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Originally Posted by egb
1. DTW is the most interesting addition as it shows that WestJet is really leaning into trying to feed traffic through YHZ. YHZ-DTW daily makes little sense on its own.
2. On some level it would make sense for WestJet to add more YYZ/YUL/YOW capacity to feed all these Europe flights but I think the more likely outcome is more summer flights from Western Canada.
3. From an amenity point of view, YHZ will really need a second lounge over the long-term.
4. If there is enough sustained demand from this Euro Hub strategy then the airport will likely have to expand (as planned) down the road. The heavy seasonality of YHZ (which is just going to get more pronounced) will make the economics of that more challenging as they will have to expand expensive infrastructure to meet a relatively short-term peak.
5. Curious if there are other secondary US city airports that would make good pairings for YHZ a la Detroit.
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It might be 9 European destinations, but none of them are daily, and most are 4x weekly or less. During the course of a week, it averages out to ~5 departing flights a day, on 737s. That’s not even 1000 seats. It’s 2 AC high density 77Ws worth of departing passengers per day, on average. That’s it.
You dont need a ton of connections to fill these flights.
Also, let’s be realistic here. WS now knows they should have ordered more 787s. These YHZ Euro runs are just a stopgap. As soon as they get their hands on more 787s, some of those European slots are transferring over to YYZ or YYC in a heartbeat. Especially AMS and LIS, but most likely BCN, CPH and CDG as well.
If I was YHZ, I’d be cautious, and wouldn’t overbuild when you don’t know what the future holds.