Quote:
Originally Posted by bunt_q
Cue Wizened's response that we'll all be transit-dependent in a few years when the American (global?) economy collapses and we all slip into sudden abject poverty, the likes of which western humankind hasn't known since the 13th Century. For him, that's when our shortsightedness will bite us. For the rest of us non-doomsayers, it'll be just fine. Wizened's generation will die off, and the rest us will continue to drive anyways, on remote-controlled and solar powered roadways, which some lazy millennial whose aging bones ache when he rides his bicycle will find a way to make economical.
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You do not use public transportation. More importantly, you do not have to.
That is a very important root cause to your observations about DUS and public transportation in general. Those that for their forseeable future will have the means to live an auto centered existence will.*
I,in any of my discussions, have not suggested that mass public transportation is what the masses wish for. Instead, Bunt, I have argued that the percentage of the metropolitan population that cannot afford to commute via a car will rise.
The question, then, is how does one prepare for such an increase when one can only "guestimate" what and when this will be?
I do believe, however, that looking at world energy, resources, food, water, and, projected population numbers that living expenses here in the US (and over most of the world) will continue to rise in real dollars for the worker bees.These worker bees will have their families (if they want to),live in apartments, condos, and single family residences, and do the best that they can to provide for their families. The issue is related to how the worker bees budget their income: how will the matrix containing food, shelter, heat, taxes, medical expenses, entertainment, etc., vary as the price of energy and resources rise?
The insurance industry calculated generations ago actuary tables, whereby odds of mortality could be prorated such that the risk could be calculated. As time has passed, this modeling and odds calculation has grown to where transactions are hedged.
This hedging is all that I recommend: hedge now by putting in public transportation infrastructure that can rapidly expand to handle a high probability of increased demand while the cost in real dollars (actually) is low.
Yes, my bunch will die off, and your team will have their try. But, I guarantee you that those of us who have had our time at bat before you and hedged our bets to your benefit, you will be thankful for.
*excluding the idealists and those that prefer public transportation over auto usage and have the means to be auto centered if they so desire.