Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlotteCountyLogan
I saw this morning in the telegraph that Wayne Long is not going to run in the next federal election and is planning on running provincally. This leads to a few questions from me such as who runs in Wayne's riding, does the new riding flip, and which seat would Wayne run in provincally.
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I was just discussing this earlier with a colleague.
Who runs for SJ-Kennebecasis? Could be anyone. Glen Savoie as a Tory or Greg Stewart as.... IDK. A KV politician could have a good angle here. Trevor Holder probably wouldn't. Maybe Arlene Dunn goes for it as a Tory? Moderate, labour connections. There's always Hickey on the Liberal side but he seems cautious. One of the usual suspects for the Greens, but they'd have to resign to run.
Does it flip? Probably. Long severely overperformed and Mel Norton barely campaigned. Interestingly, Weston would have won this riding in 2019 by about 450 votes.
Which seat should Long run in? Kind of up to him. Harbour would be the easiest to win once, Dunn or not, but it would not be a fun seat to hold as a cabinet member... or especially as premier. Lancaster, he has a good shot of meeting Greg Norton in the general in a blueing area- I don't imagine Shepherd is reoffering. The KV seats and Portland-Simonds seats would be an uphill slog especially against the current incumbents. Rural areas are a no go. East maybe?
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