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Originally Posted by officedweller
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This is a service operating scenario prepared by a third-party consultant (i.e. neither TransLink nor BCRTC themselves) as part of the basic business case documentation. While I think it's reasonably representative of what the future operating scenario would look like, it's worth noting that there are already base assumptions from this report that do not reflect what will happen (or is happening) in the real world.
As an example, page 37 notes that the ridership assumptions (which feed into the proposed service scenarios) did not actually assume that there would be any major bus service increases beyond a base "bus integration strategy":
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the bus integration strategy that would see bus routes realigned to tie into the SLS extension has been assumed, but further expansion of feeder routes, or increase in existing service, has not been considered
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We know that will not be the case in real life as increasing bus service has been politically popular, resulting in the ongoing bus service increase TransLink is delivering as an outcome of the recent operating funding agreements with the province.
In the end actual service levels for SLS will be set by TransLink and there could be variance from these scenarios. I think one variance will be the location of any short turns if SLS has them; I can see the short turns happening at Bakerview-166 rather than Green Timbers, due to the location of the first bus exchange being there.
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