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Originally Posted by MichaelS
The problem is all those "benefits" don't really come back to the city in any sort of way. If people saved time, and got to work quicker and became more productive, and the company made more money, the City would not see any extra tax revenue. Income tax and business taxes are not collected at the municipal level.
Some could be justified, like cost of repairs to train cars that have been hit. But unless the local government saw direct financial pay back for that greater expense, it would not be any more favourable to them.
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Umm, by that rationale there shouldn't even be a C train to begin with. Nor would any assessment method ever look favourable for essentially anything public. The key word, of course, being public.
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It's extremely doubtful that an underground alignment would have been more economical even with all these considerations accounted for.
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I don't particularily think it is so doubtful. I do think it would be interesting to see it in numbers though, instead of conjectures. But for arguement's sake, let's take a high level estimation and pretend that the incident in question caused 100000 people to lose an hour of time, and using a value of time of $10/hr, then you just hit $1,000,000. If this happens 10 times a year, then 10 mil and after 10 years, $100 mil. Again, all very high level estimation.
Furthermore, that applies just to service disruptions, and not normal service hour delays attributed to at grade.
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An underground alignment would have cost more to build. That would have had to be "paid" for by building a shorter system, like Edmonton did. Even if the money for a tunnel had suddenly appeared, building a tunnel would still have to be "bought" at the cost of not building more lines elsewhere. That's basic opportunity cost. Anyway, from Edmonton we know that would have meant lower ridership for years and years. Edmonton has foregone, what, hundreds of millions of trips now? Since most of these extra trips Calgarians took by C-Train (extra compared to what would have been with a shorter system) would likely have occurred anyway but by other means, we then have to figure out how many people would have got into car accidents and been injured or died, along with all the delays from both generalized congestion and from all those extra accidents.
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We don't know that. That is speculation. Edmonton is not Calgary and Calgary is not Edmonton. Unfortunately, we can't peak into the alternate universe where it was indeed built that way. Calgary has different land use and definitely a different worker mobility pattern. Who knows how building an underground line through downtown would have then subsequently affected ridership and on a more long term basis, land use. If anything, the large/dense office market downtown should be "credited" for the C-train's "success/high ridership," and not neccessarily because it was built way out. (The above being in quotation marks, as I'd argue just to how successful it is and especially how this success is being measured.) Building it out, in fact, likely induced further surbuban sprawl - but let's not get into the econometrics of that again...
Point being, that such a decision should indeed take into account the city as a whole as a system, not just the C-train in itself. Whether that was done back then - well I have my doubts.
Anyway, we did indeed have this discussion a few weeks ago when the articles about the C-train's success were published. I guess that would make this topic then like all the others.
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Put simply, when the whole is considered and not just the downtown, the C-Train has likely saved many more lives and injuries than it has cost.
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When the whole is considered, then the train would still have been there but just underground downtown. So that is basically nullified. What would be different, or very likely so, is the number of pedestrians that have been taken out so far by the train on 7th ave. So yes, as a whole a Ctrain vs no Ctrain very likely has, but a Ctrain as is vs a Ctrain underground downtown likely hasn't.