Quote:
Originally Posted by mhays
The West Seattle project has limited utility at this point. One or two stations, then having to transfer well south of Downtown, would mean very few people get one-seat rides. Most would have two or more likely three seats to their desinations.
I'd delay it until the next tunnel is built through Downtown along with the Ballard (or towards Ballard) segment is built. That would cut one seat from most rides. Let people take their nice convenient one-seat buses until then.
I haven't thought enough about the specifics of the reduced plan.
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I didn't realize that they are planning to turn back the trains at SoDo, or rather
train, since during off-peak I expect that they would simply shuttle a single 2-car train back and forth between these two points. You are correct - the customer isn't getting much at all for this massive capital outlay until the second tunnel appears.
I found an analysis of potential cost-savings in interlining the new lines with the existing downtown tunnel - and it turns out that there aren't many savings to be had:
https://www.soundtransit.org/st_sharepoi...n%20Tunnel%20Analysis%20-%2012-11-25.pdf
The problem is that the existing tunnel has no provisions for an at-grade junction, let alone a flying crossover near Westlake. Just creating this physical link will be horrendously expensive, plus it will require building the South Lake Union tunnel on a different alignment which does not set it up to travel at high speed to the planned second downtown tunnel.
I think what is depressing about this is that I always assumed that they were planning to build this physical link anyway, giving trains the choice to travel through one tunnel or the other (an especially useful possibility during a lengthy future rehab of one tunnel or the other). But that is not going to be the case.
The inability to easily build this connection makes a case for extending the Ballard line up to Northgate, which would enable trains from the north to divert onto the Ballard line and its downtown tunnel when there is a problem or construction closure in the original tunnel. There is a ton of potential ridership north of the planned Ballard terminal station that they're not going to capture by ending this thing where it's currently planned.