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Originally Posted by MalcolmTucker
But why? If you assume passengers travelling by bus for a portion of a trip to LRTor exclusively by bus is mostly uniform throughout the city, the actual difference in cost to the system is likely less than 25 cents in operating costs from the lowest trip.
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I'm also speaking to the fair capital cost recovery distribution. It costs money to build the LRT further and further out. If the catchment volume in the NW were to be the same from say Banff Trail or University, as opposed to all the way to Crowfoot, you'd be getting a much better bang for your buck. However, not the case. I know you didn't really mention it again here but you've stated before not to punish long distance riders, but then so too should short distance riders not be punished.
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For the change to actually increase mobility you have to assume that a 3-7% increase of short trips will induce more passenger route kms than a 3-7% decrease of long trips will reduce them. (you need to offset the cost of this subsidy to short trips somewhere.
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Yes if you are using passenger kms as a mobility indicator. I'm not sure that is comprehensive enough. I'm not quite sure though what you mean by this, because why does an induced amount of short trips need to have any affect on long trips? Also, in the case of Calgary, most long trips are commuter trips anyway, and that at peak hours. A price increase changes their behavour the least of all commuters, unless it is drastic.
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In the end, none of the proposals I think make the system better. Today only LRT-LRT trips are unsubsidized by the taxpayers (operational cost only), but you have to remember the public paid dearly to enable LRT users to cost the system so little on an ongoing basis. So is it fair to pass additional costs to taxpayers or incent long trips to leave the system to enable short trips to take precedence? I don't think it is any more fair than what we have now, and the evidence is sorely lacking that mobility would increase.
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Well those trips are only unsubsidized if we look at the LRT as a single entity. The feeder system undoubtedly contributes to a much higher LRT ridership, which obviously brings down average costs. However, I'm sure you know that and probably have a much better idea of the actual distribution than I do and we're kind of speaking to the same thing anyway. I do think it needs to be regarded as one system though. I'm not explicitly saying that long trips should be dis-incentivized, because I'm talking about fare changes that are fairly moderate. If a user deems it to be too pricey (again, the average such person being a peak hour commuter) they may just try their luck with driving again, but as long as parking rates stay high and congestion exists, it doesn't yet look like a better option. As far as evidence goes, I can't point to any specific case, because I'll have to admit I'm simply regurgitating some pretty credible literature in this case that it does.
In the end, my main point is that Calgary, although a relatively small system in ridership (relative to the world, so no need for the well known NA Monterry blah blah statistic) it is actually already relatively large in how far it reaches geographically. As a quick comparative, from the center of Munich to Allianz Arena which is about 10 km (interesting in itself when comparing center to outskirts of the two) already lies within 4 zones. Of course there are differences, but it is only the natural progression of a fully encompassing transit system. Again, not saying it is ideal to implement in Calgary, just that it is not something to write off.
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Since the UPass fee schedule has to be approved by referendum every couple of years, eventually it won't be passed since the cost will be big enough to cause opposition. This has happened at UOttawa where opposition is so strong there is even a lawsuit to fight for the right to opt out. We will see whether students approve making their pilot project permenant starting at $350 a year. I doubt it.
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That is indeed interesting.
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Originally Posted by freeweed
Someone mentioned Dalhousie and Brentwood for a university student. These stations are 3 or 4 km apart. Again, I have an extremely hard time believing students would decide to walk that twice a day if their transit pass was $20 more (or whatever the Upass savings is).
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This would have been me. Indeed it is hard to know how I would have behaved differently as the situation never actually arose. It may have meant that my housing choice - and that of many others might have been different. And that, in all of this is exactly what I'm trying to get at, even with the points above. Long term impacts. I also lived in Capitol Hill for some of my Uni time. Rarely took the train as I used my bike. Now aside from the fact that the Uni station isn't what I would super convenient and added as further dissuation, I would take the train on 🞵🞵🞵🞵 wheather days. That option is something that should be left to the user without ridiculous fees (were I not to have a UPass) and that is at least one part moreso of what I mean by enhanced mobility. I do agree, the few times that it might happen people might pay or they may suffer through a super wet or cold ride or walk - so therein I ask, why should then the short trip rider get punished?
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Originally Posted by freeweed
A lower fare for short trips would encourage a few uses on the LRT - I've often been downtown and wished the free fare zone extended to Stampede or Kensington. In the very rare months I've not had a pass, I've once or twice thought "🞵🞵🞵🞵, $2.50 to go a few blocks? I'll walk instead". So sure, there's definitely a use there. But I have a very hard time believing it's anything other than a small fraction of cases in a city like Calgary. Certainly not enough to justify re-structuring the system, at least the way the city is right now.
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I'd probably have to agree here, but that is precisely why focus does need to be changed. I'm speaking more to land use here, but again, it may have to come in conjunction with transportation pricing aspects, however that may be accomplished.
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Originally Posted by freeweed
My understanding is that the majority of LRT lines in North America are "honour system" payment - how would differentiated fares even work on something like that? Maybe I'm mistaken here but I thought I read that statistic somewhere very recently.
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With a zonal system, in the exact same regard. Spot checks on the train. Happens all over. With a sectional/distance based graduated fare system, what comes to mind is spot checking at station exits. People would be required to tap in at the station they get on at, and tap out at the one they disembark at and immediately therafter, spot checks could be done. Feel free to poke holes in that idea, as there was only a bit of thought put into it, but it may have a possibility of working.
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Originally Posted by AgentGibb
If you want to increase transit ridership, never mind reducing the cost (an area where it's already competitive with the alternatives for the most part), focus on giving me a trip solution that isn't 4-5 times as long as it takes to drive the same.
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Um, a moratorium on any new greenfield development for 40 years?? Obviously tongue in cheek and not overly realistic, but the key words being increase density. Vastly.