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Originally Posted by Truenorth00
Great evidence for HFR's thesis of frequency increasing ridership.
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Agreed!
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Not so great for Lakeshore service at Kingston though. Can fewer and better timed trains actually get higher ridership?
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First of all, I am not sure that VIA believes they will increase ridership along the Lakeshore. The question is, can the preserve the existing ridership?
Not only will the trains be better timed, they will have more stops. A train through a community might as well not exist if it doesn't stop at the local station.
Looking at the latest schedule, of the 15 eastbound* departures from Toronto, here are the number of arrivals at each of the stations along the way (I included Gananoque and Brockville as they are arguably an extensions of the Lakeshore):
Oshawa 14
Kingston 13
Cobourg 9
Belleville 8
Brockville 7
Guildwood 5
Port Hope 3
Napanee 2
Trenton Jct. 2
Gananoque 1
Obviously Oshawa and Kingston will see a reduction in service but most of the other cities will see an increase in service (in some cases a significant increase). There will also be improved connectivity between those intermediary cities as more trains will stop at both cities.
* Eastbound is arguably a better representation of the existing schedule than westbound as Trains 50/60 and 52/62 depart Toronto (and run along the Lakeshore) as a single train (splitting at Brockville), thus the schedule is more evenly distributed. Westbound it isn't feasible to join the trains (due to the potential of delays to one of them) so often trains will run back to back and thus can't really be counted as separate trains.
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Does really slow how much traffic is there between the major metros (including their burbs).
Wanted to add. Absolutely amazing work by Johnny Renton.
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Agreed. It is a great analysis. Well done Johnny Renton!
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