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  #3561  
Old Posted Jul 1, 2014, 5:12 AM
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Originally Posted by PaperTiger View Post
People are literally just driving less. Vehicle miles traveled per capita peaked in 2007 and has been declining ever since in North America. Among Gen Y and Millennials there are fewer people getting their license than ever before and those that do get one are getting them much later.

It’s not just the Iron Workers that is seeing falling numbers. It is in and out of downtown. It is across the Massey tunnel. It is across the new Port Mann. Golden Ears is a disaster.
Really, that is news to me... Instead I see a bridge that was built with the future in mind as our region grows (and the north east and south or the river are growing fast).

6 lanes has made it future proof. And if traffic counts do not warrent 6 lanes in the future then there are 2 rapid bus lanes already built for futur mass transit between these two areas of our metro.

Even so the traffic count has been pretty healthy considering it is a toll bridge that opened just after the largest economic recession in decades and connects two regions that had no true connection before (new business / economic ties do take time to build).

The only mistake was counting on the tolls to pay off the capitol debt. That is akin to thinking that bus and skytrain fares will pay off the capital to build new lines. Idiotic.

In any for of transit (buses, trains, bridges, roads, etc...) tolls should not be used largely for capital costs, but instead for operating costs.

The funny thing is the anti highway people in Vancouver would have called the GEB a failure either way. Under projections = failure because no one is driving! On or over projections - failure because new roads only encourage people to drive!

That is the joke. I think it is good that traffic counts are going down, but metro-Vancouver is still far underbuilt in areas for its current traffic loads. Also, many arteries have hit their saturation points and it is common for such infrastructure to have slight reductions after doing so. Keeping your main arteries (rapid transit and roads) at their saturation points is not good for the regions economy. This is why I support the idea of the Provincial Government providing the capital for both the M-line extension and the new Massey Tunnel / Highway 99 rebuild (with a true rapid bus system). They should also be supplying the capital for the new Patullo Bridge as well.

Then the tolls on this bridges (and the train / bus fares) should be used to help cover operation and maintenance.

Even with driving going down per capita, our region is still growing fast, and there will still be a huge demand for roads and transit, and investing in both and opening up new connections between sub regions is a win win.
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  #3562  
Old Posted Jul 1, 2014, 7:00 AM
trofirhen trofirhen is offline
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Originally Posted by Metro-One View Post
......................

Even with driving going down per capita, our region is still growing fast, and there will still be a huge demand for roads and transit, and investing in both and opening up new connections between sub regions is a win win.
Thank you, thank you! That's what I believed when I said some major road infrastructure from the freeway projects: something to get cars off the arterial streets, would have been nice. (from a post in "The way We Weren't" thread.)

Last edited by trofirhen; Jul 1, 2014 at 10:42 PM.
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  #3563  
Old Posted Jul 4, 2014, 2:47 PM
makr3trkr makr3trkr is offline
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Originally Posted by Metro-One View Post
The funny thing is the anti highway people in Vancouver would have called the GEB a failure either way. Under projections = failure because no one is driving! On or over projections - failure because new roads only encourage people to drive!
When automation arrives in the form of self driving electric vehicles (and it will arrive, sooner, rather than later) mass transit will seem like a quaint, obsolete idea of the past.

That said, freeway infrastructure like the viaducts will be obsolete as well when vehicles can communicate with each other and pilot busy intersections efficiently and potentially without stopping.
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  #3564  
Old Posted Jul 4, 2014, 5:20 PM
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  #3565  
Old Posted Jul 4, 2014, 11:02 PM
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Originally Posted by makr3trkr View Post
When automation arrives in the form of self driving electric vehicles (and it will arrive, sooner, rather than later) mass transit will seem like a quaint, obsolete idea of the past.

That said, freeway infrastructure like the viaducts will be obsolete as well when vehicles can communicate with each other and pilot busy intersections efficiently and potentially without stopping.
Hmm....
I would think the Viaducts would be more useful with an automated vehicle because they wouldn't have to 'pilot' through busy intersections (ie Main @ Prior or Main @ Union; Quebec @ Pacific or Quebec @ Expo; Carrall St; Abbott St) while travelling to or from the Downtown core.


It could happen that when the number of automated vehicles reaches a critical mass, then freeways and highways would become 'restricted access' roads so that ONLY automated vehicles are allowed on them.
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  #3566  
Old Posted Jul 5, 2014, 2:49 AM
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Actually when it comes to automated vehicles I have always thought that restricted access roads (freeways) will be the first sections of roadway to implement automation.
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  #3567  
Old Posted Jul 5, 2014, 2:54 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by makr3trkr View Post
When automation arrives in the form of self driving electric vehicles (and it will arrive, sooner, rather than later) mass transit will seem like a quaint, obsolete idea of the past.

That said, freeway infrastructure like the viaducts will be obsolete as well when vehicles can communicate with each other and pilot busy intersections efficiently and potentially without stopping.
Such a belief reflects a wilful disregard for the simple geometry and space availability of our road network. Transit in general, and rail mass transit in particular, is simply the most space-efficient way of moving people and the cores and major corridors of cities are long past the point of being functional in the absence of transit service. Run the automated cars bumper to bumper and you still won't move people as efficiently as mass transit.

I fully agree that a point will come when automated personal and shared vehicles will be the norm, and I eagerly await it, but it's simply incorrect to believe that they will replace public transit as a mode of transport. At least that's my opinion.
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Last edited by SFUVancouver; Jul 5, 2014 at 8:37 AM.
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  #3568  
Old Posted Jul 5, 2014, 3:09 AM
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Originally Posted by SFUVancouver View Post
Such a belief reflects a wilful disregard for the simple geometry and space availability of our road network. ... it's simply incorrect to believe that they will replace public transit as a mode of transport. At least that's my opinion.
An opinion which I share.
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  #3569  
Old Posted Jul 5, 2014, 3:14 AM
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This subject of automated vehicles needs its own thread. I find it super intriguing. I'm of the opinion that automation can replace all public transit. Not only can the vehicles run closer together, but because there's usually no more than 2 per vehicle, you can have narrower vehicles, turning a 3 lane street into a 5 lane street. Capacity would be almost tripled.
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  #3570  
Old Posted Jul 5, 2014, 4:02 AM
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I'm of the opinion that automation can replace all public transit.
80 individual automated vehicles will still take up far, far more room than a bus. Here the acid test: do you think that New York could eliminate it's transit system by switching to automated vehicles? Remember that you'd have to replace each of their over 6000 subway cars with over 200 individual vehicles. That's over a million MORE cars in the city than already exist. And that doesn't even include bus users.
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  #3571  
Old Posted Jul 11, 2014, 6:54 PM
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*l* I got a kick out of the city's new flood plan presentation.

Quote:
Viaducts removal may create opportunity to build elevated
road surface to act as a berm
http://former.vancouver.ca/ctyclerk/cclerk/20140709/documents/cfsc2-presentation.pdf
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  #3572  
Old Posted Jul 11, 2014, 7:06 PM
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Last edited by spm2013; Nov 16, 2014 at 10:21 PM.
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  #3573  
Old Posted Jul 11, 2014, 9:25 PM
trofirhen trofirhen is offline
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We could solve all this with a project that would be the 8th wonder of the world: a sort of twin Thames Barrier thing; one at Symour Narrows,
the other across the entrance to Juan de Fuca Strait. (The Americans will want to keep Seattle from flooding, too, so they'd no doubt kick in a few billion)
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  #3574  
Old Posted Jul 11, 2014, 9:32 PM
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Originally Posted by aberdeen5698 View Post
80 individual automated vehicles will still take up far, far more room than a bus. Here the acid test: do you think that New York could eliminate it's transit system by switching to automated vehicles? Remember that you'd have to replace each of their over 6000 subway cars with over 200 individual vehicles. That's over a million MORE cars in the city than already exist. And that doesn't even include bus users.
Yes I believe it can replace New Yorks mass transit system. Mass transit is inefficient. It does not take people from point a to point b on demand. A car, or lets call it a capsule (to remove the anti car bias), that you sit in and push a button and it takes you from point a to b in the most efficient manner is superior in every way. Major helpers would be shared capsules, capsules that can interlock and connect up, and of course synchronization between all capsules.

Of course by replacing a mass transit system you can also reuse the infrastructure. Another big helper is working from home and increased flexibility, this will significantly reduce peak volumes.
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  #3575  
Old Posted Jul 11, 2014, 11:09 PM
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Originally Posted by cornholio View Post
Yes I believe it can replace New Yorks mass transit system. Mass transit is inefficient. It does not take people from point a to point b on demand. A car, or lets call it a capsule (to remove the anti car bias), that you sit in and push a button and it takes you from point a to b in the most efficient manner is superior in every way. Major helpers would be shared capsules, capsules that can interlock and connect up, and of course synchronization between all capsules.

Of course by replacing a mass transit system you can also reuse the infrastructure. Another big helper is working from home and increased flexibility, this will significantly reduce peak volumes.
Even if this capsule only had one seat in it. It would still require more room per person on the road than a bus or a train requires. Take a standard articulation bus when full it will hold aprox 100 passengers. If you take those 100 people put each of them in their own single person capsule. The amount of road space needed would be greater than the road space needed for a single 60' bus.

So yes a single a capsule would give you a single a - b ride. But it won't do it in the most efficient way in terms of road space.
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  #3576  
Old Posted Jul 12, 2014, 12:34 AM
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Originally Posted by cornholio View Post
Yes I believe it can replace New Yorks mass transit system. Mass transit is inefficient.
"Inefficient"!?!?!? In terms of overall resources used to transport people, including the capital cost to build the vehicles/infrastructure, operating cost, and the impact on the environment, it's far, far more efficient than individual vehicles could ever hope to be. There's just no comparison.

And in urban New York, transit trips are as fast as or faster than car/taxi trips as often as not.
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  #3577  
Old Posted Jul 12, 2014, 2:50 AM
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the New York City Subway, MTA, is amazing!

i am an avid car driver. i mostly drive everywhere. but every-time i have gone to New York i haven't bothered to rent a car. sometimes i was there even for 3 months. there is no need for a car in New York! i love their subway system. it may be a bit outdated but it is amazing how fast it is to get places and how it goes literally everywhere. i wish we had a system like that in Vancouver.
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  #3578  
Old Posted Jul 12, 2014, 5:49 AM
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Originally Posted by VancouverOfTheFuture View Post
the New York City Subway, MTA, is amazing!

i am an avid car driver. i mostly drive everywhere. but every-time i have gone to New York i haven't bothered to rent a car. sometimes i was there even for 3 months. there is no need for a car in New York! i love their subway system. it may be a bit outdated but it is amazing how fast it is to get places and how it goes literally everywhere. i wish we had a system like that in Vancouver.
then you'll love the asian subways (hk, seoul, tokyo). similar scale but way newer
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  #3579  
Old Posted Jul 12, 2014, 2:34 PM
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Originally Posted by VancouverOfTheFuture View Post
the New York City Subway, MTA, is amazing!

i am an avid car driver. i mostly drive everywhere. but every-time i have gone to New York i haven't bothered to rent a car. sometimes i was there even for 3 months. there is no need for a car in New York! i love their subway system. it may be a bit outdated but it is amazing how fast it is to get places and how it goes literally everywhere. i wish we had a system like that in Vancouver.
would be nice if they had an airport link to Laguardia from Manhattan
Other than UBC i dont think there is a place you cant get to in Vancouver using skytrain.
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  #3580  
Old Posted Jul 29, 2014, 10:35 PM
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Posted over at Price Tags:
Quote:


Adam Fitch asks: “Doesn’t this photo image look a lot like the east end of False Creek, looking at the viaducts?

Developers Grocon and Markham Corporation have been given the green light for their $700 million redevelopment of the IMAX theatre in Darling Harbour into the proposed office/retail and entertainment complex, The Ribbon.
http://pricetags.wordpress.com/2014/07/29/close-relations-sydney-and-vancouver/#comment-42669
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