Quote:
Originally Posted by adamuptownsj
After the deadline, looks like
PCs 49
Liberals 49
Greens 46 (got a last-minute candidate in Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston)
NDP 23 (I guess a few of their last minute guys failed to submit)
Libertarians 18 which is a jump of 4 from Tuesday morning
Alliance 13
Consensus 3 which surprises me as I thought this was a one-man show
Social Justice 2
Independents 4
I presume the PC candidates who filed Tuesday were party stalwarts who are doing their duty (losing a safe Liberal seat to ensure a full slate) which would assure paperwork and signatures would be in order. Liberals have done the same in the past.
Very surprised the Greens couldn't pull this together too. NDP are cooked. Alliance is cooked. Libertarians turn in a respectable performance.
Of the independents, none very interesting, excluding the literally insane perennial candidate David Raymond Amos in Quispamsis.
Ridings by number of candidates
2 have 2 candidates only: Hautes-Terres-Nepisguit and Caraquet, both of which are safe Liberal no matter what.
11 have 3
18 have 4
11 have 5
6 have 6
1 riding, St Croix, has seven: PC-L-G-PA-NDP-Ltn-Ind.
|
The only "pure" election are the two candidate ones. Multicandidate elections are
always a compromise.
In Portland Simonds I don't see any huge relative strength of the NDP and Green; but the three left leaning candidates against one wouldn't help Dornan.
Greens + NDP vote the last go around was 647 out of 5775 votes, or 11% with less than strong candidates with no visibility.
In a two way race these would naturally move over to Dornan, but the paradox of choice could impart a nail-biter come poll closing.