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  #1981  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2024, 9:53 AM
hehehe hehehe is offline
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Originally Posted by zahav View Post
I don't want PD to hurt WS or AC at YVR, I am not against competition so obviously let the free market decide success, but my personal wish would be to ensure both AC and WS stay strong and grow ahead of PD or F8 or whoever.

This came out of nowhere:

Yeehaw! WestJet announces service between Vancouver and Austin beginning this summer

VANCOUVER, BC, Nov. 26, 2024 /CNW/ - Today, WestJet announced plans to launch new threetimes-weekly nonstop service connecting Vancouver and Austin, Texas. Beginning May 11, 2025, the new route will unlock significant tourism and economic opportunities in both destinations, bridging businesses, tourists and cultural exchange between the vibrant city of Vancouver and the dynamic, rapidly growing market of Austin.

"As we continue to strengthen our service across Western Canada, we are proud to add new WestJet service between Vancouver and Austin as part of our expanded summer schedule," said Daniel Fajardo, WestJet Vice-President of Network and Schedule Planning. "This service will provide a valuable connection between the Greater Vancouver Area and Southern U.S., offering guests a convenient and affordable way to explore Austin's thriving music scene and renowned culinary culture, while also providing U.S.-based guests access to one of Canada's most iconic metropolises."

Vancouver-Austin
3x weekly
Starts May 11, 2025
6:00 p.m.
12:17 a.m.
Austin-Vancouver
3x weekly
Starts May 12, 2025
8:00 a.m.
10:38 a.m.

"We are pleased to see WestJet's network into key U.S. destinations from YVR continue to grow, with the addition of service into Austin, Texas," said Russ Atkinson, Director, Air Service Development at Vancouver International Airport (YVR). "Recognized as one of the best cities in the world for live music, this route to Austin builds on our existing linkages and is a welcome addition to WestJet's expanded summer service, which includes additional new non-stop flights from YVR to Boston, MA and Tampa, FL."

Earlier this week, WestJet revealed its 2025 summer schedule, outlining significant growth across the country, including significant enhances to transborder offerings from Vancouver. This summer, WestJet will serve a total of 15 U.S.-based destinations from Vancouver with up to 93 weekly departures out of the region during peak summer travel.


Interesting that this news release came just 7 days after WS did their bonanza releases across the country. Had their not secured the rights yet or something? I thought transborder services were unlimited and regulatory approvals are just a formality? Unlike many foreign countries where the approvals are essential and sometimes uncertain. Would've thought they knew 7 days ago that this could/would happen? No big deal, love to see the unexpected add, especially after they already seemed to give away their goodies to Canadian airports last week. Just curious why this new add came so soon after the main release, when you'd think they'd have included it. Hence why I said unexpected, just the timing. It makes sense that they are challenging AC on routes where AC isn't fully committed (ie. BNA and AUS, both newer destinations and ones with lower weekly frequencies, so more room for WS). And then BOS where they gave up totally. At least the WS YVR-AUS is timed and scheduled differently enough from AC that it offers something different from AC, they have an evening YVR departure, overnights in AUS, then returns the next morning at 8am. Anyone remember if YYC-AUS was always going to be 3x weekly this summer, or is that a change? [/I]
YYC-AUS was upped to 3x weekly for next summer from 2x weekly. Yeah it's odd that this was published later.
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  #1982  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2024, 6:28 PM
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hollywoodcory hollywoodcory is offline
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The YYC-AUS increase was loaded with the summer schedule last week. Also WS has a habit of announcing additional routes after the seasonal schedule release.

YLW-SEA was announced 2 weeks after the winter schedule release. ICN announced after the 787 announcements last year etc. I think YFC was announced later too.

I also think there will be more as I don't think this accounts for the WG integration either.

----

Also AA continues to increase its capacity at YYC, bumping up the weekly Saturday only CLT-YYC to 4x weekly and extending the season to June 2-Oct. 5 (instead of just 9 weeks in July/August). The added days Mon / Wed / Fri are the same 3 days WS just added with YYC-RDU. Could have been in response or maybe just a coincidence.
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  #1983  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2024, 10:22 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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Originally Posted by casper View Post
The YVR-YYZ/YUL/YOW can be operated from either end. Having a few pilots and cabin staff based in Vancouver means they can add routes from Vancouver to the US at the drop a hat. Now they need to be convinced there is more money to be made out of Vancouver than Toronto.
PD still have loads to add out of YYZ and YOW, and modest amounts at YUL & YHZ, not to mention YHU and the new terminal, before looking at YVR expansion. YVR's next PD route is likely YHU and in the meantime will probably see some capacity increases on some or all existing routes.
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  #1984  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2024, 10:52 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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Some preliminary AC domestic summer 2025 changes: https://www.aeroroutes.com/eng/241126-acns25ca

Route cuts

YUL-YQR/YXE getting axed (this was a transfer from YOW. Anecdotally, it performed much better at YOW as per an AC employee on another forum. Wonder whether it'll transfer back to YOW at some point? More likely is PD will launch YQR/YXE-YOW at some point).

Frequency Increases:

YHZ-YOW 21x > 28x
YUL-YFC 14x > 21x
YUL-YVR 35x > 41x
YYZ-YMM 2x > 4X
YYZ-YUL 105x > 112x (getting close to pre-pandemic, but YUL-YTZ's still about half)
YYZ-YOW 67x > 70x (still a far cry from the ~120x pre-pandemic, but YOW-YTZ 28x has been added since)
YYZ-YQB 28x > 35x
YYZ-YZF 2x > 3x
YVR-YXJ 27x > 28x
YVR-YKA 27x > 28x
YVR-YZF 13x > 14x
YYC-YWG 7x > 14x
YHZ-YYT 28x > 35x

Frequency Decreases:

YHZ-YDF 14x > 7x (looks like it shifted to YOW)
YUL-YYC 28x > 27x
YUL-YLW 3x > 1x
YYZ-YYC 77x > 70x
YYZ-YEG 56x > 49x
YYZ-YYT 35x > 28x
YYZ-YWG 49x > 42x
YYZ-YQR 21x > 20x
YYZ-YYJ 21x > 14x
YYZ-YQG 21x > 14x
YVR-YYC 64x > 62x
YVR-YHZ 14x > 7x
YVR-YLW 48x > 42x
YVR-YOW 21x > 20x
YVR-YQB 4x > 3x
YVR-YYZ 105x > 89x - QUITE THE DROP!
YVR-YXE 27x > 21x
YVR-YXT 35x > 28x
YUL-YHZ 30x > 28x (I see though the 330 is back on one of the rotations next summer)
YUL-YVR 43x > 41x

Also YYZ-YQY is downgauged to a CR9 from a 223.

Last edited by Dominion301; Nov 28, 2024 at 4:03 PM.
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  #1985  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2024, 11:37 PM
fanofYOW fanofYOW is offline
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Originally Posted by zahav View Post
I don't want PD to hurt WS or AC at YVR, I am not against competition so obviously let the free market decide success, but my personal wish would be to ensure both AC and WS stay strong and grow ahead of PD or F8 or whoever.[/I]
That's easy to say when you have multiple airlines hubbing in your airport of choice. Here at YOW, most of us are rooting for PD and don't want WS or AC to hurt them, because if they go down, we will be connecting for pretty much everything. I have 3 trips planned in 2025, 2 of them are currently booked and proud to say they are all PD, one PD reserve. The third will also be PD, but not booked just yet.
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  #1986  
Old Posted Nov 28, 2024, 2:32 PM
SimpleEng SimpleEng is online now
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Porter Using RNP AR

Looks like PD is starting to use RNP AR for improved E2 landings - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/porter-ai...coming-activity-7265422044563943424-wRez .

There's some nice NAV Canada videos and whitepapers about RNP AR here - https://www.navcanada.ca/en/air-traffic/airspace-reviews/toronto-pearson---rnp-ar.aspx .

Although YLW is not mentioned in the post my understanding is that RNP AR would enable PD to start flying E2s to YLW.

Hopefully we'll see YYZ/YOW PD service to YLW soon!

Last edited by SimpleEng; Nov 28, 2024 at 3:06 PM. Reason: Fixed typo in Kelowna's airport code
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  #1987  
Old Posted Nov 28, 2024, 2:47 PM
MountainView MountainView is offline
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Originally Posted by SimpleEng View Post
Looks like PD is starting to use RNP AR for improved E2 landings - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/porter-ai...coming-activity-7265422044563943424-wRez .

There's some nice NAV Canada videos and whitepapers about RNP AR here - https://www.navcanada.ca/en/air-traffic/airspace-reviews/toronto-pearson---rnp-ar.aspx .

Although KLW is not mentioned in the post my understanding is that RNP AR would enable PD to start flying E2s to KLW.

Hopefully we'll see YYZ/YOW PD service to KLW soon!
Yes, that is great news. I believe Transport Canada originally left the approvals for the E-195 E2 to use RNP and LPV approaches off the aircraft certification as to not cause more delays. These approvals might be in place now.

This would allow an LPV approach (will full LOC and GS) down to CAT1 minimums. [LPV = a 3D approach, LOC = Localizer, GS = Glideslope]. As illustrated in the NavCanada documents, this would allow the smoother 'glide' down approach as oppose to one with step-down altitudes. Better vertical guidance for the aircraft (lots of elevated terrain at YLW)

If all the approvals are now in place for the E2 aircraft to use YLW during poor weather conditions, I'm sure this will be a new route for Summer 2025 from YYZ. Porter did announce this route a year ago, but decided against it since they wouldn't be able to land in poor visibility conditions which YLW gets often.
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  #1988  
Old Posted Nov 28, 2024, 5:08 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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TS' summer 2025 schedule: https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/ai...ummer-2025-flight-program-820807604.html

One new YUL to Valencia and YQB loses the LGW in exchange for a 5th weekly to CDG.
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  #1989  
Old Posted Nov 29, 2024, 2:58 AM
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Originally Posted by MountainView View Post
Yes, that is great news. I believe Transport Canada originally left the approvals for the E-195 E2 to use RNP and LPV approaches off the aircraft certification as to not cause more delays. These approvals might be in place now.

This would allow an LPV approach (will full LOC and GS) down to CAT1 minimums. [LPV = a 3D approach, LOC = Localizer, GS = Glideslope]. As illustrated in the NavCanada documents, this would allow the smoother 'glide' down approach as oppose to one with step-down altitudes. Better vertical guidance for the aircraft (lots of elevated terrain at YLW)

If all the approvals are now in place for the E2 aircraft to use YLW during poor weather conditions, I'm sure this will be a new route for Summer 2025 from YYZ. Porter did announce this route a year ago, but decided against it since they wouldn't be able to land in poor visibility conditions which YLW gets often.
Sounds like YCG is working with NAV Canada for RNP to end most of those infamous cancellations.
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  #1990  
Old Posted Nov 29, 2024, 6:37 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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YOW's October pax stats:

Sector / Oct-23 / Oct-24 / % Chg.
Dom: 300,504 / 320,267 / +6.6%
TB: 45,065 / 55,881 / +24.0%
Int'l: 9,792 / 14,232 / +45.3%
TTL: 355,361 / 390,380 / +9.9%

Sector / YTD 2023 / YTD 2024 / % Change
Dom: 2,736,232 / 2,817,855 / +3.0%
TB: 448,742 / 630,270 / +40.5%
Int'l: 230,929 / 348,150 / +50.8%
TTL: 3,415,903 / 3,796,275 / +11.1%

October % of traffic recovered vs 2019 & YTD vs 2019
Sector / Traffic % recovered: Oct 24 vs 19 / YTD 24 vs 19
Dom: 91.1% / 83.6%
TB: 113.5% / 108.6%
Int'l: 71.8% / 97.6%
TTL: 92.8% / 88.2%

12 Months Rolling / % Change vs Year End 2022
Dom: 3,284,522 / +21.2%
TB: 757,661 / +298.1%
Int'l: 434,103 / +331.3%
TTL: 4,476,286 / +49.2%
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  #1991  
Old Posted Nov 29, 2024, 6:45 PM
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I'd be really surprised the Porters reason for not starting YLW is a lack of RNP. I believe it was only last year that an RNP approach that AC, Jazz, Encore and I think flair, could use on runway 34 became available. 90% of the time they land 16 and the ILS still gets you lower than any other approach.

That RNP 34 approach also only gets you to 1700 ish feet above ground. So won't help much on a bad weather day, but a huge improvement over the previous option. If the tail wind is too high for 16 and the weather is down, WJ is still the only airline with a good chance of getting in on their company approach for 34.


Porter will make great use of RNPs at most Canadian Airports apart from YVR YYZ and YUL, so a great addition. I just think for YLW it's not a reason to not go there, AC has made it for work for decades without.



I wouldn't hold my breath for any miracle approach in YCG if runway 34 in kelowna is anything to go by.
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  #1992  
Old Posted Nov 29, 2024, 7:14 PM
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Originally Posted by peytol View Post
I'd be really surprised the Porters reason for not starting YLW is a lack of RNP. I believe it was only last year that an RNP approach that AC, Jazz, Encore and I think flair, could use on runway 34 became available. 90% of the time they land 16 and the ILS still gets you lower than any other approach.

That RNP 34 approach also only gets you to 1700 ish feet above ground. So won't help much on a bad weather day, but a huge improvement over the previous option. If the tail wind is too high for 16 and the weather is down, WJ is still the only airline with a good chance of getting in on their company approach for 34.


Porter will make great use of RNPs at most Canadian Airports apart from YVR YYZ and YUL, so a great addition. I just think for YLW it's not a reason to not go there, AC has made it for work for decades without.



I wouldn't hold my breath for any miracle approach in YCG if runway 34 in Kelowna is anything to go by.
I believe the E-195-E2 was not certified down to minimums on 34 in YLW per Transport Canada... which is why Porter chose not to fly there. This certification was deferred on the aircraft so Porter could begin operating it in Canada... but not at YLW (for example).

Perhaps someone with more knowledge on the situation can correct me if I am mistaken.
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  #1993  
Old Posted Nov 30, 2024, 1:57 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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Originally Posted by MountainView View Post
I believe the E-195-E2 was not certified down to minimums on 34 in YLW per Transport Canada... which is why Porter chose not to fly there. This certification was deferred on the aircraft so Porter could begin operating it in Canada... but not at YLW (for example).

Perhaps someone with more knowledge on the situation can correct me if I am mistaken.
I’m pretty sure you’re correct. I fully expect PD will announce YYZ-YLW this summer and YOW-YLW a couple of years later (a 3x YLW, 4x YYJ weekly split for YOW service would make a lot of sense on a summer seasonal basis).
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  #1994  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 7:47 AM
thenoflyzone thenoflyzone is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peytol View Post
I'd be really surprised the Porters reason for not starting YLW is a lack of RNP. I believe it was only last year that an RNP approach that AC, Jazz, Encore and I think flair, could use on runway 34 became available. 90% of the time they land 16 and the ILS still gets you lower than any other approach.

That RNP 34 approach also only gets you to 1700 ish feet above ground. So won't help much on a bad weather day, but a huge improvement over the previous option. If the tail wind is too high for 16 and the weather is down, WJ is still the only airline with a good chance of getting in on their company approach for 34.


Porter will make great use of RNPs at most Canadian Airports apart from YVR YYZ and YUL, so a great addition. I just think for YLW it's not a reason to not go there, AC has made it for work for decades without.



I wouldn't hold my breath for any miracle approach in YCG if runway 34 in kelowna is anything to go by.
The full ILS on 16 at YLW is a restricted procedure. Ops Spec approval is required by Transport Canada before an airline can fly that approach. If you don't have approval, you are limited to a LOC only approach on 16, with higher minimums.

The RNP with the lowest minimums (RNP 0.10 accuracy) is a restricted procedure as well. Same for the lowest LPV minimums (251ft). So there are definitely benefits of having these certifications, even if you can fly the ILS.

By the way, YYZ and YVR have RNP AR approaches as well, so PD can benefit from those. YUL doesn't have any.
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  #1995  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 7:53 AM
thenoflyzone thenoflyzone is offline
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First time I see an airline requesting a suspension of their license to fly to Canada. Usually it's initiated by the CTA, because of the expiry of the certificate of insurance of the airline on the CTA's records. Either way, it basically confirms Corsair will not be returning to Canada anytime soon.

https://otc-cta.gc.ca/eng/ruling/a-2024-178

Also, interesting squabble between Saudia and Air Canada. Saudia wanted extra-bilateral authority to fly a 5th weekly frequency to YYZ on a temporary basis. They got denied by the CTA because they couldn't prove the need for the extra flights. AC's objection is pretty interesting as well.

https://otc-cta.gc.ca/eng/ruling/a-2024-171

Last edited by thenoflyzone; Dec 1, 2024 at 8:04 AM.
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  #1996  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 8:48 AM
nname nname is offline
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Originally Posted by thenoflyzone View Post
First time I see an airline requesting a suspension of their license to fly to Canada. Usually it's initiated by the CTA, because of the expiry of the certificate of insurance of the airline on the CTA's records. Either way, it basically confirms Corsair will not be returning to Canada anytime soon.

https://otc-cta.gc.ca/eng/ruling/a-2024-178
Happened before. Hong Kong Airlines requested license suspension in 2020, a few months after ending the YVR service:

https://otc-cta.gc.ca/eng/ruling/a-2020-127

The Airline will be coming back early next year though.
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  #1997  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 11:29 AM
zahav zahav is offline
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Originally Posted by fanofYOW View Post
That's easy to say when you have multiple airlines hubbing in your airport of choice. Here at YOW, most of us are rooting for PD and don't want WS or AC to hurt them, because if they go down, we will be connecting for pretty much everything. I have 3 trips planned in 2025, 2 of them are currently booked and proud to say they are all PD, one PD reserve. The third will also be PD, but not booked just yet.
Absolutely you are right, it is 100% my own self interest and only for my home airport, I do not wish for Porter or anyone else to fail. I hope they flourish and grow, especially at airports like YOW that get the short end of the stick from WS and AC. I just mean I like the fact both WS and AC continue to invest and grow at YVR, and if I had to make a choice between PD growing here or AC and WS strenghtening, I would choose the latter.... The dual strength of both WS and AC is much more unique and beneficial for us.

Lots of AC changes, mostly pretty minor overall. Important note though>>
Other service changes, based on schedule listing comparison 06OCT24 vs 24NOV24, for flights between 01MAY25 and 25OCT25. Note some of these changes are largely identical to frequencies for July/August 2024:
https://www.aeroroutes.com/eng/241126-acns25ca

This is important to consider, as often AeroRoutes compares y/y, as opposed to projected vs. projected. So in actuality, many of the "loss" routes are growing compared to S24, so it's an unusual way to report it.

The other thing it doesn't mention is equipment used, which can make a difference if measuring overall service level. For example, YVR-YXE sees a frequency cut, but a Jazz CRA is being replaced by a 737, so it's definitely a gain in service overall. Also not mentioned (since the article was only about frequency) is that one of the three YVR-YQR flights is also switching from Jazz CRA to 737. Don't remember the last time both these routes saw mainline, but I have been doing this for too long and my memory is rustier than before. Then WS increased YXE service to 11x weekly while keeping YVR at 7x weekly. I always wanted YVR-Sask routes to strengthen or at least not shrink, so I like seeing these changes, no matter how minor, at least the direction is right. YVR-YXE/YQR have always been two of the primary routes that WS funnels through YYC, that's a main reason the routes haven't grown more. But AC adding jets and WS at least adding 4x more weekly to YXE shows some improvement commitment and helps slightly to avoid a connection. So at least the YXE and YQR loss of YUL is partially offset by YVR gains? Obviously these airports are totally different and the connecting options from YUL are unique from those at YVR, but at least its still service...

To any knowledgeable posters on here, please chime in if there's other route reductions that were actually gains because of equipment upgauge, I am not familiar enough with the normal equipment to even have a clue what the y/y change is. YVR-YYZ was 13x weekly last summer, so the drastic decline compared to what it showed in October isn't really important. And the aircraft mix on that route is all over the place, I'd bow down to anyone who actually remembers what equipment operated from season to season, it's always a hodge podge. S25 has 5 wide bodies out of 13 flights, seems about the same as before more or less. YUL is a different story though. Not only is the route higher than last year, I believe it is higher than pre-pandemic as well? Or at least matching, I think 5x daily was typical pre-pandemic, maybe 6? Especially with 3/6 flights on wide bodies, the service is relatively stronger than YVR-YYZ (that route used to be 18x daily in years past, and with wide bodies). So 13x daily is better than 2020-2022 and equal to last year +-, it's way below pre-pan. It makes logical sense I guess, AC has been building up YUL international service markedly, while having more subdued growth at YYZ. So stands to reason that a domestic route between two major hubs would benefit.

Lastly, I am so personally disappointed to see YHZ-YVR wither like this (AC down from 14 to 7, even when WS axed the route entirely). When one carrier drops a route, you expect another carrier to even partially fill their gap, or at the very least maintain. Yet after WS pulled out, AC went the other way and halved the frequency. I love YVR and YHZ (my home away from home), so this is personally tough to see. But I am not biased when it comes to stats, and it's a fairly obvious red flag when one carrier drops and the other cuts at the same time. The economics must still be challenging even with the 737-Max, which was supposed to make these routes more viable. Overall it seems east<>west still struggles with non-hub traffic and/or frequency growth. In this release YVR to YHZ lost half it's frequency, and YVR to YQB went down to 3x weekly from 4x (this is another oddball, still a relatively new AC route that has already tried Rouge, the A220, 737, and with max. frequency of 4x weekly, quite shaky by AC standards of service). But nowhere near as bad as YUL-YLW, yikes... 1x weekly mainline only? I didn't even know 1x weekly mainline existed now, except to sun destinations, and even then, increasingly rare. YUL can never ever claim AC doesn't love them enough, they are maintaining this link despite it obviously hanging on by a thread lol... YYZ used to have AC non stops to YCD, YKA, YXX, and I think even YQQ? All gone. I don't have the full empirical data or stats to back this claim up, it's just my impression lately that transcontinental domestic continues to be challenging economically even with aircraft improvement? If AC cuts YVR-YHZ to under daily (ie. 5 or 6 weekly) I will put no faith in the route
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  #1998  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 1:56 PM
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Originally Posted by zahav View Post
Lastly, I am so personally disappointed to see YHZ-YVR wither like this (AC down from 14 to 7, even when WS axed the route entirely). When one carrier drops a route, you expect another carrier to even partially fill their gap, or at the very least maintain. Yet after WS pulled out, AC went the other way and halved the frequency.
AC YVR-YHZ is actually exactly the same as last year - 2x daily for Aug/Sept, and 1x daily May-July and Oct.

As for WS, perhaps they felt it's better to route everyone through Alberta instead of flying the route a few times a week? After all, there are 5-6 flights a day from YYC/YEG combined...

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Originally Posted by zahav View Post
YVR to YQB went down to 3x weekly from 4x (this is another oddball, still a relatively new AC route that has already tried Rouge, the A220, 737, and with max. frequency of 4x weekly, quite shaky by AC standards of service).
YVR-YQB was 3x weekly this year as well. It started seasonal 3x weekly Rouge, to seasonal 5x weekly Rouge... then 3x-4x weekly mainline year-round, then back to very short seasonal 3x weekly for July/Aug only. YVR-YQB was never operated more than 3x weekly with mainline, but at least the season next year is extended by a month on both sides.
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  #1999  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 5:01 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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PD started YUL-RSW yesterday. Pretty amazing that AC don’t fly this route: https://canadianaviationnews.ca/porter-a...flights-between-montreal-and-fort-myers/
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  #2000  
Old Posted Dec 1, 2024, 7:43 PM
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Alexcaban Alexcaban is offline
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Originally Posted by Dominion301 View Post
PD started YUL-RSW yesterday. Pretty amazing that AC don’t fly this route: https://canadianaviationnews.ca/porter-a...flights-between-montreal-and-fort-myers/
They did pre pandemic with rouge 319s maybe was 4-5 weekly.
Returned I believe W22 with mainline A220 same frequency. Was loaded for W23 but then was removed.
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