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Originally Posted by MonctonRad
Nice map Myles, but I think you're being a tad conservative in your projections..... 
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Maybe in places - namely around Dieppe Blvd, but I don't think I'm way out to lunch.
If StatsCan's estimated population for the city turns out to be accurate, we're at almost 140,000 right now (137,000 in 2010, growing by 2,400 or so per year). Even if that falls back to 1,500 per year, it isn't unreasonable to think we'll be around 150,000-155,000 ish. I think a lot of that growth is going to take place inside the currently developed area. Mind you, we could get a big shock when the census is released and find out we're only at 130k, but even still. It's clear the city has grown and there's no strong indicator that will stop any time soon.
The city is going to continue expanding in physical terms, but we're starting to see real progress on the infill front. For the firs time in a long time, Downtown is actually one of the busiest parts of the city in terms of construction. Dieppe is growing quickly too, but there have been just as many apartment and condo units built there in the past few years as housing. Dieppe is also experimenting with sustainable higher-density single family housing in a few neighbourhoods. If you look at the major developments that have been proposed in the last year, just about all of them are either entirely medium-high density, or have some significant component of it. Just look at the Mountain Woods plan-sure, there's lots of single family lots, but it appears they're eventually planning on 13 buildings in the 32-64 unit range. Dieppe's big developments along Gauvin are all large apartments or condos. Even along Dieppe Blvd, there are as many apartments as houses going up. Even Riverview is on board!
In the last 1-2 years, Moncton and Dieppe have opened up close to 500 acres of industrial land. It'll take a few years before that land is filled. And now we have the added competition of the Scoudouc park which will also compete with cheaper land.
As for retail. As I've stated before, I don't expect we'll see much large-scale retail growth beyond population growth once the Mapleton project is done. We'll probably see some stuff go up along Harrisville pretty soon, but that'll start off as businesses that service the local area, like a grocery store or Canadian Tire.