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  #421  
Old Posted Apr 24, 2008, 3:50 PM
chancla chancla is offline
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Originally Posted by M1EK View Post
By the way, SecretAgentMan, if singletrack is such a disaster, and commuter rail isn't (as you've constantly attacked me for saying it is), then commuter rail is going to be double-tracked on its whole length, right?
For those of us that are ignorant of the terminology...can you all explain what single track, double track and whatever else you are talking about means?

I think I have an idea, but I'm not sure and I'd also really like to know what is proposed for that 2-3 minute stretch of Manor Rd.

Thanks.
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  #422  
Old Posted Apr 24, 2008, 3:51 PM
hookem hookem is offline
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If feedback on the radio is any indication, this proposal doesn't stand a chance. It's been nothing but overwhelmingly negative feedback from both callers and hosts for the past 3 days... it's a small audience, I know, hopefully not representative of the whole city... but if it is, the proposal is doomed.

Their main gripes being (not mine):

* The overly ballpark nature of the per-mile cost: $5M to $40M a mile?
* Light rail has never (yet) paid for itself in another city. Austin will be stuck subsidizing the system even after it's complete
* This line doesn't help commuters or commuting traffic
* People don't use the buses, so why would they use the trains

Now, what confuses ME is -- why try to get this on the ballot in November? It seems that would be the WORST date... because of the presidential election, you'll huge turnout and everyone coming out to vote. The vast majority of those people will not be in an area serviced by light rail, and many will be average-joe types that will oppose any spending other than fixing the roads. To me, if the city want the measure to pass, they should slip it in during a minor election, where they can count on a strong group of supporters in the central area to be the majority of turnout.

I guess they must have some idea that this will have a wide populist appeal, or maybe that the hardcore NIMBY/anti growth vote might be too strong in a small election. Perhaps they are right with the latter idea, but I'm definitely not seeing this as a populist idea, even with gas prices high...
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  #423  
Old Posted Apr 24, 2008, 4:24 PM
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M1EK M1EK is offline
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Originally Posted by hookem View Post
If feedback on the radio is any indication, this proposal doesn't stand a chance. It's been nothing but overwhelmingly negative feedback from both callers and hosts for the past 3 days... it's a small audience, I know, hopefully not representative of the whole city... but if it is, the proposal is doomed.

Their main gripes being (not mine):

* The overly ballpark nature of the per-mile cost: $5M to $40M a mile?
* Light rail has never (yet) paid for itself in another city. Austin will be stuck subsidizing the system even after it's complete
* This line doesn't help commuters or commuting traffic
* People don't use the buses, so why would they use the trains
Bear in mind that you're listening to a self-selected highly conservative audience on talk radio - the same people were against LRT in 2000, and it lost by about 1500 votes; had the election been run only in Travis County, as this one's likely to be, it actually would have passed; and that was with a plan that was only half-baked (forced to the polls early by Krusee).

As for the timing of the election, as I commented on my crackplog, it's likely a combination of not wanting to be seen exploiting a loophole in the Krusee law (Cap Metro can't hold an election except in November of an even-numbered year; but the city would be holding this election; but the state lege would likely get pissed if we were seen trying to do an end-run around the law that way) and further electioneering stuff like the hope that more progressive voters are energized this year than in years past.

Keep in mind that the old-school local election turnout crowd isn't necessarily pro-rail. I myself have fallen into the thinking that a May election would be easy, but just look at how Morrison and the rest of the ANC crew react to rail, and you see it might be otherwise.
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  #424  
Old Posted Apr 25, 2008, 5:05 PM
ATXboom ATXboom is offline
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Brewster McCracken Blog/Forum from today...

http://www.statesman.com/blogs/conte...er_mccrac.html

Live chat with Brewster McCracken (04/25/2008)

10:20 Ben Wear - Hi folks. This is Ben Wear, transportation reporter for the Statesman. I'll be moderating this chat, as well as the one with rail critic Jim Skaggs later in the day.

We'll get started for real in about 10 minutes. But if you want to see me some questions or comments between now and then, go ahead.

You need to know, by the way, that only some of your comments will make it up there. I'll be sifting through them and putting them up.



10:22 Ben Wear - that would of course be "send me some questions or comments." Let's all be forgiving about typos, OK?

10:28 [Comment From Brewster McCracken]
I'm online and ready to take questions.
10:29 [Comment From S.D. Rivas]
Current proposals for light rail do not include tracks south of Lady Bird Lake towards William Cannon and Slaughter (possibly through South First or Congress). Do you expect voters to support a transportation system that doesn't include their area when they could use light rail due to high fuel prices?
10:31 Brewster McCracken - While about half of the proposed 14-mile line is in South Austin, you're right that the current proposal doesn't extend south of Riverside Dr. There are fiscal limitations on how much could be proposed, and this system is targeted at serving the biggest destinations in the metro area -- the airport, University of Texas campus, the two regional hospitals, and the State Capitol complex. The system will need to include the Austin - San Antonio commuter rail line, and the ASA folks believe they are actually making great progress in opening that line in the near future.
10:31 Ben Wear - Brewster, ROMA in their presentation said it could be $50 million a mile. That gets it to $700 million. Don't we need a clear cost estimate before leaders and the public can evaluate this thing?

10:33 Brewster McCracken - How much the system costs and how we pay for it depend first on what people want. For example, do people want the line to go to the airport? That will impact the cost of the system. It will also mean that airport funds are available to finance it. So, first, we need to find out what people want. Also, as your own reporting has shown, a light rail line costs about 75% less per mile than a mile of new highway, and it has about the same cost per rider mile as a new highway.
10:33 [Comment From McLovin]
Has anybody done an engineering study to see if the Ann Richards Bridge can support a train?
10:34 Brewster McCracken - Yes. Both Parsons Brinckerhoff and the engineering firm hired by ROMA have confirmed that the Ann Richards bridge was engineered to hold rail. That actually was a surprise to us when we learned that several months ago in the preliminary due diligence stage.
10:34 [Comment From Mike]
Why is the "emerging" Mueller development included as a terminus in the proposal, rather than somewhere where people are ALREADY living and working?
10:35 Brewster McCracken - The Mueller development was actually financed and developed to be a Transit Oriented Development. It will have 10,000 residents with 25% affordable housing. It is also the home of a 60-county regional children's hospital and a rapidly growing regional medical office complex anchored by Seton's headquarters.
10:35 [Comment From Mike]
Applying the light-rail proposal to the parking debacle from last weekend in a "what-if" scenario, how would your plan have alleviated those conditions?
10:37 Brewster McCracken - Different transportation systems solve different problems. Rail is good at efficiently carrying large amounts of people to concentrated destinations. That's exactly the situation at Auditorium Shores and the Long Center. We need more parking there, but when you have 50,000 people converging on that location, you also need a transportation system like a light rail system.
10:37 Ben Wear - Wouldn't we lose lanes on Congress? Seems like tearing out all those sidewalk extensions, and taking away all that parking, would be tough for Congress merchants. And for the people who like to park there.

10:38 Brewster McCracken - For starters, that is simply one of the choices ROMA has presented to the public. If we remove the street parking, according to ROMA, the existing number of lanes are preserved and two dedicated rail lines can be built. These systems are installed about 2-4 weeks per block. Still, it's a choice for the community ultimately.
10:38 [Comment From McLovin]
How do you get CapMetro to agree to give up 20% of their operating budget?
10:40 Brewster McCracken - You don't. Cap Metro's budget has an operating budget component and a capital budget component. The capital budget component is 20-25% of their overall budget. As recently as 2 years ago, Cap Metro was sending this 25% to local governments. But I don't think you can ask Cap Metro to send any portion of their operating budget to a capital partnership -- only their capital budget could be used as a challenge grant to attract other funds from local governments.
10:40 Ben Wear - Brewster, Cap Metro has been saying ALL of its budget will be committed to operations within three or four years. If Cap Metro did give up that money, wouldn't that necessarily mean cuts in bus service, or lower wages over time for bus drivers and mechanics?

10:41 Brewster McCracken - My understanding is that Cap Metro is not saying all of its capital budget will also go to operations. They are saying that they will exhaust their operations budget capacity.
10:42 [Comment From Sean Des]
I live in South Austin and can't afford to drive to work. I would like to take a light rail to downtown and beyond, but it looks like light rail is just being proposed for tourist areas around downtown and UT. What about building a transportation system for those of us in South Austin?
10:43 [Comment From Matt Turner]
How will this note negatively impact the bat colony under congress bridge? How do they propose to do this much development (aka hang off sidewalks) in the period between when the bats are here?
10:43 Brewster McCracken - That's a very fair question. First, until the Austin - San Antonio line can open, we will have a regional commuter rail gap. I am told there is considerable progress on that front. Second, the biggest employment and transit destinations in this city -- the State Capitol complex, both regional hospitals and the UT campus would be served by this system. Those of course aren't tourist destinations.
10:44 Brewster McCracken - As for the bats, my understanding is that an electric train is much less disruptive than gas and diesel powered cars and trucks.
10:44 [Comment From Meghan]
I live a block off Manor Rd. Please ask whether we will lose lanes off Manor and how it will affect all the great businesses and restaurants on Manor Rd. that have really revitalized the neighborhood. Also, would a stop be contemplated on Manor?
10:45 [Comment From McLovin]
Ok, that doesn't answer the question. How do you get CapMetro to give up 20% of their capital budget then?
10:46 Brewster McCracken - The 14-mile line outlined by ROMA would not take away existing lanes of traffic on Manor. The community has a choice on Manor of either having dedicated lanes and buying 4-6 of right-of-way on each side of Manor, or having the rail operate in-traffic on that short stretch. Even with right-of-way purchase, local businesses would not have their buildings taken, and they would have improved customer access. There were also be a couple of stops on Manor itself.
10:47 [Comment From Spencer]
The current trend seems to be reducing bus reach. We are cutting back Dillo services to the South Congress area and at the same time talking about constructing a rail service to the area. Will the bus lines continue to be cut while the trains are built? What about people that already bike/bus around the city?
10:47 Brewster McCracken - We are working with Cap Metro on identifying funding strategies that leverage their existing funds to attract capital and operations funds from local governments. Cap Metro recognizes that without some partnership, they will go broke under the current paradigm. But we are all committed to a collaborative process on this.
10:48 Brewster McCracken - A focused rail system like the 14-mile line outlined by ROMA would actually enhance bus service. First, it is a higher capacity system. Second, it provides the opportunity to a more integrated transit system. The proposal is not to rob the bus system to pay for rail. It is to improve transit to high destination areas.
10:48 [Comment From Jane Thorne]
Why should we spend so much for a minimal rail system when Mopac needs to have the same number of lanes from 183 south to Sunset Valley? And when 290 absurdly goes from an eight-lane freeway to a two-lane road with stoplights?
10:50 Brewster McCracken - According to CAMPO figures, in 2001 the price of gas was 89¢ a gallon. Today, it is $3.57 a gallon. So, the question is whether we want to pursue a roads-only future or diversify our transportation system. For example, if you are a state employee working at the Capitol complex, your cost of gas has quadrupled in six years. Has your salary quadrupled? Second, we have at CAMPO approved major expansions of 290 East and 183. I agree that both our transit and our road systems are inadequate.
10:50 [Comment From Guest]
Brewster, thanks for helping together a plan that makes a lot of sense, if only because it connects into the commuter rail. Let me urge you to push for the line to run down San Jacinto rather than Congress. This is a wide, underutilized road that also has a great deal of potential for TOD.
10:51 Brewster McCracken - Thanks. Going up San Jacinto instead of Congress is one of the options on the table for public input. Another possibility could be to go up Lamar and Guadalupe. This is the public's system, and it needs to reflect where the community wants it to go.
10:51 [Comment From Jim]
There are many open issues for "public decision" yet there has been almost no public input and the anounced schedule of presenting this rail plan to the City Council and to the Transit Working Group in May allows no real time for input.
10:53 Brewster McCracken - We've actually been working on this for a couple of years, and some elements of the proposal reflect significant public input. For example, this proposal is for dedicated lanes without taking up existing lanes of traffic. That is what the public has asked for. Also, we can't go to the public for input unless we have actual issues that are unresolved. That is why there are open issues. It's intentional. These are for the public to decide.
10:53 Ben Wear - Some folks are talking about getting this to CAMPO as early as June. Wouldn't there have to be action by the City Council, County Commissioners and Cap Metro board to commit to funding their part before you go to CAMPO?

10:55 Brewster McCracken - We have to know what the public wants from its system before we can model the cost and the financing structure. For example, do people want this to go to the airport? If so, that impacts the costs. It also makes it possible to use airport funds, which impact the financing model. So that's why it's so important first to find out where the public wants this system to serve.
10:55 Ben Wear - Can you get all this done for a November election? How?

10:56 [Comment From Bob]
There have been successful light rail ventures and less successful. For example, when Atlanta built a light rail, it failed in large part due to the placement of its stations. The jury is still out on the Houston light rail "system." However, Dallas has had a great deal more success than the aforementioned. What cities has Austin looked at so as to learn from past mistakes in order to avoid these same mistakes going forward?
10:57 Brewster McCracken - It can go to the voters in November to get approval for entering a funding partnership. Much of the engineering on the system choices is already done. Over the coming months we will receive input on the alignment, which impacts which of the existing 15 potential funding streams can be accessed. I do believe a partnership can be authorized in November to build the system the public wants.
10:57 [Comment From Lauren]
First-of-all, I'd like to say that this proposal is a great and innovative idea that should be highly beneficial to the central Austin area. Secondly, I was wondering how long this would take, from approval to opening?
10:59 Brewster McCracken - Everyone around the country has examined the problems with Houston's system, which resulted from an engineering mistake that has since been corrected in Houston. We have looked at that mistake, as well as examining the mistakes from Seattle's in-traffic system. On the positive side, we have learned from the great successes of Denver's, Portland's and Charlotte's systems. You're right -- different systems have different lessons, and we are looking at all of them. The big difference in this proposal is that it is coming out of the city, which has land use powers and thereby can integrate land use and transportation (unlike a transit agency).
10:59 Ben Wear - Folks, let's take a couple minutes off to keep Brewster from getting RSI. Back on at 11:04.

11:01 Brewster McCracken - Thanks, Lauren. I think the timing of how fast the system could be built and opened really depends on what system people want and how they want to pay for it. In general, ultra-light systems can be built much faster than traditional light rail systems. Also, we have the crack team in the city that did the Lamar Road reconstruction in six months when it was supposed to take three years. This is a very talented, aggressive team who are good at infrastructure projects, and they have a great track record.
11:03 [Comment From Bob]
Since the voters have voted down light rail several times, why has the Council ignored what the voters have said and moved forward with this at all. It seems the voters are not being heard.
11:04 Ben Wear - Actually, it was just voted down once, in 2000.

11:05 Ben Wear - Have you figured out for sure yet if the per mile costs ($30 million the other day) include or do not include the cost of the rail cars?

11:06 Brewster McCracken - First, Cap Metro voters have only voted twice -- in 2000 and again in 2004. In 2000, Cap Metro voters narrowly voted against that 52-mile proposal. In 2004, Cap Metro voters approved by over 60% the commuter rail proposal. Also, it is my understanding that city of Austin voters in 2000 actually voted in favor of the 52-mile light rail proposal. Also, since 2000, gas has quadrupled in price and is heading to $4 per gallon, and our population is rapidly growing. I believe we have plan for the future and present these plans to the voters for them to consider. Not planning for the future is poor leadership.
11:06 Brewster McCracken - I don't know.
11:06 [Comment From Randall]
Hey Brewster, just joined and can't catch up with all that's happened on the chat. If you haven't answered this already, can you please explain why the proposed configuration makes sense? Downtown, UT, Manor, Mueller? There seem to be a lot of jigs and jogs in the line, and it doesn't appear to be a very appealing route selection. Something straighter and moer direct might be more appealing and cheaper.
11:08 Brewster McCracken - Hi Randall. The current heaviest transit destinations in this city are the University of Texas, the State Capitol Complex, the downtown employment district and East Riverside. Given the growing ridership (and yes, ridership is actually growing to these destinations) and the quadrupling of the price of gasoline, we believed we needed a system that served the highest destination locations. Also, by making the system dedicated lane, they will have fast, predictable travel times.
11:08 [Comment From Craig]
You really can't compare the scope of the utility work done on Lamar to the scope of a Lite-Rail system. The company who did that is not a big enough company to build the rail system.
11:10 Brewster McCracken - A rail construction project is basically a road construction project with two pieces of metal embedded in the pavement and electric utility wire work. Between the teams in Public Works and Austin Energy, the city has 175 years of experience in this kind of work, and the teams doing these projects have a great track record of fast, cost-effective infrastructure work.
11:10 Ben Wear - The city's finances are tightening — sales tax revenue lagging below projections, a $21 million budget gap to fill for next year. Can the city really spare some significant amount of money for rail?

11:12 Brewster McCracken - Two areas where revenue is growing are in bed tax funds and airport revenues. State and federal law prohibit us from using these funds for general revenue purposes, but they can in prescribed circumstances be used for a rail system. These are two examples of growing funds. Also, we could use an approach similar to the Mueller redevelopment where we funded $50 million in infrastructure through tax increment financing, and this infrastructure made possible the development to pay for that infrastructure.
11:12 [Comment From Shelley Nathan]
How come nothing is being done about southwest Austin? We have virtually nothing when it comes to public transit options.
11:14 Brewster McCracken - The next step in this system definitely needs to be the Austin - San Antonio commuter rail line. That line would serve Southwest Austin. If we don't plan for the future now, however, a state employee in SW Austin would find the Austin - San Antonio commuter rail line worthless when it opened unless there was a connector that took the employee to the State Capitol complex.
11:14 [Comment From William Powers]
When will the public be allowed to have input on the proposed configuration of the rail system?
11:15 Brewster McCracken - That input is happening now. You can contact the city's planning team or my office to schedule a public meeting. The city's planing team is headed up by Jim Robertson. His email is [email protected]. (Sorry, Jim.)
11:16 Ben Wear - The cost figures we've heard so far are 2008 dollars, right? So if this weren't built for three to five years, inflation would come into play. Correct?

11:17 Brewster McCracken - That is my expectation -- that inflation would impact the cost figures. Other potential positive impacts are that if the city builds the system (as we are outlining), we could sync up existing and planned capital improvement projects (such as road reconstructions, water line expansions, etc.). This would reduce the cost to build the system.
11:18 [Comment From Bob]
Will the system utilize overhead wires for power, or will the power be an embedded third rail system such as Bordeaux, France's light rail?
11:18 Brewster McCracken - ROMA's proposal identified overhead wires. I've been trained to be wary of third rails, both for trains and in politics. I clearly didn't listen to my training very well...
11:19 [Comment From Mike]
Mr. Wear, are you part of the planning system? Where are the hard questions? What is the obligation of the media here? It seems like the city is running pretty hard at this, and there are no real obstacles or public tests of their logic.
11:19 Ben Wear - Nope, not working for them. Brewster might disagree about me throwing up softballs. But this is mostly for you guys today, not me.

11:20 [Comment From Mike]
Why are we spending all this money on a light rail line when Mopac is like a parking lot from 3:30 - 6:30 during rush hour in the evenings and similarly in the morning? What are we doing to help those commuters?
11:21 Brewster McCracken - We have already approved the expansion of Mopac to add two new lanes, and we have approved the largest highway construction program in the nation this decade. However, with the price of gas quadrupling in six years, I really do believe we need to plan for the future and provide people with choices other than $4 per gallon gas.
11:21 [Comment From Thomas Denney]
What have you found about long term maintenance costs from cities like Boston, New York, Chicago, etc? Ones that have had rail for 100 years +
11:22 Brewster McCracken - I can't answer that question. I do know that in virtually every city in the nation that build urban rail systems, these systems have been extremely popular once they have opened. That includes Denver, San Diego, Houston and Dallas. Maintaining transportation is important, whether for roads, buses or rail.
11:22 [Comment From Mike W]
What interest, if any, has CTRMA shown to get involved?
11:24 Brewster McCracken - CTRMA has the legal ability to build or partner in building and operating rail systems. They are good at capital projects and have regional flexibility. They are not interjecting themselves in this effort at all. I do believe it makes sense to include them in a regional transit partnership, given their strengths with capital projects and their regional flexibility.
11:24 [Comment From Ben]
You mentioned "ultra-light" rail. Could you please outline the differences between traditional light rail and ultra-light rail? Is it simply the same system with lighter materials?
11:24 Ben Wear - Different Ben, not me.

11:25 Brewster McCracken - Ultra-light rail uses smaller rail cars with a tighter turning radius. Because the cars are smaller, you don't have to dig as deeply into the road bed, and that makes it cheaper and faster to install. They can hit speeds up to 45 mph.
11:25 [Comment From Guest]
Does this mean I could park my car where? to take the rail downtown? What would it cost me and how quickly will it get me downtown?
11:27 Ben Wear - Time for a couple more questions. We end at 11:30

11:27 Brewster McCracken - There will be plenty of public parking at every commuter stop (including locations such as E. Riverside, etc.). The parking will either be free or pay to park, depending on the location. Since we are using dedicated lanes, the rail cars will travel the same speed or slightly faster than cars and will have stoplight preemption ability.
11:27 [Comment From Thomas Denney]
Do you think that long term maintenance and operatioal costs should be part of deciding what form of rapid transit should be built?
11:30 Brewster McCracken - To a point. However, we also need to look at how each type of transportation system serves the overall need. Buses are good at relatively low density areas, and they run on the same $4 a gallon gas (or diesel) that cars do. Roads are the backbone of the transportation system. Rail is good at carrying people efficiently to high destination locations (such as airports, the 67,000-person University of Texas campus, etc.). Each system is good at different things, and they all have their role. That's why I believe we need a comprehensive system that plans for the future in the era of $4 a gallon gas and growing populations.
11:30 [Comment From McLovin]
Let's ask the elephant in the room: How can you expect voters to approve something when you don't know how much it costs or how you will pay for it?
11:32 Brewster McCracken - We obviously won't put anything on the ballot without two things -- clear direction on what system the public wants, and a tangible, credible plan on how to pay for what the public wants. We have 15 available revenue streams to potentially pay for rail, but many of these revenue sources (such as airport funds and hotel bed tax funds) depend on the locations. First, we have to know where the public wants to go. That is the process we are in right now.
11:32 Ben Wear - That's it folks. Thanks so much Brewster for the time, and what had to be considerable mental and digital effort. And thanks to all of you for participating and asking good questions.

Maybe we'll see you again at 2 p.m. when Jim Skaggs will be on.

11:32 Brewster McCracken - Thanks, everyone.
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  #425  
Old Posted Apr 25, 2008, 9:04 PM
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The Skaggs transcript was even better - most people chatting were calling him on his BS left and right.
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  #426  
Old Posted Apr 26, 2008, 3:24 PM
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Originally Posted by M1EK View Post
By the way, SecretAgentMan, if singletrack is such a disaster, and commuter rail isn't (as you've constantly attacked me for saying it is), then commuter rail is going to be double-tracked on its whole length, right?

Oops.
Single-track is adequate for commuter rail service(predominantly one direction with headways of 30 minutes or more) but it does not work for urban rail for even relatively short segments. That is exactly why Cap Metro plans on double-tracking the Leander line (at least as far as McNeil) within a decade. More frequent service and reverse commute demand from growth in the suburbs and in TOD along the line will demand it. At that point it will be truly Urban Commuter Rail, and will more closely resemble light rail service a la DART. There is even some potential that they will electrify at least part of the alignment so the overlapping service is more compatible with the new emerging plan.
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  #427  
Old Posted Apr 26, 2008, 3:27 PM
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Originally Posted by M1EK View Post
The Skaggs transcript was even better - most people chatting were calling him on his BS left and right.
Does somebody have the transcript, or is Ben Wear too embarassed his hand picked spokesman didn't make a good case, so it isn't being published?
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  #428  
Old Posted Apr 26, 2008, 8:34 PM
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Originally Posted by SecretAgentMan View Post
Single-track is adequate for commuter rail service(predominantly one direction with headways of 30 minutes or more) but it does not work for urban rail for even relatively short segments. That is exactly why Cap Metro plans on double-tracking the Leander line (at least as far as McNeil) within a decade. More frequent service and reverse commute demand from growth in the suburbs and in TOD along the line will demand it. At that point it will be truly Urban Commuter Rail, and will more closely resemble light rail service a la DART. There is even some potential that they will electrify at least part of the alignment so the overlapping service is more compatible with the new emerging plan.
This sounds so precisely like the line of bullshit that Dave Dobbs tried to feed me at a lunch at Magnolia Cafe before the unveiling of the 2004 plan that it strains reason you aren't him. Maybe Lyndon himself, but that's about it.

1. Double-tracking this stupid line which goes from nowhere to nowhere doesn't make it more urban, and it doesn't make it light rail.

2. Electrifying it would be nice for pollution reasons, but it still runs down Airport Blvd, where nobody lives and nobody wants to live. Again, not urban. Not light. Just commuter rail.

3. Contrary to your implication that it's incompatible with urban running, LRT in Baltimore had single-track at the beginning (on a bridge, if I remember correctly) - and the stretch we're talking about here is very short, again traversable within 2 or 3 minutes depending on how many stops. Stick a passing track at the station in the middle, and you can run 5-minute headways easy-peasy.

I don't like singletrack any more than you do, but if it's a choice between a short singletrack in dedicated guideway and doubletrack in shared traffic, I'd pick the singletrack, and so would you, if you were remotely honest. But, being who you are, you've got to make commuter rail sound like a bit less of a disaster. That's OK, we understand.

Finally, one of the very best things about this plan is that it removes decisions like this from Capital Metro's hands and puts them in the hands of CAMPO where they belong. An investment in double-tracking the commuter rail line that still requires a transfer to get anywhere useful (to shuttle buses at first) would pay off as well as it did in South Florida, I'd guess - in other words, a complete loser of an idea; but since Capital Metro spent the last 4 years talking about how great it was to run completely in the existing rail corridor, they can't go back to a more sensible LRT-oriented strategy without losing too much face at the top.
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  #429  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 5:49 AM
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Why hasn't it been said yet? Can I? Oh, goodie goodie, here I go...

Austin's commuter rail is a train wreck.
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  #430  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 6:34 AM
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^ Actually, M1EK has been telling us about that all along.
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  #431  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 4:18 PM
paulsjv paulsjv is offline
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Originally Posted by alexjon View Post
Why hasn't it been said yet? Can I? Oh, goodie goodie, here I go...

Austin's commuter rail is a train wreck.
Totally agree here! I'm proud to say I voted against it.
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  #432  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 7:43 PM
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Just an opinion from a regular ass guy who isn't as versed in transportation as some but cares about the progress and vision of our fair city.

I think the light rail and commuter trains are a great idea. The commuter train is a step in the right direction, hopefully to expand to other areas of the city. This could bring our city together eventually achieving the density city leaders are aiming for. Thus hopefully eliminating the need for the next toll road to the next Georgetown 75 miles outside of downtown.

The LRT proposal also seems to be a good project for the city. We don't have enough hotel rooms downtown for the amount of people that are coming here for business and pleasure. Our airport is in a remote area and is bursting at the seams with travelers (or so says the data). We have one of the largest universities in the country, capital of our prosperous state and are growing by leaps and bounds. Why not unite the airport with downtown, UT and Mueller.

People want to be here and will continue to come. Lets give them the option to stay out of the car and keep them in the city instead of say Williamson county for example.

Okay I feel better, peace!
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  #433  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 8:56 PM
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The commuter train is a step in the right direction, hopefully to expand to other areas of the city.
Commuter rail can never be brought to UT, the capitol, downtown, or anywhere else where a lot of people want to go now, or will want to go in the conceivable future.

People need to understand this. It isn't like the LIRR, which takes you into Penn Station, so at least a good chunk of Manhattan is within a short walk. This is a train from nowhere TO nowhere - it doesn't go through any density now, and it won't go through any density 10 years from now.

Limitations in the technology prevent it from EVER being sent straight to anything worthwhile - and not only that, but it now squats atop the very same right-of-way which we would have used in 2000 to build a perfect light rail starter line like all the other successful rail starts have done.

Even the supposedly successful commuter rail / DMU services around the country all penetrate at least one downtown core - not just hitting the extreme southeast corner where nothing goes on like ours does - but going right into the center, and hitting a bunch of other things along the way.

So, no, commuter rail isn't a good start, and it isn't a step in the right direction. The only way we can possibly make any progress at all is to do what this light rail proposal does - ignore it completely and hope that we can eventually get it torn up so light rail can go where it really needs to go in the long run.
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  #434  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 9:51 PM
cosmoguy cosmoguy is offline
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For me, ANY form of alternative transportation is a step in the right direction. I think some people are being overly critical.
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  #435  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 10:04 PM
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Originally Posted by M1EK View Post
Commuter rail can never be brought to UT, the capitol, downtown, or anywhere else where a lot of people want to go now, or will want to go in the conceivable future.

People need to understand this. It isn't like the LIRR, which takes you into Penn Station, so at least a good chunk of Manhattan is within a short walk. This is a train from nowhere TO nowhere - it doesn't go through any density now, and it won't go through any density 10 years from now.
I'll have to disagree w/ LIRR example - I took the LIRR everyday for 4 months and always transfered to taxi or subway. So did a TON of people. Probably a bad comparison. If the LRT proposal lines up near the commuter station, we have a pretty good gig going here. Looks like it might be a block or two away. This is the part I have a hard time understanding. Commuter rail examples are all over. CAL Train, Chicago Metra, Long Island LIRR, all of these rail systems carry tons of people into central stations for transfers to LRT or taxi. In all of these areas, people drive their cars to the commuter rail. All of these commuter rails primarily serve to get people into a central core downtown area, they are not a way to move people to employment centers, they move them from their homes, to a connection point. I don't think this is a good argument to utilize.


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Originally Posted by M1EK View Post
So, no, commuter rail isn't a good start, and it isn't a step in the right direction. The only way we can possibly make any progress at all is to do what this light rail proposal does - ignore it completely and hope that we can eventually get it torn up so light rail can go where it really needs to go in the long run.
Depends on who your talking to. People in Leander think its a step in the right direction.

The best argument I've heard is that we now have no place to put LRT tracks, which seems debateable. Seems like LRT needs to go to high density areas. After the Mueller stop, there is not really a lot of density in Austin anyway. I don't understand how LRT could better serve these areas north of Mueller?
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  #436  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 10:21 PM
NormalgeNyus NormalgeNyus is offline
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all i am hearing is this talk that we need light rail but then you talk about it will never go where it needs to go. seems to me you just dont want to get your hands alittle dirty to make some progress. who cares if you have to walk a few block people will still take it to get where they need to go. When ever i go to vegas i always take the monorail. its cheaper faster and nicer then the cabs there. and i dont have a problem walking to the casino i want to go to after i get off at the stop. I say get the rail where it needs to go and people will ride it. so what if you have to take down a few old buildings
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  #437  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 10:44 PM
Saddle Man Saddle Man is offline
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I believe that's M1EK's point. It doesn't go where people want to go.
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  #438  
Old Posted Apr 29, 2008, 10:47 PM
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I'll have to disagree w/ LIRR example - I took the LIRR everyday for 4 months and always transfered to taxi or subway. So did a TON of people.
The very wide generalization in NY is that about half LIRR customers walk to their destination and half transfer. In our case, zero will effectively be able to walk to their destination. And in NY, requiring transfers isn't as much of a deal-killer, because driving is so uncompetitive in both time and money.

If your best argument is that people transfer in NY, Chicago, and San Francisco, then you really don't understand the problem. It doesn't cost 30 bucks a day to park here, and driving is still about as fast as the train will be for quite a long time, given the transfer, whereas in those cities, the train is faster than driving or at least competitive even with transfer.

Quote:
The best argument I've heard is that we now have no place to put LRT tracks, which seems debateable. Seems like LRT needs to go to high density areas. After the Mueller stop, there is not really a lot of density in Austin anyway. I don't understand how LRT could better serve these areas north of Mueller?
Essentially all of the successful LRT starts since Portland got the ball rolling have followed minor variations of the same pattern: start in the suburbs running fairly quickly in fairly separated right-of-way, then run in the street closer in to go straight to a variety of heavily used activity centers. This usually means that the suburban ROW needs to be a pre-existing rail corridor.

Not every single one does this, but most did - and even the exceptions still run at higher speeds farther out from the center by various means.

That's now not possible here in Austin - the existing rail ROW is gone. We can't run at 55-70 out to Leander and then run 25 mph the rest of the way straight into downtown. There aren't any other corridors where high-speed running is possible. So we're stuck in a model where the entire trip has the vehicle going at the speed of car traffic on major arterial roadways - limited quite severely - and that assumes we can justify taking lanes away on those roads (a questionable assertion given the lack of suburban ridership).

Again, the only way we could justify taking a lane on Guadalupe and Lamar is that we projected 46,000 riders per day from a combination of suburban and urban sources. With just the urban, or just the suburban, you can't possibly sell the plan, and you're then stuck either running on less attractive streets (like this current plan does) or running in shared lanes (completely useless).

IE, we could run up Burnet to 183 instead, but we couldn't get our own lane, and even if in some universe we could, we'd still only be going 35 or 40 with many stops. We can't run up Guadalupe/Lamar at all, but even if we could, we'd be limited to 35/40 with many stops. Not attractive enough to compete with Mopac/I-35 even with ten more years of traffic growth.
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  #439  
Old Posted Apr 30, 2008, 3:23 PM
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Originally Posted by M1EK View Post
.

That's now not possible here in Austin - the existing rail ROW is gone. We can't run at 55-70 out to Leander and then run 25 mph the rest of the way straight into downtown. There aren't any other corridors where high-speed running is possible.
This is where a major source of my confusion lies? Once inside the central core of Austin, it seems stops would be frequent enough that we would run at traffic speeds anyway? Even if we did get dedicated lanes, I can't envision a train zooming at 55-70 mph down Guadelupe or Lamar? If this is true and we manage to get dedicated lanes for the current rail plan, then it doesn't seem like much is lost?

If my above logic is true, then the only thing we have lost is a superior route, which brings me back to a question of where the original LRT route was located? It seems like much of the original northern portion of the LRT route would have used the commuter rail route, so nothing is lost there since commuter rail can make all of the stops that LRT could potentially make. So the only thing that is lost is LRT down Guadelupe or Lamar, but not really, because the line has now been moved 2 blocks east? Subsequently, it could be argued this is actually a better route, because now the LRT line runs closer to the major downtown employement centers.

Continuing with that logic, then really, the section of town that is getting left out (comparing with previous LRT plans) is approx from 24th to 51st street, along Lamar, (some of this is covered by commuter) but it looks like UT area gains what was lost here. However, w/o seeing the orignal LRT map, its hard to gauge. I've searched for it online, but can't seem to locate it.

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  #440  
Old Posted Apr 30, 2008, 3:29 PM
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Originally Posted by JAM View Post
This is where a major source of my confusion lies? Once inside the central core of Austin, it seems stops would be frequent enough that we would run at traffic speeds anyway? Even if we did get dedicated lanes, I can't envision a train zooming at 55-70 mph down Guadelupe or Lamar? If this is true and we manage to get dedicated lanes for the current rail plan, then it doesn't seem like much is lost?
The point was that the route from Leander to UT, for instance, would look like this (running speeds):

55-70 from Leander to Lamar/Airport; 30-40 from there to Guadalupe/29th; 25 the rest of the way in.

And no, you can't get the same ridership from "commuter rail with a transfer to this circulator". Even transfers between two superior rail modes, such as LIRR to subway, end up turning off a high percentage of prospective riders - even in cities like New York, which is why they're spending so much money to extend the LIRR. Commuter rail won't EVER run often enough or quickly enough to feed enough people, with that transfer penalty, to a LRT line running on Lamar at Airport to justify taking a lane away on Lamar/Guadalupe.

This new line is going to stand on its own. Commuter rail's bringing in 2000 people, MAX, which would be a terminally low (disastrously low) ridership for a light rail line.
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