Quote:
Originally Posted by MonctonRad
It would truly have to be the end times for Don Dominic to lose Beausejour.
Moncton is a tad more vulnerable, but, Ginette Petitpas Taylor remains personally popular, and, as you pointed out, since the riding no longer includes Riverview, the tendency of the electorate will be more Liberal than in the past. If the Tories pick the right candidate however, anything might be possible.
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I think both stay red, even in a Liberals-at-20% scenario, but there's a large renting population that wasn't nearly as strained economically as it was in 2021. Need to know how much of Moncton-Dieppe's population growth came from 1) Acadian towns emptying out, 2) Anglo rurals, and 3) immigrants with citizenship. 1 is a boon for GPT, 2 a negative, and 3 a mild negative.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sailor734
Do you think that support will do the NDP any good in terms of seats or will it just mean they come second ahead of the Liberals in more ridings that the CPC win?
I'm thinking the latter.
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It should be good for half a dozen in Toronto and a dozen others nationwide, max. A couple in Vancouver, four or five in Quebec, the rest scattered around.
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