I always wonder with SSP............ so many of you engage in these discussions without bringing in any facts.
How about we start with this, Chicago attracted 96,000 immigrants last year (2024) that's not exactly nothing........
And just shy of 300,000 since 2020.
https://www.illinoispolicy.org/chicago-a...gQIIBAX&usg=AOvVaw3Wxjj2LCQIGRSBaHbqqOQI
Its the loss of 347,000 residents to other parts of the U.S. that has the population stagnating or declining slightly.
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So the importance of that is that Chicago is still attractive to those from outside the U.S.
Perhaps less so that in earlier generations, or a percent of the resident population, but Chicago certainly isn't ignored by newcomers.
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I haven't encountered sufficient quality data on reasons for emigration from Chicago.
Certainly, some are leaving for lower tax rates.
But I find it unlikely that that is the driving issue for most.
Moving is not a cheap process, and one would have to save a lot of money to make that back.
This piece looks at the decline in the black community in Chicago over the last couple of decades:
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/23780231241266511
The above shows that the largest number of black residents exiting Chicago move to other parts of Illinois or Indiana.
So for that group, we can rule out taxes for most, weather for all.
However, the next largest relocation site is Georgia, primarily the Atlanta area.
Followed by Mississippi.
Atlanta has a been a hot market and growth centre all around for a while now, its less clear to me what would motivate folks to move to Mississippi unless that's all on that HGTV show, Hometown, LOL
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To the extent that out migration appears to be higher in lower-income groups, who reside, disproportionately in higher crime areas, I'm inclined to think that may play a role, but that's conjecture on my part.
I wonder what else might be playing a role.