Quote:
Originally Posted by Goldfinger
This may be a bit optimistic for the short to medium term. I am seeing pullback in alot of areas of the GTA including downtown Toronto. Money is just too tight right now to be comitting to anything big.
I would also like to see some absorption numbers for all the condominium units that have been buit to date. This is a key piece of research that's missing, it seems no one is tracking sucess rates of these projects, Core Lofts asside.
I am also a bit skeptical of Gord Moodie's assesment that Darko was going to focus on the Hilton project. The conduits have totally dried up and there is no money available for any new large scale hotel projects anywhere.
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I disagree on a couple of counts:
1) Even if the TO market is a bit arid--and I doubt it--Hamilton real estate development represents a unique situation for potential developers. The TO market is appropriately pricey, but Hamilton represents the next untapped market in the country. Now that your Saskatoons and Reginas and Halifaxes have topped up, Hamilton is next. There is no cheaper major market. Hamilton's proximity to TO makes it all the more attractive. If Ontario heads into a recession, then developers will look for the cheapest local market to develop. Barrie and Hamilton are already leading the way. It'll happen. It is happening.
2) Pretty much the same goes for Hamilton hotels. If there's money to be made at something--even in Hamilton--chains and developers will flock to Hamilton to make that money. Hamilton, as we've discussed before, is obviously underserved for hotels. Why else would the Crowne Plaza spend $7 million in renovations? Because it's a lucrative niche market in Hamilton that has few players. If the Hilton doesn't go up, someone else will step in and develop some appropriate, tall downtown hotels in the near future.
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