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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe
I think we all can admit and agree on yellow being yellow.. I feel what we are doing is more trying to ague the name of the shade of yellow. Is it gold, or golden rod?
My attitude has remained the same. I will always want more. I am the kind of person that does not take no for an answer, but as a challenge.
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To provide an analogy which also Dengler_Avenue can understand: What you've shown on pages 45 to 50 reminds me of the driver who hears a warning in the radio that there is a car driving in the wrong direction on the highway, which prompts him to reach out for his phone to call the radio station to tell them that it's not just one car, but hundreds. No matter how often your bogus claims and alleged "facts" got proven wrong, you just kept on insisting that they were correct and basically everyone else was wrong. I'm not bringing this up again to complain, but just to highlight that I do appreciate your willingness to consider the possibility that your knowledge and wisdom is subject to the same limits as it is with everyone else...
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I look forward to that timetable.
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These two posts won't just be timetables. They will be extensive posts about timetables, highlighting the challenges and trade-offs in finding the best timings...
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My problem really is that the timetable, especially the ones that are longer than a day really are convoluted.
Lets take this one:
https://www.viarail.ca/sites/all/fil...-Vancouver.pdf
Look at the Edmonton to Vancouver run. It looks like there is 2 trains on there, but AFAIK there isn't.
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Actually, there is:
- Train 1 departs Toronto year-round on Wednesdays (i.e. Day 3) and Sundays (Day 7), whereas Train 2 departs Vancouver year-round on Mondays (Day 1) and Fridays (Day 5).
- Additionally, during the summer period (end-April to mid-October), train 3 departs Edmonton on Fridays (Day 5) and Train 4 departs Vancouver on Tuesdays (Day 2)
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Mind you, nothing written by any government agency/department ever really makes sense to anyone but who wrote it. We just accept it and move on.
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This is how the European Rail Timetable (the timetable resource for all independent train travels in Europe and beyond, formerly published by the famous and now bankrupt travel company Thomas Cook and now by its editors themselves) covers the Canadian, in case you find that presentation much clearer.
Note: This is from the Summer 2019 Edition and the travel dates for trains 3 and 4 (train numbers are missing for the Vancouver-Edmonton runs, for whatever reason) therefore relate to the 2019 rather than the 2020 summer season, but you can buy the most recent timetable
here.
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I know I have a very steep learning curve. That is why I aks for the facts, and the why they are there. Kinda like looking at a fact that there was less deficit on the southern route, yet it got cancelled. I now understand that it is not that simple, nor that logical.
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How often do I need to explain this until you understand that this “fact” is just one of the many beliefs you insist on holding onto? So, once again:
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Originally Posted by Urban_Sky
So just to be very clear, I have never provided any financial data concerning the situation in 1990 nor concerning the CP route. All I did is approximating the subsidy need of a certain service by extrapolating the per-train-km subsidy (of figures provided in VIA’s Annual Report 2018) of whichever VIA service is the closest equivalent of whatever theoretical service we are looking at. Therefore, the only reason why my estimated subsidy need for the Canadian operating at the same 2.5 trains per week, but over CP rather than CN, would be 2.4% less ($47.7 vs. $48.9 million) is that the distance is 2.4% less (4,360 vs. 4,466 km). However, there are too many factors determining the costs and revenues of a service to make any safe assumptions about which route would have required the lower subsidy need to operate.
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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe
Yes, that is no typo. Don't get me started on how many government IDs and other documents are wrong.
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My wife has wrestled with the authorities for many years to remove the hyphen in her first name (separating her actual first name from the last name of her mother) so that her documents would only show the first name by which she is known by all her friends and family, but she only succeeded with the provincial authorities, which means that all provincial documents (driving license, marriage certificate, health insurance card and university degrees) only show her real first name, whereas all federal documents (most importantly: her passport, but also her birth certificate issued by a different province) show the unwanted hyphen and second name. This forces her whenever she is asked to provide her full name (for instance, at the Notary or whenever she opens a bank account) to inquire which document it has to match with…
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You cannot please everyone. The goal is to please enough people to get it done. That will be the real challenge.
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The problem is that this includes fiscally (and politically) conservative politicians, which at any given time reliably sit either in the government or the official opposition. In order to convince them, you need to understand their values and concerns, regardless of the extent to which you share or despise them…
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I am not assuming anything. I bet with enough digging and paperwork, I could get everything you have delivered. I almost wonder what you do there that you can make this much sense of it all.
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You can look me up on LinkedIn (by clicking on my user name and then “visit Urban_Sky’s homepage”). Basically, I started in the Strategy department, where I (among many other things) analyzed public and internal data to support the Executives in making the case for HFR and to secure the approval for the now on-going fleet renewal in the Corridor. However, I switched departments one year ago to be closer to Operations…
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Some things just make businesses work better, together. Who cares what we measure things in as long as it is consistant.
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I refuse to use imperial measurements as much as possible, because I perceive them as arbitrary and illogical, but the fact that distances (along a rail line) and speeds are measured with the same units on both sides of the border significantly facilitates cross-border operations.
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It is interesting, Via likes incremental, but positive changes. No one is going to beat an airplane from gate to gate. The only way to do that is true HSR. That likely won't happen for a while, if ever. However, getting the train to travel faster, and have less delays will get the train closer to that of a plane.
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Nobody lives or works within walking distance from an airport gate. Therefore, the travel time from-gate-to-gate is meaningless (therefore, passenger rail is generally considered competitive against the plane if rail travel time does not exceed 3-4 hours:
Market share of rail vs. air in function of rail travel time
Source:
Börjesson (2014)
Also, given that the car accounts for maybe 80% of the domestic intercity travel market (expressed in passenger-miles) whereas the plane accounts for maybe 5%, the car is the much more attractive target to steal passengers from, especially as the investments required to beat the car are only a small fraction of that required to beat the plane…
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Via seems to love doing incremental improvements. If they didn't we would have HSR. But for a variety of reasons, we have improvements, but not drastic ones.
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Wrong, we would have less than what we have today and certainly not the 10 frequencies we have between Toronto and Ottawa, because why would you seek funds to improve infrastructure, which you hope will soon become obsolete by building HSR lines?
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So, my goal would be to figure out how much of an improvement is enough. Maybe a train that travels 60mph is enough. Maybe it is 90mph. Or, maybe it is simply not going to be competitive regardless of service.
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Provided that money is not a constraint, you can make any passenger rail service competitive against the car and the bus. Especially in the West, however, there is the risk that even the ridership a “competitive” passenger rail service would attract could not justify the massive funding need required to improve the infrastructure to allow competitive speeds…
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The one thing the other parties all have in common is a desire to cut emissions. One feel good way is passenger rail.
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With the average car in Canada consuming on average
8.9 liters gasoline per 100 km and with every liter of gasoline generating
2.3 kilograms (kg) of CO2, driving a car generates on average 205 grams of CO2 per km. Assuming an
average vehicle occupancy of 1.54 as reported for the United States (I unfortunately didn’t find any Canadian figure), this translates to a CO2 footprint of 133 grams per passenger-km. Compared to the
figures I have approximated for VIA’s routes in
post #797 by extrapolating from publicly accessible sources, the car passenger’s 133 grams per km would be twice the footprint of a VIA passenger traveling on the Corridor (64 grams) or still 1.5 times that of an average VIA passenger (88 grams), whereas the footprint of a VIA passenger on the transcontinental (189 grams) or mandatory services (374 grams) would be almost 1.5 or even 3 times that of a typical car passenger. Therefore, passenger rail is the greener choice only if its emissions spread across a large enough passenger count...
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My goal is to make it actually meaningful. Which means full trains, going as fast as we can, as often as we can. What that looks like is a work in progress.
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Agreed, but in order to have full trains, you need to chose a corridor which actually has the potential to fill trains, even if passengers are charged ticket prices which at the very least cover direct operating costs.
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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe
Actually, I would put in a HSR from Vancouver to Halifax, connecting all the major cities together. However, that most likely would cost in the Trillions. I also know it won't likely ever happen.
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Neither should it happen, because even if you could achieve an average speed of 300 km/h (which is rather ambitious, even for HSR), it would still take 15 hours to get from Toronto to Vancouver (i.e. already too long to avoid making it an overnight trip, especially in eastbound direction: leave Vancouver at 8am, arrive Toronto at 11pm PT, which is 2am ET) and 6.5 hours to get from Toronto to Winnipeg. There is no point in building HSR infrastructure to cover distances which inevitably result in travel times beyond 3-4 hours (i.e. where rail is no longer time-competitive against the plane)…
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This goes back to why you hammer the HFR idea for AB. Start out with something palatable to a province that things they are being screwed over, but also don't want to see the government take more money from them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/InterC...#World_records
Instead of dreaming of TGV, why not look at something compatible with what we already have for rail infrastructure. 140mph is pretty damn fast. It would be close to what Acela can do.
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The problem with increasing speed is that fully grade-separating an alignment is (even before electrification) the most expensive item when building anything beyond 110 mph (177 km/h), which is the maximum speed
for which level crossings are permittable in Canada (and unsurprisingly the
maximum speed for HFR):
Source:
Ecotrain (2011, Deliverable 6, Part 1, pp.26+49)
Notes: Conversion factor: 1.1404 (
Bank of Canada), re-post from
Urban Toronto
Therefore, if you go beyond 110 mph (177 km/h), it makes sense to directly go to whatever HSR allows (i.e. 300-350 km/h), as the only real cost difference between aligning for 200, 250 or 300 km/h will be the radius selected for the curves and this is close-to-impossible to change at a later stage.
Given that a chief reason for terminating passenger rail service between Edmonton and Calgary seems to have been the abundance of level crossing collisions, it seems unreasonable to assume that public acceptance for any resumption of passenger rail operations could be achieved without an alignment which mostly eliminates the need for level crossings. Unfortunately, the need for grade separating would mean that HFR cannot be implemented in Alberta at a comparable per-mile cost as in the Quebec-Windsor corridor and would escalate construction costs to a level where you either jump directly to HSR or just stick to buses…