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Originally Posted by miketoronto
The question has to be asked why can't American systems do better in the cost recovery situation and then even if there was a cut in funding from the sales tax due to the economy, they might have been able to hold onto services better.
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Short answer:
- higher motor fuel costs lead to both (a) less elasticity in demand for transit service and (b) transit being a more competitive mode choice relative to driving. Fuel in Canada is generally notably higher than the US - all the moreso in Europe where taxes are higher still, and the effects of (a) and (b) are even more pronounced.
- generally stronger regional land use planning in Canada that has kept employment more concentrated, and thus real estate prices in employment centers relatively higher, and thus parking costs relatively higher. Related to (b) above, that is the competitiveness of transit as compared to auto travel.
- transit subsidies in the US generally being provided on the basis of transit being a social service, with the idea that fares should be kept very low. The lower the fare, the lower the recovery ratio - the fare would have to get very high before overall revenue would actually start declining. Canadian transit fares are generally substantially higher than US transit fares, which not only raises more revenue (helping the recovery ratio), but is allowed because of (a) above.
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Also one has to ask why transit systems that rely on sales tax, don't put a certain amount of money aside each year in a reserve fund, so that services can be kept running during an economic slowdown.
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Short answer: in the US political system, they can't. If there is any room in the budget, it will immediately be used either to increase labor compensation (see above), expand the payroll, or for other feats of political whimsy. The reality transit aficionados and professionals must get used to in the US is that there will be periodic doomsday threats, as it is politically impossible to give transit agencies the budgetary leeway to avoid them. It's the nature of the beast. Sales Tax as a funding source is, in theory, pretty decent,
on condition that the level of transit service provided is allowed to scale accordingly with economic activity - which it isn't, for political reasons.