Quote:
Originally Posted by paradigm4
There are a number of areas that wouldn't need full separation for quite some time, i.e. King George along the floodplain. Outside of rush hour, traffic isn't that bad in Surrey. It just seems to be an inefficient usage of resources to plan for full separation when we could be far more strategic about where exactly that bus or LRT needs priority. Of course these options would never reach SkyTrain speeds, but is our goal to be jetting Langley residents to Surrey Central as fast as possible, because that seems to be TransLink's preferred option.
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Dedicated LRT lanes don't have to be a complete waste. While it is normal to fully separate LRT from traffic to give it a speed and safety advantage, it is also possible to use the lanes for other transit vehicles. The lanes the rails are in could be dedicated transit only lanes, which could work well on 104 Ave as the short distance between Guildford and Whalley almost makes it pointless to force some riders to transfer. This isn't the distance of Bridgeport to Waterfront here, but instead it's the difference between just a few minutes. This would be especially true for Rapid Bus riders (if the rapid bus service does go down 104 Ave instead of just stick to the Freeway). Portland, in its downtown core operates a very efficient mix use transit lanes, where LRT and bus service operates using the same lanes (LRT is used for the longer, heavier routes, whereas buses branch off on less traveled routes).
The other benefit is that using mixed transit lanes on 104 ave could allow traffic to go around lane blocking accidents when the trains are not present, ensuring the movement of (especially) emergency services, if the road is reduced in capacity for transit.
Quote:
Originally Posted by paradigm4
Also with my evolving views on transit in Surrey, I'm shifting away from a "rapid transit" regional orientation, to a "local transit" intercity orientation, which explains some of my growing opposition to this study.
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This brings me back to something nname brought up in his analysis of the Translink documents: time. While the total costs, cost per rider, operating costs, and total region ridership are fairly similar between the different options, time saved really stuck out.
On page 32 of the evaluation summary, it measures the average time for trips between certain points for each of the options presented vs if we did nothing. For each option all the time saved per rider is added up. Many of the options add up to around 3.5 million hours saved each year, but RRT1 (the direct shot to Langley) is predicted to save 9.5 million hours each year. That is a huge savings that no other options come close to. And that is a measurable gain in social utility. You can put economical dollar amounts on people's time. That's 9.5 million hours people won't be spending doing nothing while sitting on transit. That's time they can spend with their family, raising their kids, cooking healthy dinners, spend working, or spend going out and spending money directly in the economy.
On the flip side of most shocking is the result for LRT4, which is the LRT version of what XD wants. It has the WORST total time savings. To me this just shows that only focusing on these corridors (Guildford and Newton) doesn't improve many people's lives. It might attract a few snooty drivers out of cars, but it doesn't actually improve that many lives in the region.
But basically I agree with you. Improving transit on the corridors inside Surrey, should be done for Surrey's benefit at a reasonable cost. The distances between the Whalley, Newton, and Guildford town centers are actually pretty short, and thus don't really benefit from the building of Skytrain (unless the goal is to move people to Vancouver). But as you move further away towards Cloverdale and Langley, which IMO are going to be important parts of Surrey as a SoF city, the time savings Skytrain offers to commuters trying to get to Whalley is enormous. It is similar to the savings commuters from Burnaby or New West get when heading downtown. Time savings encourage growth and change. Right now, from Langley it is just as fast to drive into Downtown Vancouver than it to take transit into Surrey Center. Why would Whalley ever become the SoF downtown if getting there from the Valley doesn't significantly improve?
As for either LRT or BRT, I'm starting to think it is a bit of a toss up. Unless the LRT lines stretch further than the town centers, I don't see what kind of advantage they offer until Newton or Guildford is at thrice the density. Be it LRT or BRT many people are still going to need to make transfers (as even though both town centers have high populations, both are pretty spread out).
I would like to see LRT built because I think it would attract the snobby riders who avoid the loser cruiser, but when comparing the time savings between the two because of the transfers, I don't know if it is worth spending extra to attract extra riders. The only reason for LRT would be if there is actual demand for the capacity it provides. With the recent stall in development in Whalley (compared to how it was expected to go a few years ago) I don't know if we'll see the density around Newton Town Center or Guildford to really require much more than a B-Line for the next dozen years.
The other problem with LRT is it would be just acting like a shuttle between the town centers as currently, there isn't much between them. King George and 104 ave are pretty desolate roads in Surrey, unlike Fraser Hwy which is lined with commercial properties and new housing developments (of all types). Most ridership for LRT would just get on at Guildford or Newton and get off at Whalley.
Surrey really needs to work on the future of King George blvd. While Newton Town center is important, the rest of the corridor is what will really decide whether LRT or BRT is built. LRT could be used as a great development tool, sprouting up new small town centers on what are now trailer parks and storage yards. And the nature of the LRT line will encourage those developments to support Surrey, and not Vancouver.