Quote:
Originally Posted by New Brisavoine
Bon, la question ne semble pas inspirer...
Personally I think it could play two ways.
At the Trump level, if by the time there's a 3rd referendum the prime minister of Canada is a Conservative in very good terms with Trump, then Trump would probably be hostile to the secession of Québec, but I doubt this would have any influence on Québécois voters. If, on the other hand, it's still Trudeau or a look-alike, then Trump should be quite enthusiastic about the secession of Québec, but again I doubt this would influence voters in Québec.
And at the Québec level, a US led by Trump could also play two ways: it could improve the OUI prospects, as a reaction against a nasty Anglophone North America, "let's have our own state to protect us", but it could also convince voters in Québec that they are better off in a large country like Canada better equipped to protect them against a dangerous US, and an independent Québec is too risky with this hostile neighbor south. It's hard to tell which sentiment would prevail.
|
J'avais loupé cette question. C'est une journée qui est fertile en sujets de discussion.
Trump tends to be very isolationist so I think there is a good chance that he'd stay out of whatever internal debates we'd have in Canada. He is very unpopular in Quebec so not sure that even a Pierre Poilievre government that might be somewhat pro-Trump would see the usefulness of bringing him on board to help the Non side. In 1995, the Non side did appeal to Bill Clinton who made a couple of pro-Canada and pro-federalism speeches, but he was quite popular in Quebec.
As for Quebecers being afraid of the big bad US, well Canada and ROCers in general have been trying to tell us for decades that the real threat is the US, not Anglophone Canadians. And that we have this in common - Quebec and the ROC vs the US.
Much to the frustration of Anglo-Canadians, Quebecers have always rejected this idea and see Anglo-Canadians and Anglo-Canada as their biggest nemesis and threat.
Under the principle that sure the US is a big dangerous grizzly bear roaming outside the house, but Anglo-Canada is a smaller but still dangerous black bear that is actually inside the house.
This perception in Quebec has never changed no matter who is in power in Washington.
Anecdotally, it's worth mentioning for example that in terms of respecting French as the language of Quebec, American-owned businesses aren't necessarily worse than Canadian-owned businesses (or even businesses owned by Anglo-Quebecers) and are sometimes even better.
You should see how US chains like Walmart and Home Depot operate entirely in French in Quebec, from signage and service to the language of work for staff. It's even the case in western parts of Montreal.