The US Census Bureau thread

[iheartthed]

Originally Posted by ChiSoxRox

To give an example of just why so many of us are skeptical of the esimation method, look at New York City.

2010 Census: 8,175,133
2017: 8,437,478
2018: 8,390,081
2019: 8,336,817

2020 Census: 8,804,194
2020 Base: 8,740,647
2021: 8,459,001
2022: 8,335,897

Judging by the NY state figure, since the rest of the state is flat, NYC is somewhere around 8,250k.

I can buy a drop during covid. I do not buy that NYC has been stagnant in population for the better part of a decade now, including the boom years immediately before covid leading to a Census discrepancy of half a million people.

Sure, we're just people with keyboards, not the professional demographers at the Census Bureau. But when the NYC housing market is tighter than it's ever been, but the CB says "no, half a million people left town in three years," that just seems ludicrous.

And there were almost certainly more people living in NYC on April 1, 2019 than there were on April 1, 2020.

It is possible that NYC was undercounted in 2010, and 2020 reflects the correction. The 2009 ACS 1-year estimate for NYC was 8,391,881, but the 2010 census population for the city was 8,175,133. This, however, doesn't explain why the estimates showed NYC's population declining in the mid-2010s only to post a substantially higher population in 2020.