Quote:
Originally Posted by scania
The center of retail is not moving anywhere. The new mall that us similar to Atlantic Station that is being built in Alpharetta, doesn't mean that the retail is moving out of the city. There has always been retail around different areas of the city. Some people kill me on this forum wanting everything to be in Midtown. I was one of the few that said a few years ago, that people on this forum were crazy thinking that the Midtown Mile was going to put Lenox out of business.
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Retail is evolving. Nobody has said Lenox is going out of business and in Atlanta trends emerge reallllyyyyy slowly, but retailers that are desirable to landlords and that are expanding are very seriously looking at intown locations. Again, nobody has even mentioned Midtown Mile. And even within Buckhead I'm sure retailers new to the market or expanding in the market who aren't in Lenox will go to the 300,000 SF of retail as part of streets of Buckhead. Simon has to be spending more money than they used to when they were the only guy in town 3 years ago to attract and renew tenants. It's just a reality and it's happening nearly everywhere. Why do you think Simon bought Prime Outlets? They can't solely rely on their enclosed fortress mall business any more.
Jamestown was able to attract credit retail and big name brands/designers to its White Provision development and you can bet with this past year's momentum there will ensure another good round next year on the westside since retailers like to cluster...more tenants that would have gone to Lenox in the past or would have avoided Atlanta altogether without a "district" like White Provision. The same group is doing Ponce City Market, which will have 400,000 SF of retail space mixed with high end office and residential in an appreciating intown area. That's huge. This same group has retail on Newbury St in Boston, on M St in Georgetown and on Fifth Ave. They have relations with many retailers not yet in Atlanta. Of course with half a million SF of prime intown retail space controlled by this group Simon has to be feeling pressure. Then you have Streets of Buckhead which has serious backing and a prime location. Even the little villages such as that in Inman Park have to become attractive at some point to certain retailers looking to expand or enter the market. And with each year and each new tower, the Midtown Mile does eventually start to get on the radar. Somebody just has to make the first move (I was always hoping it would be Apple - they would kill it and they did consider 12th and Midtown).
The Design District in Miami did not exist 3 years ago. Now it has European brand Scotch and Soda, it stole Cartier and other luxury retailers out of Bal Harbour Shops, and it has all the design studios and arms of the luxury groups (think Armani Home, etc). Things happen much more slowly in Atlanta, but the future of retail is not necessarily the fortress enclosed mall and Simon knows that.
And then Crate & Barrel left Lenox for across the street, leaving a huge vacancy that is very difficult to retenant. Can't wait to see what they put in there, but that probably really hurt them because the next guy is going to want a nice package and there aren't many options available in terms of retailers looking to occupy 2 floors and 15,000 SF. Crate & Barrel left Simon for a local landlord (Healey Weatherholtz) and left a fortress mall for a refurbished strip center made to look a little like street retail. That says a lot.
What also says a lot are sales. It's rumored that sales at Lenox are only around $1,000/SF. I don't know for sure, but I think Phipps is similar and that figure is not impressive for such malls. I don't think it tops $1,500. The top fortress malls with a similar tenant mix in other cities do $2,000-$4,000 a foot.
And then you have to consider these one off stores like big name Ligne Roset in Midtown (dealer just closed) and Poggen Pohl in Terminus. They all want to be in Atlanta in high street areas rather than in the mall, but there isn't yet a high street for them. It will happen with time.
And Avalon up in Alpharetta won't likely have an abundance or even any retailers who are new to Atlanta, just new to North Fulton. There is nothing exciting to me about Avalon, but again GGP has to be feeling a little bit of pressure from Avalon as the two malls serve the same area and are competing for a similar tenant mix (Anthropologie chose Avalon).
And as a Midtown resident (as you are too) I'd at least like to think that at some point down the line retailers will be attracted to Peachtree, wouldn't you?