically. An additional airport charge may be needed to justify cost wise. A side benefit is it would build support for transit among non-frequent users (whose only ride on LRT would be to the airport).
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But we're not talking about a theoretical train, we're talking about the o-train which has a number of limitations, including limited service hours (6am-midnight) a wait of up to 16 minutes (assuming half the trains go to the airport and half go to Riverside South), a necessity to stop 8 times (existing stops plus Uplands, South Keys, Walkley and Gladstone), a transfer to a tram at Bayview and an additional ride to one's destination (assuming one's final destination is on the Confederation line, otherwise there are additional bus transfers).
All of this in a context where a network of limited-access parkways link to the airport and where a number of recent or planned road improvements directly improve access to the airport (new Hunt Club interchange, S-A Bridge, widened airport parkway, widened 417, etc).
It is hard to see where a dramatic increase in train use would come from. It is unlikely to be business users who can expense a 15-25 minute cab ride downtown (in theory they could be downtown before the o-train even leaves the station). It is unlikely to be residents who have to transfer onto a bus (because they are probably comfortable using the existing bus service). It might attract some cost-conscious downtown residents (although many of them probably already take the bus) and might attract some tourists if they have a hotel near a transit station, but I think those are pretty small numbers.
As I said earlier, if circumstances change (o-train gets a direct connection to downtown, NCC rips up the parkways, city tolls the airport parkway, etc) then a rail connection to the airport might make more sense but in the mean time it is hard to see a value-added to justify the expense.