^ Portland's LRT to their airport generates around 2000 on-offs a day out of 14.6 million passengers a year. That is 5% market share if you don't consider any employees taking it. So for 4.3 million pax that works out to 590 people a day.
Most passengers from the airport I would include in the 'choice rider' category, and most, of whatever percentage heading downtown that your hoping to capture do not want to stop 10 times on the way downtown while carrying luggage.
A good quote from a Transit Blogger about a
related subject is:
Quote:
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Ultimately, lots of people love the idea of a subway to the sea for the same reason they like the idea of a subway to the airport -- because they can imagine using it occasionally. This can yield a disconnect between the political popularity of a service and its actual ridership potential.
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Now, I know you said it was still worth it due to the reasons you outlined, but really is an LRT link to the airport going to make Ottawa a business panacea? A better use for money for that would be to cut business taxes and fees within the city.
If it is something worth paying for, then I am all for the spur as long as the fare to take it is $10 or more to help pay for the link. In Vancouver, the airport put up more than $200 million of its own money to get the airport link.