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Originally Posted by snfenoc
Sacramento is not a small town. It is more than capable of supporting a few big projects. Despite the current market, Sacramento’s down town is gaining momentum. Large numbers of people have spoken, and they are saying, “We want high rise living.” True, the market sucks now, but it won’t always suck. Economics 101: Markets are Cyclical. Successful operations enter the market at the right time.
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Weren't you the person who said that Sacramento is an untested market when expressing your skepticism of the Towers chances, in the earlier days of this project?
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
I know there are these magical other places for high rises to be built (this is what some people said when 800 J supplanted Metro Place), but show me one that has as much going for it as 301. Go ahead. I am waiting… By the way, if there are other places for high rises to be built, then there are other places to build your precious little 800 J-style pieces of crap. Leave 301 alone.
From the same person who once said not to 'take this suff so seriously'?? (which by the way was solid advice). It appears that you might just be taking 301 CM's difficulties, a little too personal. I can understand people feeling that way who purchased a home there, but for everyone else who keep saying that they would rather see a hole in the ground than anything less in grandeur than 301CM, it just sounds odd and doesn't ring of the conversations I've had with more than a couple of forumers.
What’s wrong with waiting?
If the market is the reason why the Towers did not materialize, please, explain why it would be so terrible for CIM/CalPERS to say, “Let’s wait a few years and see if the market improves.”
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The market
isn't the reason why the Towers didn't materialize. The reason the Towers didn't materialize is because
John Saca was forced to return to Cal Pers to request additional capital. Seeing that estimated construction costs had risen from $400 million to $600 million (a 50% rise mind you) is why construction was brought to a halt. Any equity partner would have put the breaks on this project as fast as costs seemed to rise. And why exactly did they rise? Rincon Hill and 301 Mission in SF don't seem plagued by the same astronomical rise in construction costs. Perhaps Cal Pers simply didn't like where the project was going (cost wise) and decided they needed some accountability for their investment.
Secondly if CIM and Cal Pers decide that they can make money now or (in Cal Pers case break even), and come forward with a quality proposal, what's wrong with that? And who said it would look anything like 800 J street (which by the way replaced yet another hole in the ground with 225 lofts.) It's just pure speculation to say that a proposal would look like 800 J..
As far as the Sacramento housing market, I still believe that having pre sold nearly 50% of the units prior to construction represented strong sales for the Towers. However even if Saca had triggered the DB loan (which he didn't), the project was still in financial trouble.
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
Conversely, explain why it would be better to go the safe route and build something we will all regret a decade down the road.
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Why would anybody regret having a high density project? People living downtown spend money on food, entertainment, shopping and property taxes (for those who are home owners).. Not certain how much a hole in the ground contributes to the DT economy and vibrancy?
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
Are you so impatient to fill a hole (Ha, ha, ha! I just said, "Fill a hole") that you are willing to settle?
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Who said anything about being "willing to settle"? What I said is that before people start voicing their preference that 301 CM remain undeveloped (blighting Capitol Mall), that maybe a better idea might be to show a little patience until CIM reports back to Cal Pers, as whether or not a project can pencil out.. Nobody to the best of my knowledge has any clue what they will propose (if they propose anything).
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
Why not wait for a “quality” “dense” project that also includes one or more high rises? A certain know-it-all forumer (  ) said if CIM/CalPERS chose to wait, the site would sit empty for 15 years and a 30-story office building would be built on it.
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No snfenoc, i can't predict the future (sorry i can't help you with those lottery numbers) but I do have a solid grasp of DT Sacramento's history. I think I've already cited enough examples to prove my point about projects that go unbuilt. 15 years for 500 Capitol Mall, 20 (+) years for 621 Capitol Mall (just to name a couple).
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
First of all, I will take a 30-story office building over 800 J’s cousin any time –even if I have to wait 15 years for it.
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Again (and thankfully) you wont be the one making the decision.
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
Sure, there would be an ugly hole in the ground for awhile (I thought this had nothing to do with image and aesthetics – only “quality” and “density” matter, right urban?), but only for awhile.
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Actually
it has everything to do with image. As I stated earlier (which you evidently missed) a hole in the ground for 5 (+) years can do terrible damage to the image of that part of downtown... Nothing says
'closed for business' like a big hole in the ground or empty storefronts and buildings.
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
Besides, a hole in the ground = potential. What if, a few years ago, the guy who owned the old Wells Fargo building decided that nothing was happening, nothing would happen, and he should simply remodel and move in some lobbying firm? Would we have a new 25-story building going up at 500 CM?
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Not the best example on your part, but really it wouldn't have mattered if Tskakopoulos (or Wells Fargo) would have remodeled after Wells Fargo moved across the street. They still could have knocked it down and put up a larger tower. It would certainly have been better than letting it sit empty on Capitol Mall for 15 years like they did. The California Medical Association recently remodeled their HQ building at 12th and J, but that hasn't stopped them from looking at the possibilty of tearing it down and joining up with Mo Mohanna to build the CGT. (Granted the idea that Mo MoHanna will build anything is comical; but the CMA isn't so concerned about their rehab, that they would stand in the way of progress)...
By your logic the city should prevent empty storefronts on the K street Mall from being remodeled or rehabed. Why not wait until something really grand comes along in (say) 15 years??? After all, one and two story retail pads can go anywhere in the downtown area. If they allow something to be built or rehabbed, it might prevent a really tall building from being built there one day.
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Originally Posted by snfenoc
What if the City lost its mettle and decided to turn Lot A into a 7-story apartment building? Would we have the US Bank Tower and the possibility of Aura?
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I'm not a fan of parking lots anyway, but for the record, Lot A was a two story city owned parking garage and the city has never had a problem with bulldozing apartment buildings for the sake of what they see as progress.
Or haven't you ever heard of the Merrium apartments?