Quote:
Originally Posted by jbermingham123
My point was to compare a region to a region, rather than a state to a city (as was being done before). There are benefits and drawbacks to both types of comparison.
I wanted to refute the idea that the "texas cities are slowing down their growth faster than LA in comparable years". I think if the Texas cities were close enough together to be grouped in a single CSA, the numbers would look remarkably similar the broader LA region (LA MSA + Inland Empire) in the 20th century. i made a rough attempt to bring those numbers together
|
It’s an interesting coincidence, but I’m more inclined to think that the city vs city comparison makes more sense.
Physical infrastructure, residential and transportation, should determine the limits of a city’s peak population more than anything else.
Most people just flat out move away from a MSA once travel distances go beyond 2 hours.
Let’s suppose that Texas cities as a combined group are growing at the exact same rate as Southern California in the past.
Well…Southern California is still nowhere close to having a 30 million population after a century of growth, yet the article claims there will be multiple 30 million and 20 million cities in the future.
If Texas cities are theoretical splitting growth across 3 or 4 cities, then each of them will take longer than SoCal to reach 30 million.
The article is just flat out bunk.