Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankieFlowerpot
and with Carney as Leader
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Slight nitpick with the EKOS poll (well it might be more than slight).
They asked for voter intention two different ways: without naming party leaders, and with naming party leaders (using Carney as the LPC leader).
With leaders named: LPC +7.1 points ahead
Without leaders named: LPC +3.1 points ahead.
Both on their own are fine, but then the results are blended together to give the national topline which they reported. Really shouldn't have done that as you're combining two different datasets.
EKOS consistently has low CPC numbers (see final polls released prior to the 2019 and 2021 elections), so I do take their accuracy as a grain of salt.
What I'll be curious to see once Carney becomes leader: will polls drift towards the results we saw when prompting Carney as LPC leader, or will the polls drift towards the results we see when prompting just the party which you'd vote for; only one of them can be correct.
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