Quote:
Originally Posted by LAsam
^That's the thing, sales are not going well. Mack listed Aven for sale in early August for $280 million, or $522K/unit (which is below replacement cost). They previously listed it for sale in 2022 for $420 million, or $784K/unit but there weren't any takers at that price. Building is 96% occupied and ground floor retail is 85% leased. At the reduced price, I still haven't heard of any takers as of yet. Not trying to be pessimistic, just realistic.
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This. A tower is going to cost $750k-$1 million/unit to build these days. If it's only worth $522k/unit when its completed and leased up, then the developer has lost money building the tower. Instead, an investor can just buy an existing building rather than backing a developer. Investors take on immense risk to back a developer building a tower and require heavy returns in exchange. Right now, the returns for building a tower in DTLA are literally negative.
What a lot of people don't understand is that the vast majority of developers need to get investors to fund their projects - not just banks to give loans, but equity investors who are the real owners of the projects. Those investors demand returns, and if developers can't provide adequate returns, investors just move on to another region or another asset class (they can just decide to fund startups, buy bonds, invest in stocks, etc. instead). That's why it's so important to not enact policies that are punitive to investors like ULA, eviction moratoriums, etc. I know I always harp on this stuff, but this is THE deciding factor on whether we see buildings and housing get built in our city. If you punish the investor, they flee, and nothing gets built.