Quote:
Originally Posted by tyeman200
Yeah but that's cause of a population influx.. It happened to RMC in the 90s too, the last time it had a renovation (1988 to be exact). Again, it's better to build smaller, because the school won't end up on the chopping block later on to be closed indefinitely. If it were to stay at a higher population, sure, but I feel it will lower again.
Same with the feeder school I went to. I was surprised to see about 6 to 8 portables on site. For sure they could do an 8 classroom addition. But then, when the population dwindles, you have an empty wing that isn't being used and wasting money.
Most likely to speed up the process. As I heard, the new RMC will be L shaped, and only the newer double gymnasium will be saved from the old school. They will build the new school from the double gym entrance, and then do an L shape Southbound. So they will need to demolish the old school quite quickly to get the new parking lot and what not paved over it in time for the school year.
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What timeline are you expecting this population decrease in your hunch?
Every year a new record is set for babies born at LHSC (look it up if you want). Also an immense amount of immigration to Canada has occurred in recent years, and certainly large net-positive numbers for London population.
Consider that the 2022 (record) cohort will hit grade 12 in 2039. Presumably a new record will be set in 2023 (which will be grade 12 in 2040), and so on and so forth... The current rapid population increase via immigration virtually ensures record baby numbers to continue for the foreseeable future.
Unless you are speaking to specific neighbourhood/area demographics that suggest that particular area needs fewer desks 30+ years from now, your thought process seems short-sighted.
Yes, Canada's birth rates have had ebbs and flows in history. The main one in modern history would be the low birth rates during WW2, followed by the baby boomer cohort that stressed schooling needs, followed by smaller households with Gen X kids and millennials (which is essentially what you are speaking to), but it's being trending up for several decades, and trending up very fast in recent years.
People who currently attend high school were born around 2008 (give or take a few years), in which significantly fewer babies were born than there were today. Barring a catastrophic incident causing a major loss of lives, wide-spread fertility issues or an exodus from the London area, or a significant change to the way schooling is delivered, we can factually say we need A LOT more seats in 2050 than we do today, despite your "feeling" it's going lower.
Finally, while you demonstrated the most valid reason for the use of portables, that is almost certainly not why they are being used at an area school (but again, I don't know the specific area you are speaking to, so there may be demographics at play in that precise area - that does occasionally happen). Schools aren't putting up portables because of their temporary nature, they are using them because it's the cheapest/quickest/least disruptive band aid solution to continued growing numbers. Funding is hard to come by for real construction and also challenging to execute while kids are learning. 6 to 8 portables on site today, and probably 10+ portables in 5-10 years, they aren't doing this because they think it's going down soon, it's just the only viable option. these kids aren't just going to disappear in the next quarter century (or longer).
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