Quote:
Originally Posted by Docere
Obama over-performed in the Midwest and the Iraq War played a key role in that. Of course the economy played a key role too, particularly in the rust belt states; both McCain and Romney seemed out of touch and had no economic populism.
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Obama over performed everywhere in 2008. Comparing his 2008 performance to the Democratic candidate performances in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, and 2016, he only underperformed the average in 6 states, which are all southern or southern adjacent states:
Alabama - 39.36%, -0.622 point variance from average
Alaska - 32.66%, 5.23 point variance from average
Arizona - 43.35%, 1.77 point variance from average
Arkansas - 46.2%, -7.342 point variance from average
California - 53.32%, 7.689 point variance from average
Colorado - 44.43%, 9.234 point variance from average
Connecticut - 51.97%, 8.624 point variance from average
Delaware - 51.34%, 10.598 point variance from average
District of Columbia - 87.01%, 5.454 point variance from average
Florida - 46.15%, 4.876 point variance from average
Georgia - 43.86%, 3.13 point variance from average
Hawaii - 55.41%, 16.442 point variance from average
Idaho - 29.49%, 6.598 point variance from average
Illinois - 53.63%, 8.29 point variance from average
Indiana - 39.3%, 10.646 point variance from average
Iowa - 46.61%, 7.3179 point variance from average
Kansas - 35.95%, 5.7039 point variance from average
Kentucky - 40.83%, 0.344point variance from average
Louisiana - 44.63%, -4.698 point variance from average
Maine's 1st - 50.31%, 10.2 point variance from average
Maine's 2nd - 45.87%, 8.738 point variance from average
Maine† - 48.18%, 9.534 point variance from average
Maryland - 55.37%, 6.548 point variance from average
Massachusetts - 58.15%, 3.648 point variance from average
Michigan - 49.05%, 8.3819 point variance from average
Minnesota - 48.%, 6.056 point variance from average
Mississippi - 41.07%, 1.926 point variance from average
Missouri - 44.59%, 4.704 point variance from average
Montana - 37.31%, 9.944 point variance from average
Nebraska - 32.8%, 8.804 point variance from average
Nevada - 44.61%, 10.536 point variance from average
New Hampshire - 46.44%, 7.69 point variance from average
New Jersey - 52.23%, 5.036 point variance from average
New Mexico - 48.06%, 8.85 point variance from average
New York - 57.36%, 5.524 point variance from average
North Carolina - 43.93%, 5.772 point variance from average
North Dakota - 33.62%, 11 point variance from average
Ohio - 45.26%, 6.242 point variance from average
Oklahoma - 35.25%, -0.9 point variance from average
Oregon - 47.6%, 9.148 point variance from average
Pennsylvania - 48.66%, 5.83 point variance from average
Rhode Island - 56.31%, 6.546 point variance from average
South Carolina - 41.26%, 3.638 point variance from average
South Dakota - 37.58%, 7.168 point variance from average
Tennessee - 43.92%, -2.092 point variance from average
Texas - 40.07%, 3.61 point variance from average
U.S. Total - 47.42%, 5.514 point variance from average
Utah - 27.55%, 6.86 point variance from average
Vermont - 53.14%, 14.318 point variance from average
Virginia - 45.08%, 7.55 point variance from average
Washington - 49.75%, 7.898 point variance from average
West Virginia - 43.03%, -0.437 point variance from average
Wisconsin - 46.78%, 9.436 point variance from average
Wyoming - 29.89%, 2.646 point variance from average