Quote:
Originally Posted by Scottolini
Anything's possible, but things change really quickly. In 2000, when the economy was high-flying, who would have thought how bad it would be in 2002 after 9/11 and the tech bust.
Then again in 2002, while it was all doom and gloom, who would have thought the job growth, and construction boom that occurred just a couple of years later would have happened.
And in 2007, with job openings galore, and being in the midst of an epic building boom, who would have thought we'd be where we are in 2010?
And that was just in one 10 year period. No one can predict the future, but I do know for certain that 10 or 15 years is a long time, and I doubt the developer bought this land with the intent to not develop it for a decade or more.
If things stay that bad for a decade or more, I believe worrying about going to this theater, or that town center will be the least of our worries.
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Well I don't know how the national economy is going to affect Austin but I do know that there is a pending commercial real estate collapse coming this year, if not early next year. Everything I have read said it's going to be really bad like it was for the sub prime stuff.
Also, there are several states that are probably not going to make it the next few years. So something is going to have to happen to remove the last biggest bubble we have ever had. So IMO either inflation is going to get really bad or a ton of states and banks are going to go bankrupt.
Guess it just depends on what the government decides to do, which will determine what will happen in the next 5, 10, and even 15 years.
Personally I think it's going to take 10 to 15 years if the government keeps at it like they currently are.