Quote:
Originally Posted by someone123
If you look at Alto, it has a proposed budget of $60-90B. The corridor served has around 18 million people in it. It's hard to get accurate initial ridership estimates but they talk about 24 million by 2055 and the discussion is oriented toward a future of long-term growth and investment, which is the right way to frame this kind of infrastructure development.
When you switch gears and look at the Maritimes, that Halifax-Moncton corridor is about 1/18 the scale. Proportional investment would be $3-5B. The projected growth is probably no lower there than in a corridor including Quebec; Moncton might even be the fastest-growing city in the country.
Let's be honest. Even a $1B transportation project for the Maritimes sounds like a pipe dream, though maybe it'll happen someday. It's not all directly applicable but I think there is a double standard and this back-of-the-napkin calculation is revealing.
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Benefits don't scale linearly with population though, especially with rail. Benefits grow exponentially as population density increases, as rail requires higher levels of urbanism and lower rates of car-reliance, with higher rates of activities in proximity to central stations, to really thrive.. And that takes highly dense central cores.
Halifax is large enough to support rail services, especially if it was within rail distance of another Centre of similar or larger size. But all other destinations in the Maritimes are simply too small to really be supportive of significant rail service.
@monctonrad's proposed service plan of 2 trains a day is probably relatively reasonable, especially if you minimize overall infrastructure investment. But much beyond that would be throwing good money after bad.
The biggest gap in rail service in Canada, by far, is Calgary > Edmonton. That is a corridor which increasingly could support frequent high speed rail connections.. and has literally 0 existing service. Both cities have dense cores, strong transit connections to the core to support connections too and from the rail station, both are large urban centres, and they are almost perfect distances from each other to support rail travel. Plus there is a mid-sized city in between..