Quote:
Originally Posted by scottharding
The Proscenium isn't gonna happen as proposed. I simply don't believe it.
Nothing will happen at all until the economy is righted, and then the project will be scaled down drastically. Especially since the theatre will be built in SLC by then.
That's my prophecy and I'm sticking by it.
As to the REAL downtown, and the Wasatch Front in general, I'm thinking that we seem to poised to emerge from this economic crisis (should it ever end) as the premier city in the nation. Analysts are predicting it will be roughly three years for the economy to right itself (beginning under a new President). In roughly three years, City Creek Center will be just completed, the new rail lines (airport, West Valley, Draper, South Jordan and the Front Runner to Provo) will all be completed or nearing completion. Salt Lake may have added at least two international flights from SLC international, we may have a Trolley system being developed. The Sugarhouse Crater may be under development (god-willing) and Market Station may be being developed as well. We'll have the Transit hub expanded, the new Theatre downtown, and the new buildings in downtown Provo, where the Front Runner will be arriving. It seems that not only are we lucky enough to be in a position to weather this economic crisis better than most of the country, but also are in a perfect position to come out of it at the top of the class.
Agree? Disagree? Food for thought and discussion anyway. It seems to me that the next few years Salt Lake will be coming into its own. Not just locally, but on a national level.
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ScottHarding: Love your assessment. Lots of things will positively change in the next few years. But NYC Rick keeps trying to drive home a very important point--all the positive infrastructure and development in the world is NOT going to change the skyline. There has to be money to do that.
Some how, some way, there must be a NEED for major expansion of Class A office space to warrant new high-rise development within the CBD in SLC. And there are only certain kinds of businesses that will pay the extra-tariff for downtown, Class A office space: the financial industry (including accounting), legal, and corporate offices in need of some kind of corporate symbol. So let's take each one and figure out if what the possibilities are.
We all know where the financial industry is right now. The brightest hope would be for Fidelity, a fund manager. Not much hope here because because Fidelity is pinched just like everyone else. Will another financial titan relocate to SLC? Not likely. Finance people need other finance people around them. You need a critical mass. SLC is not a financial center, nor are financial companies likely to move anywhere for a while.
Legal? Too small of an industry, unless we all start suing each other like there is no tomorrow and if we did start suing each other, there wouldn't be another tomorrow.
Companies needing a corporate symbol? Possibly, but one of the most likely candidates, Rio Tinto, just built on their own land to prop up the value of their holdings. Other candidates? OverStocked.Com? Unlikely, I don't think the online auction industry has very good margins. Oracle? No chance. Geeks need other geeks around them. No way is Oracle, or any other Silicon Valley titan, moving. Intel? Same story. Microsoft? Now I'm being ridiculous. Does anyone have likely candidates in search of a corporate symbol? I can think of one possibility--Key Bank. A super regional bank, who is surviving the financial crisis and who already has a Utah presence.
So NYC Rick's point is reality. There is not a business environment in Utah that lends itself to building skyward. SLC will go up, but not at the pace we want. The only wild card I see is energy. So if the culture does not shift to alternative energy and conservation is short-lived, then we may see some vertical growth as the result of energy-related development, which reminds me: I'm going to research what is the latest from the central Utah oil fields.