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Originally Posted by Keith P.
I am very curious about what you are saying. Where are all these in-migrating families actually living? There have been few "family-oriented" developments in the area constructed in recent years so I can only assume these are people buying up the existing single-family housing stock and renovating them to their wishes. I would speculate that if they can afford to do that they are migrating from high-end suburbs like parts of Bedford, Glen Arbour or Kingswood. But if they can afford to do that I also wonder how many of them are doing so to have their kids in the south-end private schools, which are extremely popular among this demographic, unlike the public school system.
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You are correct that this is likely not driven by new developments, at least not directly. What I am seeing, however, is that some empty nesters and/or retirees are downsizing to these new apartment/condo developments and selling the their homes that they raised their families in, and some homes that were formerly student flats are being redone as single family homes again. In each case, the people that I have seen making these purchases are often families with young kids looking to get into the neighbourhood, and often specifically into the catchment of LMST as the shiny new elementary school.
While I am sure that some of that is driven by intra-Halifax migration, what I have seen on my street and those around me is that the majority are people who have made the choice to move here during the pandemic and who are quite often working remotely. I can think of multiple explicit examples of people in the IT/software and finance sectors who have moved here, and whose jobs are in places like Toronto or even Bermuda. In talking to them, it is driven by a quality of life decisions, with respect to things like having their kids be able to walk to their elementary school, etc.
The private school topic is also an interesting one. My child goes to public school, so I can't comment personally, but I certainly know people who have sent their kids to private. I find it particularly interesting that I know many families who have multiple kids where one might go to public and one might go to private. The choice on private for them was very child-specific in that there might be an academic or inter-personal issue that drove the change. Regardless, I can tell you that at LMST what happens in that there is a slow transition where the great majority of local kids start in public and then for a variety of reasons some will move to private. There are something like 3.5 grade primaries, and then something like 2 grade 6 classes. Again, a myriad of reasons that drive that, but it is not a default position by most parents that their child is going to private, and instead seemingly that most start in public and then as their education progresses some find that a specific private school is the better fit for their child. The trend, as I understand from neighbours/friends, then reverses when you hit high school where some kids in private then migrate back to the public school. Regardless, the facts are that there is an increasing number of kids in these neighbourhoods, and an increasing number of kids in public schools like LMST irrespective of the private schools.