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Originally Posted by wwmiv
Milam will never be added and even if it is, it's a very small county that has negative population growth.
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It's about 25K (bigger than Llano). So true, not huge, but that's about 5% of the delta between Austin/San Antonio. It could cut a year off the estimate.
It's also only (slightly)negative in the post-census estimates(again, as was Llano). Last two censuses its been slowly growing. Certainly possible that picks up once Hutto/Taylor start taking off.
Quote:
Originally Posted by wwmiv
San Antonio could also easily add Kerrville sometime within the next decade.
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Possible, but I'd be a bit surprised by within the decade. Kerrville is a long way from San Antonio proper, with not a lot in-between. It'd be a pretty long commute.
Quote:
Originally Posted by wwmiv
So, isn't as clear cut and dry as you think it might be.
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I don't think it's cut and dry, but to a certain extent it's a function of distance (which affects commuting patterns). Will people commute from Kerrville to San Antonio, sure. Especially as San Antonio keeps growing. But it's more likely that people start commuting into Austin from areas currently outside the metro definition that are closer than that, at least in the near term. I think Austin is also helped out by having more and faster growing suburbs, especially on it's north.
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