Vancouver Civic Election 2026 - Page 12

whatnext · #**221** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:49 AM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by WarrenC12

I don't necessarily disagree with you but I would love to hear kikin actually explain the specifics of what he wants or what he thinks ABC is doing.

Ken Sim absolutely said the right things leading up to the 2022 election. It's no surprise ABC totally ran the table on council and the vote totals show it. However he delivered very little if anything he actually said he was going to, and even flip flopped the wrong way on things like the Park Board. He seems spineless and easily distracted.

It helped that Kennedy Stewart came across as very ineffective.

WarrenC12 · #**222** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by whatnext

It helped that Kennedy Stewart came across as very ineffective.

Yes he was easy to run against and Sim said the right things as I mentioned. He failed at actually doing them.

MalcolmTucker · #**223** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 7:27 PM**

Crazy, people have been betting real money on the Vancouver Mayoral election, $146k so far, and, and now, William Azaroff is the prediction market's candidate to beat.

madog222 · #**224** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 7:48 PM**

Wild swings over the past week, I'm guessing the volume is far too low for it to mean anything. 10 days ago it had Kareem Allam at 50%.

kikin · #**225** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:24 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by WarrenC12

I would attribute all of that to the Province and listening to voters in general. They went into an election seeing a popular Conservative party and adjusted accordingly.

the province is still sneakily trying to push forward with the Helmcken drug consumption site, luckily Sim is fighting it strongly which seems to have caused the province to go into stealth mode with this one

WarrenC12 · #**226** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:27 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by kikin

the province is still sneakily trying to push forward with the Helmcken drug consumption site, luckily Sim is fighting it strongly which seems to have caused the province to go into stealth mode with this one

They are? Surely you have some evidence of this?

kikin · #**227** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:27 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by MalcolmTucker

Crazy, people have been betting real money on the Vancouver Mayoral election, $146k so far, and, and now, William Azaroff is the prediction market's candidate to beat.
...

Polymarket bettors can be extremely wrong and there is no way that this should ever be used as a serious predictor. I made 700% on my money on betting on Findlay in the leadership election on polymarket as she was a huge longshot there even up to election day.

I'm betting on Sim at those odds.

kikin · #**228** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by WarrenC12

They are? Surely you have some evidence of this?

videos on various social media showing workers recently moving things in after hours, of course it could be mistaken, but I don't trust that they are not strategizing to continue to push these into our neighborhoods (if you want the fb and instagram posts I can dig them up for you, there isn't going to be anything official from government to show this at this point).

edit: I just did a search just now to see if there are any recent developments and got "900 Helmcken is the planned location for Vancouver's relocated Thomas Donaghy OD Prevention Site... Construction has continued as of July 2026 despite community opposition"

"Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim has brought forward a motion to block the opening..."

csbvan · #**229** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:40 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by MalcolmTucker

Crazy, people have been betting real money on the Vancouver Mayoral election, $146k so far, and, and now, William Azaroff is the prediction market's candidate to beat.

Surprisingly we don't even have polling yet, 2.5 months out from the election.

MalcolmTucker · #**230** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:46 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by csbvan

Surprisingly we don't even have polling yet, 2.5 months out from the election.

Only big moves I have heard of are a soft Ken Sim, a Vancouver Liberal/Vancouver Conservative collpase to less than 10% each, a slow rise in one city (to past the liberals but below the pete fry), and a pete fry slowly sinking from where he was.

That was at a BBQ from someone that would know, but the poll was old. Early May?

One problem is the robotic polls don't want to poll more than 5 candidates.

chowhou · #**231** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:50 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by csbvan

Surprisingly we don't even have polling yet, 2.5 months out from the election.

I'm also surprised that Vancouver has higher volume than the Toronto election which is also in October. Theirs is a bit less interesting though, I suppose.

Technically we did have polling conducted last fall by the "Conservative Electors", who have yet to actually show their faces. Perhaps they weren't happy with the polling.

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6.../1_Mainstreet_Vancouver_October_2025.pdf

https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/66c8d...nstreet_Vancouver_August_2025_Public.pdf

It's only because of this poll that I give the Vancouver Liberals a fighting chance. It probably was smart to coast on the Liberal name, the Federal Liberals are still running high approval ratings so that will probably help in October.

WarrenC12 · #**232** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 8:55 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by kikin

videos on various social media showing workers recently moving things in after hours, of course it could be mistaken, but I don't trust that they are not strategizing to continue to push these into our neighborhoods (if you want the fb and instagram posts I can dig them up for you, there isn't going to be anything official from government to show this at this point).

edit: I just did a search just now to see if there are any recent developments and got "900 Helmcken is the planned location for Vancouver's relocated Thomas Donaghy OD Prevention Site... Construction has continued as of July 2026 despite community opposition"

"Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim has brought forward a motion to block the opening..."

Yeah some sketchy website says that but nothing else. I walk by this area on a regular basis and there's no sign of any activity. Perhaps they are confusing it with a new restaurant going in nearby.

csbvan · #**233** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 9:41 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by chowhou

I'm also surprised that Vancouver has higher volume than the Toronto election which is also in October. Theirs is a bit less interesting though, I suppose.

Technically we did have polling conducted last fall by the "Conservative Electors", who have yet to actually show their faces. Perhaps they weren't happy with the polling.

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6.../1_Mainstreet_Vancouver_October_2025.pdf

https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/66c8d...nstreet_Vancouver_August_2025_Public.pdf

It's only because of this poll that I give the Vancouver Liberals a fighting chance. It probably was smart to coast on the Liberal name, the Federal Liberals are still running high approval ratings so that will probably help in October.

I feel like these polls are too old to have meaning. I would expect a very different landscape now.

Migrant_Coconut · #**234** Posted **Jul 27, 2026, 11:13 PM**

As of February, only 27% want a second Ken-ABC term, 32% want the same policies under different leadership, and 27% want them all gone. 59% are also Mamdani fans.

So yeah, safe money's on Azaroff, though Fry might get in on name recognition and "experience" alone.

kikin · #**235** Posted **Jul 28, 2026, 6:18 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by WarrenC12

Yeah some sketchy website says that but nothing else. I walk by this area on a regular basis and there's no sign of any activity. Perhaps they are confusing it with a new restaurant going in nearby.

good to hear, I hope it stays that way, keep us posted if you see anything that shows the opposite

Migrant_Coconut · #**236** Posted **Jul 28, 2026, 8:04 PM**

Alternatively, maybe Facebook and Twitter should not be taken at face value.

kikin · #**237** Posted **Jul 29, 2026, 7:16 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut

Alternatively, maybe Facebook and Twitter should not be taken at face value.

of course, same goes for all the main media sources as well

whatnext · #**238** Posted **Jul 29, 2026, 8:41 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by kikin

of course, same goes for all the main media sources as well

No, not the same at all.

Migrant_Coconut · #**239** Posted **Jul 29, 2026, 8:54 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by kikin

of course, same goes for all the main media sources as well

Educated professionals with sources in Victoria whose job is literally to investigate the truth... or a guy who knows a guy who knows a guy who knows a guy who thinks they saw a moving crew somewhere. Tough call.

chowhou · #**240** Posted **Jul 30, 2026, 12:44 AM**

Something something, it's not about what is reported, it's about what's not reported. Traditional media is typically highly accurate... on what it reports. Let's not pretend that there isn't editorial bias in traditional media at times. I don't tend to take National Post or Tyee articles at face value, not to say they're worse than what you see on Reddit or Facebook.